1000 Guineas Trends | Tips To Help Find The Newmaket Race Winner

It’s the fillies turn today as the 1000 Guineas – the second English Classic of the season – takes centre stage at Newmarket. To help you find the winner of the 1000 Guineas (Sunday, 3:40pm) we’ve got the key trends and our tips, plus a stack of bookmaker free bets to use on the race.

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1000 Guineas Trends and Stats for 2022 Newmarket Race

• 18/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
• 15/20 – Had won between 2-3 times before
• 15/20 – Had won a Group race before
• 14/20 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
• 13/20 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
• 11/20 – Won their previous race
• 12/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
• 11/20 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
• 10/20 – Returned a double-figure price
• 10/20 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
• 9/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
• 9/20 – Favourites unplaced
• 9/20 – Irish-trained winners
• 7/20 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
• 6/20 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
• 6/20 – Previous Group One winners
• 5/20 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
• 4/20 – Won by the favourite
• 4/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
• 3/20 – French-trained winners
• 3/20 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
• 3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
• 3/20 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016, Love 2020)
• Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
• 10 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
• The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 12.5/1

1000 Guineas Trainer, Owner and Jockey Stats

• Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
• Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 4 times (1998, 2002, 2011 & 2021)
• Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
• Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
• Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners, Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)

1000 Guineas Tips and Best Bets

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has landed the 1000 Guineas five times in the 6 years and he’s got another big chance this year with Tenebrism @ 3/1 with 888Sport and Tuesday in the race. Jockey Ryan Moore would have had the pick over the O’Brien pair and he’s gone for Tenebrism, so it’s no surprise this one is the shorter price.

This 3 year-old filly is 2-from-2 and was a very nice winner of the Cheveley Park Stakes here last September so the track is fine. But the unknown is the trip as she’s up from 6f to 1m here. Connections clearly feel she’ll stay but her pedigree suggests it’s borderline.

With that in mind, the Frankie Dettori-ridden TUESDAY @ 11/2 with 888Sport is chanced, being she’s already a proven winner over this mile trip. Frankie is also no stranger to riding the winner of this race for O’Brien – he did just that last year on Mother Earth and it’s not always an easy pick for the top jockeys to get it right.

These 3 year-olds can improve very rapidly during this early part of their careers so it probably wasn’t an easy pick for Ryan Moore.

Best Of The Rest

Discoveries @ 11/2 with 888Sport has shown a good level of form and is another big Irish player here for the Jessie Harrington yard, while Godolphin have got their horses in great form so recent Fred Darling winner (Newmarket) – Wild Beauty @ 11/1 with 888Sport – is another to respect.

Mise En Scene @ 18/1 with 888Sport and Cachet @ 18/1 with 888Sport have each-way squeaks too, but the French raiders – ZELLIE @ 10/1 with 888Sport and Malavath @ 5/1 with 888Sport – are the others that catch the eye. The pair finished 1st and 2nd (Malavath winning) last time at Deauville but that came on heavy ground and the better conditions here might just suit Zellie better.

This Andre Fabre runner seems to act on all ground and the step back up to a mile will suit. The booking of Tom Marquand is a further plus.

Note: Odds are subject to change

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Recent 1000 Guineas Winners

• 2021 – Mother Earth (10/1)
• 2020 – Love (4/1)
• 2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
• 2018 – Billesdon Brook (66/1)
• 2017 – Winter (9/1)
• 2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
• 2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
• 2014 – Miss France (7/1)
• 2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
• 2012 – Homecoming Queen (25/1)
• 2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
• 2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
• 2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
• 2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
• 2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
• 2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
• 2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
• 2004 – Attraction (11/2)
• 2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
• 2002 – Kazzia (14/1)

Watch the Mother Earth Win The 2021 1000 Guineas Again

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