Use our 2023 Royal Ascot trends on day four (Friday 23rd June) as we give you the key stats for ALL SEVEN of the races. You can use these trends to put history on your side and find the best profiles of horses based on previous winners of each contest.
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2023 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Friday 23rd June 2023
The Royal Ascot 2023 action moves into Friday 23rd June as the biggest flat horse racing meeting around heads into day four of the five.
On Friday there are seven more races that include two Group One races – the Commonwealth Cup (3:05pm) and the Coronation Stakes (4:20pm).
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New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period |
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Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV Racing Stats on Friday 23rd June 2023
2.30 – Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV
This has been a good race for the Roger Varian yard with 2 wins in the last 9 and so their Jabaara (draw 18) is worth an interest here. This 2 year-old wo on debut at Newmarket by 3/4 of a length but seemed to do it well that day to suggest there was more up her sleeve. With 16 of the last 18 winners coming from a double-figure draw this is another thing to note, while the favourites have won 29% of the last 21 runnings which would be a plus for Carla’s Way and Soprano at the head of the betting.
Albany Stakes Trends
- 21/21 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
- 21/21 – Never raced at Ascot before
- 20/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 17/21 – Won their previous race
- 16/21 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
- 15/21 – Placed favourites
- 10/21 – Returned a double-figure price
- 10/21 – Previous winner over 6f
- 6/21 – Winning favourites
- 3/21 – Ran at Sandown last time
- 2/21 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 9)
- 16 of the last 18 winners came from double-figure stalls
- 12 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)
3.05 – Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f ITV
75% of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8 or lower, so this would be against The X O, Sakheer, Queen Me, Shouldvebeenaring, Marbaan and Lezoo. Experience of Ascot is a plus too and 50% of the last 8 winners have been rated 117 or higher. With that in mind, the likely hot favourite here Little Big Bear ticks a lot of boxes and is already a past Royal Ascot winner having taken the Windsor Castle Stakes last year. He’s won 5 of his 7 starts and had Shouldvebeenaring back in second the last day when winning the Sandy Lane Stakes at Haydock.
Commonwealth Cup Trends
- 8/8 – Won over 6f before
- 6/8 – Drawn 8 or lower
- 7/8 – Had run at Ascot before
- 6/8 – Won 3+ times before
- 4/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 4/8 – Rated 117 or higher
- 3/8 – Winning favourite
- 2/8 – Came from stall 8
- 2/8 – Won last time out
3.40 – Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV
With 4 wins over the years in this race it’s hard to ignore the two Hughie Morrison runners – Stay Well and Maksud. Both should be fair prices and look to have had this race as a target with recent runs this year to put them spot-on. Being drawn high is another plus here, with 16 of the last 17 winners coming from a double-figure berth – meaning Aimeric, Lucander, Haunted Dream, White Wolf, Max Mayhem, Teumessias Fox, Tyson Fury, Aikhal and Okita Soushi all have this to overcome. 95% of the last 20 winners were aged 4 or 5 too, and finally, with 7 of the last 11 winners running at either York or Epsom last time out this is another Ascot trend to note. At a bigger price, Irish mare Moracana might be interesting too from draw 19.
Duke of Edinburgh Trends
- 19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
- 18/20 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
- 16/20 – Carried 9-0 or more
- 15/20 – Placed last time out
- 13/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
- 12/20 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
- 11/20 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (4), Mark Johnston (3) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
- 10/20 – Had run at Ascot before
- 8/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 7/20 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 11 winners)
- 6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time
- 6/20 – Unplaced favourites
- 5/20 – Winning favourites
- 4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 16 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
4.20 – Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV
If the form coming into the Coronation Stakes is to be trusted then, this should be Tahiyra first and the rest playing for places. This year’s Irish 1000 Guineas winner can give her trainer Dermot Weld his first win in the race since 1978 (Sutton Place). She had Meditate back in second the last day at the Curragh too and more of the same is on the cards in a contest that the favourite has won 43% of the last 21 runnings.
Coronation Stakes Recent Trends
- 21/21 – Had won over at least 7f before
- 19/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/21 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
- 16/21 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
- 14/21 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
- 9/21 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
- 9/21 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
- 9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
- 8/21 – Unplaced last time out
- 5/21 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
- 3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- 3/21 – Trained by John Gosden
- 2/21 – Trained by Jessica Harrington (2 of the last 5)
- 14 of the last 16 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
- No winners from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
- 14 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
- Just 4 horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 17 runnings
- 9 of the last 17 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (5)
5.00 – Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m ITV
With 7 winners over the years in this race Frankie Dettori’s runner Coppice is very much respected. She’s won 2 of her three starts and last time was very impressive at Newcastle. Look for horses that have had between 2-4 runs that season (81%) and 71% were placed in their last outing too – with 52% winning their most recent run. Chelsea Green and Ma Belle Artiste are others to look out for.
Sandringham Handicap Trends
- 17/21 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
- 17/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/21 – Had never run at Ascot before
- 16/21 – Had won over at least 7f before
- 15/21 – Placed in their previous race
- 14/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
- 13/21 – Carried 8-11 or more
- 11/21 – Won their last race
- 9/21 – Returned a double-figure price
- 8/21 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
- 7/21 – Winning favourites (1 co)
- 3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)
5.35 – King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV
The Gosden, Johnston and O’Brien yards have done well in this race over the years so their runners – Arrest, Dubai Mile and Continuous have to enter the mix, but this race is dubbed the Ascot Derby and it’s the Epsom Derby form that is on show here with Dubai Mile (9th), Artistic Star (7th), Arrest (10th) and King Of Steel (2nd) all in the race. It’s the last-named that only went down by 1/2 a length that day – running well from the front – and a repeat of that run will make him very hard to beat. This Varian runner has also only had three career runs so can have more improvement to come as well.
King Edward VII Stakes Trends
- 20/20 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
- 18/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
- 16/20 – Had never raced at Ascot before
- 14/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
- 14/20 – Placed favourites
- 13/20 – Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
- 12/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
- 10/20 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
- 7/20 – Winning favourites
- 3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- 3/20 – Trained by John Gosden
- 3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
- 3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 3/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard
- Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
- 11 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
- 14 of the last 16 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
- 2022 – Changingoftheguard (11/10 fav)
6.10 – Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap (3yo) 5f ITV
Just the three runnings of this race to go on – Karl Burke won the pot in 2021 and runs Looking For Lynda and Pillow Talk, while the Michael Dods and David Evans yards have a 50% strike-rate with their 3 year-olds at the track and so their Tattersall and Radio Goo Goo enter the fray based on that too.
- Three previous runnings
- Latin Lover (5/1) won this race in 2022
- Trainer Harry Eustace won this race in 2022
- Trainer Karl Burke won this race in 2021
- Trainer Tim Easterby won this race in 2020
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50% Back As A Free Bet Up To £25
New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period
New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period |
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