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Football Transfer Betting in the UK

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Come every transfer window and interest in the world’s top transfer deals and football transfer betting hots up until it boils over. Who will be the latest star to be snapped up by Real Madrid, Bayern Munich or Manchester United? Will the globe’s top players be on the move, and if so, where will they move to? Will the global transfer record be shattered? Will there be any bargain deadline day transfers, like Ashley Cole or Hugo Lloris, or last-minute flops such as Andy Carroll or Fernando Torres?

If you like to keep abreast of the latest scorching transfer deals, then you probably know that you can place bets on them happening. If not, then we are here to show you how!

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How We Rank the Best Transfer Betting Sites

We don’t just pick any old site to recommend to you for football transfer betting that’s available for sports betting in the UK. We examine every potential site in detail and only promote those that we feel perform well in a number of categories, including the following:

  • Online safety – as with any aspect of online sports betting, we only even mention sports betting sites on our pages if we know they are completely, 100 percent safe. All the sites mentioned will have the proper UKGC licensing, will promote responsible gambling practices and have strict internet safety protocols in place, such as SSL encryption.
  • Competitive odds – it is a hard and fast rule of any sports betting endeavour that even if you are successful with your football transfer betting, you won’t make a steady return unless you continually get the best player transfer betting odds. The best sites you find listed here all offer competitive odds, and some even go as far as offering the ‘best odds guaranteed‘.
  • Markets available – there are many different aspects of the global footbal transfer market that are available to be wagered upon. Players moving, the clubs the players move to, the players clubs sign and the fees involved can all be wagered upon. Our top European and Premier League transfer betting sites include those with plenty of options when it comes to transfer market betting.
  • Offers and promotions – we love a good football transfer-related bonus as much as the next man. That’s why we champion sites that offer them. Okay, so MOST football betting sites will offer a welcome bonus, but we like sites that have a little more in the way of imagination. Specific transfer-related bonus deals always certainly get our attention.
  • Live streaming – we also love to see any UK bookie that offers live streaming. Okay, so live streaming is not really applicable at bookmakers when football transfer deadline day swings around, but live streaming at any UK sportsbook is definitely a plus, and we give a thumbs up to any site where live streaming is an option.

How to Bet on the Transfer Market

Transfer market betting is not as straightforward as placing a wager on a specific match, as there are countless options and variables you have to consider. Players may move, or they may sign a new contract with their current side. Players who are definitely on the move could move to any number of new sides. Out-of-contract players may even stuggle to find a new club before the transfer window closes. This is all why you should keep abreast of the latest transfer betting speculation news.

If you find a potential move that you think is worth taking a punt on, then you need to get cracking as football transfers can happen fast and completely out of the blue. Here we are going to outline one of the summer of 2022’s most talked-about ‘will he won’t he’ potential moves – Cristiano Ronaldo transfer betting on him leaving (or not) Manchester United.

Step One – Head to the Site

There are a number of sites where football transfer window betting is available, but for our Ronaldo transfer betting example we are going to choose one of our favourites, BetFred.

Step Two – Find the player transfer betting section

Because transfer betting is a bit of a ‘niche’ bet, you are going to have to hunt around if you want successfully to put your bet on. For BetFred, we had to go to Football > More > Specials > Transfer Specials Betting > Transfer Specials Betting – Club After Summer Transfer Window before we could get to where we needed to be. We then had to scroll through the options until we found the section for CR7, which you can see below.

football transfer bettingYou can see the transfer betting odds given. Obviously BetFred has zero faith that Ronaldo was going to stay at Old Trafford as they have given no odds for that. We can’t see Ronaldo returning to either Real Madrid or Juventus, or remaining in the EPL at Chelsea, so we’re going to taken a punt that the blue and black of Internazionale will be the next shirt bearing ‘Ronaldo 7’. We click on the (generous) odds for this to transfer the bet to our betting slip.

Step Three – Place your Bet!

transfer betting

Here is the bet now on our betslip. We’ve gone for a £2 stake, with a pretty decent return possible of £68. All we need now to do is hit ‘place bet’ and all is good!

What is Transfer Window Betting?

When there is no actual football taking place, football transfer news is probably the most important aspect of football for fans of clubs all over the globe. This especially true during the torrid few weeks of the close reason, when fans speculate about who they will be seeing added to their teams’ squads before the deadline day transfers period is up. There is also interest when the winter transfer window opens, as teams will have just a month to bolster their squads for second half of the season.

If you are ‘in the know’ about transfers then you can make some money by predicting which transfers will take place, and which will not. Because transfers can be so hard to predict, you can get some very decent football transfer betting odds when betting on which players will make the move, who they will move to, who specific clubs will sign and whether players will remain with their current sides. It pays to ‘get in quick’ though, as once a deal seems imminent any odds will shorten considerably and some markets may even be suspended altogether.

When are the Football Transfer Windows?

Football transfer windows were introduced for the 2002/03 season. Up until then, players can be bought and sold at anytime during the season up to ‘transfer deadline day’ which in England was usually the last day of March. Now there are two windows during which football player transfers can actually take place – a two-month one in summer, and a one-month one in winter.

The summer and winter transfer windows for all the major European Leagues are noted below. Please be aware they are different for the 2022-23 season, because of the World Cup held in Qatar. They may also alter from year to year because of the fall of weekends.

League Summer Transfer Window Winter Transfer Window
English Premier League June 10 – September 1 January 1 – January 31
Spanish La Liga July 1 – September 2 January 1 – February 2
Italian Serie A July 1 – September 2 January 3 – January 31
Portuguese Primeira Liga July 3 – September 22 January 4 – February 1
German Bundesliga July 1 – September 1 January 1 – January 31
French Ligue 1 June 10 – September 1 January 1 – January 31
Dutch Eredivisie June 11 – September 2 January 3 – January 31
Scottish Premiership June 9 – September 1 January 1 – February 1
Belgian First Division A July 1 – August 31 January 1 – January 31

The Different Types of Transfer Betting Markets Available

There are actually a few different types of transfer betting markets for you to take a punt on/use your enviable football transfer predicting skills. Here we outline a few of the most popular.

  • Club after the summer/winter transfer window – there is always speculation surrounding the world’s leading players if they are unsettled or coming towards the last year or end of their contracts. You should be able to find odds on the club that will be employing them once the window has closed, including (usually) the side that they currently represent.
  • Who a specific club will sign – Such is the competitive nature of top level football in this modern age, no major side goes an entire window without signing a player (except Arsenal … but then we did say ‘major’ side). Some bookies will nominate a club and list a number of potential transfer targets. You can then back those players to be admiring a newly-acquired sign-on bonus from their new employers once the transfer window slams shut.
  • To break the record fee – this is a fun bet as you back the UK or global transfer fee to be broken during the next football transfer window. Just so you know, at the time of writing the current UK record fee paid is the £100million fee wasted … er … paid by Manchester City to Aston Villa for Jack Grealish in 2021, and the world record of £198million (€222million) was set in 2017 when Neymar left Barcelona for PSG.

Transfer Specials Betting

One thing to always look out for are European and Premier League transfer betting specials. These usually are available during the summer transfer window when the biggest clubs are most likely to make their move.

In the UK there is usually speculation every summer transfer window over whether Harry Kane transfer betting dictates that he is likely to stay at Tottenham or finally join a club where he has a chance of actually winning a trophy. In the past there has been similar speculation over players making the ‘step up’ from a mid-table EPL side to one of the big guns, such as Harry Maguire, Jack Grealish and Virgil van Dijk.

Globally the same goes for leading superstars such as Neymar, Kylian Mbappe and Jesse Lingard … okay, so that last one might have been a bit of a stretch. In seasons past there was always speculations that Leo Messi would finally end his time at Barcelona, but that is now moot as he spent 2021-22 playing for PSG … allegedly.

At times of high speculation it is always worth your while checking out any specials offered by the leading sportsbooks for transfer betting, including enhanced odds and special bonus deals.

Football Betting Odds for September 2022

Here are the latest odds for some of the biggest movers (and shakers) who might be (or might not be) playing for a new team by the end of the current transfer window. Make sure that you get your money in quick before that transfer window slams shut! Note that the odds given are open to fluctuation depending upon the latest transfer betting news.

Bookie Transfer Odds
888Sport logo Neymar to rejoin Barcelona 9/1
BetUK logo Frankie de Jong to join Manchester United 1/2
SpreadEX NEW Cristiano Ronaldo to join Chelsea 7/4
fitzdares Harry Kane transfer betting: Kane joins any German club 8/1
Betfred logo Robert Lewandowski to join Barcelona 2/5
SBK logo Heung-min Son to join Real Madrid 14/1
logo quinnbet Marcus Rashford to join Newcastle United 16/1
Virgin Bet logo Jude Bellingham to sign for Liverpool 9/2
logo boylesports Raheem Sterling to remain at Manchester City 7/1
Bet365 logo Jordan Pickford to join West Ham United 12/1

Transfer Deadline Day

Transfer dealine day, and in particular the transfer deadline day after the winter transfer window closes, is always a mad time, with clubs splashing the cash to make that final push for the title, UCL or Europa League qualification, promotion or to avoid the sadness of relegation. It is also when the most deals get done, so if you have a liking for betting on football transfers, you can make some cash yourself if you are accurate with your predictions.

Transfer dealine day in the UK for the summer transfer window is usually the first day of September (even though the season only starts in the middle of August) and for winter it is either the final day of January or the first day of February. For 2023, the final day for January transfer betting is January 31st.

Money spent by EPL clubs in the January transfer window, year-on-year:

  • 2013: £120million
  • 2014: £130million
  • 2015: £130million
  • 2016: £175million
  • 2017: £215million
  • 2018: £430million
  • 2019: £180million
  • 2020: £230million
  • 2021: £70million
  • 2022: £295million

The Evolution of the UK Football Transfer Record

  • 1996: Alan Shearer, Blackburn R to Newcastle U, £15million
  • 1999: Nicolas Anelka, Arsenal to Real Madrid, £22.5million
  • 2001: Juan Sebastian Veron, Lazio to Manchester U, £28.1million
  • 2002: Rio Ferdinand, Leeds U to Manchester U, £29.1million
  • 2006: Andriy Shevchenko, Milan to Chelsea, £30.8million
  • 2008: Robinho, Real Madrid to Manchester C, £32.5million
  • 2009: Cristiano Ronaldo, Manchester U to Real Madrid, £80million
  • 2013: Gareth Bale, Tottenham H to Real Madrid, £85.3million
  • 2016: Paul Pogba, Juventus to Manchester U, £89million
  • 2018: Phillippe Coutinho, Liverpool to Barcelona, £105million

The Evolution of the Global Football Transfer Record

  • 1998, Denilson, Sao Paulo to Real Betis, £21.5million
  • 1999, Christian Vieri, Lazio to Internazionale, £32million
  • 2000, Hernan Crespo, Parma to Lazio, £35.5million
  • 2000, Luis Figo, Barcelona to Real Madrid, £37million
  • 2001, Zinedine Zidane, Juventus to Real Madrid, £46.6million
  • 2009, Kaka, Milan to Real Madrid, £56million
  • 2009: Cristiano Ronaldo, Manchester U to Real Madrid, £80million
  • 2013: Gareth Bale, Tottenham H to Real Madrid, £85.3million
  • 2016: Paul Pogba, Juventus to Manchester U, £89million
  • 2017: Neymar, Barcelona to PSG, £198million

Tips and Strategies for Online Transfer Betting

So, you want the best tips so you can get the most out of your online transfer betting? Of course you do! The great news is we are here to give you the very best online transfer betting tips money can buy, and the even better news is that money can’t buy them as they are free!

Trusted sources

fans and bloggers love to speculate about who their latest record signing is going to be. Many online ‘journalists’ are simply rumour-mongers fishing for likes and kudos and will make up transfers that exist in no place aside from their heads. Identify sources of information where fiction has become fact in the past, and still with them.

Get the best odds

unlike matchday odds, transfer market betting odds can differ greatly from site to site. You could get 10/1 for Raheem Sterling rejoining Liverpool at one site, but 25/1 at another. When you’ve made your decision to back a specific deal, check out all the sites on our list to make sure you get the very best odds.

Check out the action

when the season heads towards the opening of the January transfer betting window, if you watch as many matches as you can you may get an inkling of who might be on the verge of a move. If a player’s performances have dropped, they may have lost heart in their present situation and desire a change.

Up-and-comers

the big teams in the EPL are always quick to snap up up-and-coming youngsters who have a chance of becoming the ‘next big thing’, such as the deal that took teenager Fabio Carvalho from Fulham to Liverpool in the summer of 2022. If you monitor hot young superstars in the tiers below the EPL, you could be able to predict a transfer when they take the step up.

Social media

there are plenty of respected journalists who like to keep their readers informed of potential transfers, and many of them will do so via Twitter and other social media platforms. If you look around you’ll soon find and follow the accounts of journos who you can use as trusted sources of transfer information.

The Best UK Deadline Days Deals of All Time?

Here are our picks for the five best UK deadline days deals of all time. These were the ones that the buying clubs certainly got right.

2003 – Claude Makelele (Real Madrid to Chelsea) £16million

In 2003 £16million was still a lot of money but Chelsea acquired a bargain with Makelele. Maybe even the best defensive midfielder of all time, after Makelele’s introduction to the Chelsea team every EPL side was soon playing with a ‘Makelele’.

2004 – Wayne Rooney (Everton to Manchester United) £20million

Wayne Rooney signing for Manchester United

Rooney was a starlet at Everton but became King of Old Trafford within months of completing his deadline day move. Rooney would go on to play 559 games for United, scoring 253 goals.

2006 – Ashley Cole (Arsenal to Chelsea) £5million P/E

An absolute steal at £5million plus William Gallas, Cole got his wish and moved from Arsenal to Chelsea in 2006 in search of better wages, and he spent eight years at Stamford Bridge.

2010 – Luis Suarez (Ajax to Liverpool) £22.8million

Liverpool certainly did not bite off more than they could chew with their purchase of the eccentric Uruguayan. Suarez scored 82 goals in four seasons at Anfield before joining Barcelona for £65million.

2012 – Hugo Lloris (Lyon to Tottenham) £8million

It’s hard to believe that Spurs only paid £8million for France’s second choice goalkeeper. Signed when 25, Lloris is still between the sticks at Tottenham’s new stadium over a decade later.

The Worst UK Deadline Days Deals of All Time?

That’s enough about the cream of the crop, let’s now talk about those big money signings that the fans of the purchasing clubs involved would rather not talk about at all.

2008 – Afonso Alves (Heerenveen to Middlesbrough) £10million

Having just scored 45 goals in 38 games for Heerenveen in the Netherlands, Alves managed just one season at ‘boro, netting 10 goals in 42 games.

2011 – Andy Carroll (Newcastle to Liverpool) £35million

Andy Caroll transfer

Why Liverpool would invest so much in a player who’d played half a season in the EPL is anyone’s guess. Carroll managed six goals for the Reds before being sold to West Ham in 2013.

2011 – Fernando Torres (Liverpool to Chelsea) £51.5million

Hindsight is a wonderful thing. There is no reason free-scoring Liverpool striker Torres should have flopped at Chelsea, but flop he did. He did manage 22 goals in 2012-13, but nine of those were in the Europa League.

2013 – Christopher Samba (Anzhi Makhachkala to QPR) £12.5million

You may never have heard of Chris Samba, unless you’re a QPR fan in which case you wished you’d never heard of him. The ex-Blackburn defender was signed for a ridiculously high fee and on ridiculously high wages … and played ten games.

2014 – Radamel Falcao (Monaco to Manchester U) £6million

Just like Torres, there’s no reason Falcao – one of the world’s best strikers should have flopped at Old Trafford, but he only scored four goals in 29 games. The good news for United was that £6million was only a loan fee, but it was still £6million wasted.

The Bottom Line

A great signing on transfer deadline day can cement a championship-winning season for the purchasing side, or the player bought can be the catalyst for a successful push away from the relegation zone. A bad deadline transfer deal during the window can just end up a woeful waste of money and put the stamp on a side’s terrible season. In short, if your team spent £12.5million on Christopher Samba when they could have spent a little bit less on Hugo Lloris instead, you kind of know it’s the beginning of the end.

Betting on transfers can be an endless source of entertaining speculation and if you are ‘in the know’ more than most, you could win a little bit of extra cash on the side. Why not back your hunches in the transfer market via our recommended sports betting sites?

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FAQs

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Peter is an experienced iGaming wordsmith who has been working in the industry since 2013. He has written more words on all aspects of iGaming than he cares to remember, and has provided content for many big industry names. When not writing Peter can be found out running or gaming on his Xbox.