The 2023 Epsom Derby draw has been announced with the 14 runners getting allocated their starting slots ahead of today’s big English Classic horse race. But based on the trends – which stalls have produced the most Derby winners in recent years?
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2023 Epsom Derby Draw: History Tells Us To Look For Horses From Stall 7 or Higher
Being run over 1m4f, then horse racing punters may feel the Epsom Derby draw isn’t really that important – after all, the runners have one and a half miles to overcome it and get into the race.
Wrong. If the recent Epsom Derby trends are anything to go by there is certainly a current draw stat that has to be taken seriously where a cluster of six starting berths have fired in 8 of the last 10 Derby winners.
80% Of The Last 10 Epsom Derby Winners Came Between Stalls 7-12
Let’s lift the lid of the magic numbers that have produced 8 of the last 10 Epsom Derby winners as stalls 7-12 (inclusive) have paid of in 80% of winners since 2013.
Only Adayar, who won from stall 1 (more on that below) and shock 2017 winner Wings Of Eagles (14), have won from outside the magic 7-12 range.
So, which horses will be starting the Derby draw between stalls 7-12 this year?
- Passenger – Drawn 7
- Artistic Star – Drawn 8
- Military Order – Drawn 9
- Auguste Rodin – Drawn 10
- Waipiro – Drawn 11
- San Antonio – Drawn 12
RELATED: 2023 Epsom Derby Trends: Key Stats To Find The Big Classic Winner
90% Of Derby Winners Since 2013 Hailed From Stalls 7 Or Higher
If we take the Epsom Derby draw trend a bit further, then we can increase the percentage to 90% by just siding with horses drawn 7+ (based on the last 10 years).
Only Adayar (stall) 1 has won the Derby drawn 6 or lower since 2013 – meaning those drawn low this year will have this stat to overcome – Dear My Friend (1), White Birch (2), The Foxes (3), King Of Steel (4), Dubai Mile (5) and Sprewell (6).
Just 1 Derby Winner From Stall 1 In The Last 21 Runnings
As mentioned, we’ve only had one winner of the Derby from the inside draw – Adayar, who won the race in 2021 to defy this Derby stat. In fact, this Godolphin runner was the only winners in the last 21 runnings of the race to win from stall 1. Meaning this year’s inside drawn runner Dear My Friend seemingly has it all to do.
RELATED: Epsom Derby Runners 2023: Auguste Rodin Heading The Betting
Are Draws 10 and 12 The Magic Derby Numbers?
It’s also worth pointing out that 50% of the last 10 winners of the Epsom Derby have come from just two draws – numbers 10 and 12.
Yes, two of the last 3 winners (Desert Crown & Serpentine) have started the race from stall 12, plus the 2014 winner Australia also won from this berth.
Draw 10 has been responsible for two winners since 2013 as well – Masar in 2018 and Ruler Of The World in 2013.
This year’s horses from stall 10 and 12 are – Auguste Rodin (10) and San Antonio (12), who are also both trained by Aidan O’Brien, who has 8 Derby wins to his name, and also owned by Michael Tabor – spooky!
The Last 10 Epsom Derby Winners and Their Draw
- 2022 – Desert Crown (12)
- 2021 – Adayar (1)
- 2020 – Serpentine (12)
- 2019 – Anthony Van Dyck (7)
- 2018 – Masar (10)
- 2017 – Wings of Eagles (14)
- 2016 – Harzand (9)
- 2015 – Golden Horn (8)
- 2014 – Australia (12)
- 2013 – Ruler Of The World (10)
When Is The 2023 Epsom Derby?
📅Time/Date: 1:30pm (Saturday 3rd June 2023)
🏇Racecourse: Epsom
💰 Winner: £850,650
📺 TV: ITV / Racing TV
🎲 Odds: Auguste Rodin 7/2 | Military Order 4/1 | Arrest 9/2 | Passenger 13/2
RELATED: Who Is The Epsom Derby Favourite 2023? Latest Derby Betting Odds
Epsom Derby Odds and Betting
You can place bets on the 2023 Epsom Derby by joining-up with the best horse racing betting sites. There is also £1,000’s of horse racing free bets to claim along the way – meaning you can sign-up to one of the featured bookmakers and also grab some tasty Epsom Derby betting offers to use on the June 3rd race.
We take a look at the latest 2023 Epsom Derby odds from BetUK, where you can also get a £30 free bet to use on the race.
- Auguste Rodin @ 7/2 (draw 10)
- Military Order @ 9/2 (draw 9)
- Arrest @ 9/2 (draw 13)
- Passenger @ 13/2 (draw 7)
- Sprewell @ 12/1 (draw 6)
- The Foxes @ 12/1 (draw 3)
- White Birch @ 12/1 (draw 2)
- Dubai Mile @ 18/1 (draw 5)
- Waipiro @ 28/1 (draw 11)
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T&Cs apply.. New customers, Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 free bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
T&Cs apply.. New customers, Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 free bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. |
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Note: Others on request and subject to change.
RELATED: The Last Five Epsom Derby Winners: Where Are They Now?
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