Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Tuesday, November 7th

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

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08/03/23

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Andrew made a good profit with his sell of SPORTING MIKE (6th, 4-1) on Monday and has two recommended bets/trades at on Tuesday, November 7th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

CHELMSFORD JOCKEYS

ROSSA RYAN has six rides at Chelmsford today and the in-form pilot (nine winners from 40 mounts in the past fortnight) looks worth a buy in the Spreadex CHELMSFORD JOCKEYS market. LUNAR SHADOW (12.20) won over course and distance last time and a 4lb rise is unlikely to prevent another good run. LUCKY FIFTEEN (12.55) hated the soft ground at Goodwood last time and won over course and distance in June on his only previous visit to the Essex venue. LOVED BY YOU (2.05) finished a well-beaten last of three at Leicester on her recent debut but her half-sister Declared Interest was unbeaten in two runs here and the switch to the all-weather could bring about improvement, while MUSICAL MYSTERY (2.40) is unbeaten in two all-weather outings for his current yard. COSMOS RAJ (3.05) is 0-8 on the all-weather but drops down to selling grade and ST LUKES CHELSEA (3.50) looks set to go well from the front in first-time blinkers, a positive statistical angle where Ralph Beckett’s all-weather handicappers are concerned.

Recommendation; Buy ROSSA RYAN in CHELMSFORD JOCKEYS

 

NEWCASTLE 5.15

ALBEGONE, who is making his all-weather debut on his 41st career start, can be opposed in this 5f handicap. Tim Easterby’s five-year-old was a winner at Musselburgh 22 days but was well drawn that day and his yard’s last-time-out handicap winners can usually be opposed when rested for more than three weeks, with only eight winners from 181 runners since the soring of 2016 (4.4% strike-rate) for a loss of £109.38 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 21.12, A/E = 0.38). Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market. Fixed odds punters might want to side with NELSON GAY, unlucky at Redcar last time and four from five on Tapeta.

Recommendation: Oppose ALBEGONE in Newcastle 5.15


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