Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
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Andrew found 13-2 winner ALI STAR BERT on Friday and turns his attention to the Dublin Racing Festival at Leopardstown where he has four recommended bets/trades across three races on Saturday, February 3rd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
LEOPARDSTOWN 1.20
Jessica Harrington and owner Gerry McGrath went desperately close to landing the 2018 running of this Grade 1 novices’ hurdle with Jetz (beaten by a head into second) and JETARA can set the record straight in the Dublin Racing Festival opener. The daughter of Walk In The Park impressed when successful in a Grade 3 mares’ race here just after Christmas and eight of the last ten winners of this 2m6f contest prepped on a left-handed track. The six-year-old stands out on RPRs (Racing Post Ratings) and she looks the value to upset the Willie Mullins-trained favourite PREDATORS GOLD. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.
Recommendation: Back JETARA in Leopardstown 1.20
LEOPARDSTOWN 3.00
MOLLYS GLORY is going to be a huge price for this 3m Listed handicap hurdle but can be bought in the 50-30-20-10 market or supported each-way with Spreadex. Jumps progeny of Fame And Glory tend to improve with age and we could have backed the sire’s eight, nine and ten-year-olds (the sire’s oldest crop) blind and made good money thanks to 72 winners from 525 bets (13.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £136.96 to a £1 level stake at SP. MOLLYS GLORY could be a typical late-maturing example – she won just a Thurles bumper from her first 20 starts but doubled her tally in a 2m7f maiden hurdle at the same venue in November, despite jumping out to her left on the right-handed track. The nine-year-old ran with credit at this meeting last year when 11th of 22 over an inadequate 2m1.5f trip and she remains open to improvement over today’s distance.
Recommendation: Back MOLLYS GLORY in Leopardstown 3.00
LEOPARDSTOWN 3.35
FASTORSLOW is leading 2-1 in his personal battle with GALOPIN DES CHAMPS but could struggle to extend his lead in the Irish Gold Cup. Martin Brassil’s eight-year-old tends to perform best in the spring and having missed his intended engagement at Leopardstown over Christmas on account of soft ground, might improve for his first outing in almost ten weeks. His record in March/April stands at 22221 (1-5), with all the runs coming at the Cheltenham or Punchestown festivals, but in the depths of winter (November to February) his record is a less enticing 00551 (1-5). His two previous runs at the DRF resulted in defeats by 24 and 26 lengths and we might not see the best of him until he returns to Cheltenham next month. Rather than sell him in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market I’m going to recommend a buy on the two outsiders. CONFLATED, successful in this race two years ago (he didn’t run in it last year), was beaten when unseating his rider over course and distance behind Galopin Des Champs in the Savills Chase last time but he raced on the inside of the track where the ground looks much slower, as did I AM MAXIMUS, 31 lengths back in fourth place, who remains open to improvement after just seven starts over fences.
Recommendation: Back CONFLATED and I AM MAXIMUS in Leopardstown 3.00
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