Challow Hurdle 2023: Trends, Betting and Tips For Saturday’s Big Newbury Race

horse racing NAP - tips today monday
horse racing NAP - tips today monday

It’s the Challow Hurdle 2023 on Saturday at Newbury as horse racing fans get a chance to see some potential stars of the future. It’s a prize trainer Paul Nicholls has won for the last three years, so can the Ditcheat handler continue his fine run?

Challow Hurdle 2023: Some Stars Of The Future On Show At Newbury On Saturday

Saturday’s Challow Novices’ Hurdle 2023 will give horse racing fans a glimpse of some potential stars of the future.

The £48,000 race has been won in recent times by the top horses like Denman, Champ, Thyme Hill and the 2022 King George VI Chase winner Bravemansgame. While Cheltenham Festival winner Stage Star and Hermes Allen were the last two winners of the Newbury race.

It’s a prize that trainer Paul Nicholls has won for the last three seasons and five times in all, which has made him the winning-most hander in the history of the contest.

He’ll be pinning his hopes of adding to that record with Captain Teague, but after being turned over at odds-on last time at Cheltenham needs to win back his fans.

Challow Hurdle 2023 Race Info

📅Date: Saturday 30th December 2023
🕙Time: 3:00pm
🏇Racecourse: Newbury (2m 4 1/2f)
💰 Winner: £48,408
📺 TV: Racing TV / ITV4

Challow Hurdle Trends 2023: Newbury Stats To Look For

You can see the key Challow Hurdle trends from the last 17 renewals of the Newbury race. Use these stats to narrow down the runners and put history on your side when looking for the Grade One winner on Saturday.

At this stage the Nicky Henderson-trained Willmount topping the market with leading UK horse racing betting sites as the Seven Barrows trainer looks for his third win in the race.

The Challow Hurdle stats below tell us that punters tend to get the race right more often than not with ALL of the last 17 winners returning 8/1 of less in the betting. With the average winning SP just 11/4 and there also being 7 of the last 8 favourites winning – including the last six.

Plus, look for horses that had raced in the last 8 weeks and were also placed in the top three last time out – again, all of the last 17 Challow Hurdle winners ticked these trends.

  • 17/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 17/17 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
  • 17/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
  • 17/17 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
  • 15/17 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
  • 14/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
  • 13/17 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
  • 13/17 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
  • 13/17 – Won last time out
  • 10/17 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
  • 10/17 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 8)
  • 9/17 – Aged 5 years-old
  • 8/17 – Irish bred
  • 5/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 3 winners)
  • 2/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
  • The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 11/4

Challow Hurdle Tip 2023: Willmount To Give Henderson This Third Success

Trainer Nicky Henderson has two Challow Hurdles to his name. The first came in 2013 with Captain Cutter and his most recent in 2018 with Champ.

Willmount has caught the eye of plenty after winning all three starts under rules – two in NH Flat races and last time out over hurdles at Newbury, so we know the track suits (watch below).

He looks the clear one to beat on that form and is already figuring high up in the betting with the best online gambling sites for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in March.

Willmount looks to have the Paul Nicholls-trained Captain Teague to beat and with the top record in the race for the yard he’s hard to ignore. He impressed on his hurdles debut at Chepstow but was turned over at odds-on last time at Cheltenham and he’s not looked the finished article in the jumping department.

With that in mind, Willmount is the call, having been given a nice 51-day break since his last win and being a winning Pointer in soft ground then conditions should be fine.

  • Bet On WILLMOUNT with Paddy Power @ 6/4

Challow Hurdle Betting Odds

See below the latest Challow Hurdle odds from Paddy Power  where you can also get a £20 free bet after staking your first £5. If you’ve already got a Paddy Power account you can find more top UK horse racing betting sites here.

  • Willmount 6/4
  • Captain Teague 7/2
  • Johnnywho 9/2
  • Lookaway 13/2
  • Masaccio 6/1
  • Farnoge 8/1
  • Masaccio 11/1
  • The Jukebox Man 16/1
  • Brave Jen 80/1
  • Buller Hill 100/1

Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request

Bet £5 Get £20 In Free Bets New Customer offer YSKARZ. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £20 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Debit Cards will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply.

New Customer offer YSKARZ. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £20 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Debit Cards will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply.

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Challow Hurdle Winners (Last 10 Years)

2022 – HERMES ALLEN (11/10 fav)
2021 – STAGE STAR (5/4 fav)
2020 – BRAVEMANSGAME (5/2 jfav)
2019 – THYME HILL (4/6 fav)
2018 – CHAMP (Evs fav)
2017 – POETIC RHYTHM (15/8 fav)
2016 – MESSIRE DES OBEAUX (11/4)
2015 – BARTERS HILL (4/11 fav)
2014 – PARLOUR GAMES (6/1)
2013 – CAPTAIN CUTTER (8/1)

WATCH: Hermes Allen Winning The 2022 Challow Hurdle

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