There are many Galway Hurdle trends to apply to Thursday big race in Ireland. You can use these Galway Hurdle stats to find the best profiles based on past winners and put history on your side – a race the Willie Mullins and Tony Martin yards have won 8 times in the last 9 years.
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2023 Galway Hurdle Trends to Help You Find The Winner
The other big feature race at this week’s Galway Festival is Thursday’s Galway Hurdle, which is a Grade 3 Handicap run over a trip of 2m.
It’s a race that Tudor City has won twice in the last four years and at the grand old age of 11 is back for more. The €159k contest is also one that two trainers have dominated in recent years – Tony Martin and Willie Mullins as the pair have mopped up 8 of the last 9 renewals (4 each).
So, to help find the winner – let’s look at the key 2023 Galway Hurdle trends to look out for and hopefully by applying these to the final runners it will help point you in the direction of Thursday’s big winner.
What Date & Time Is The 2023 Galway Hurdle?
📅Time/Date: 5:05pm (Thursday, 3rd August 2023)
🏇Racecourse/Trip: Galway (2m)
💰 Winner: €159,300
📺 TV: RTE / SkySports Racing
🎲 Galway Hurdle Odds: Zarak The Brave 4/1| Filey Bay 6/1 | Brazil 7/1 | Jessie Evans 10/1
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2023 Galway Hurdle Trends
See below the last 20 runnings of the Galway Hurdle and the key trends to look out for.
- 20/20 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
- 19/20 – Won by an Irish-based trainer
- 18/20 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
- 17/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 16/20 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
- 15/20 – Irish bred
- 14/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
- 12/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
- 11/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 11/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
- 8/20 – Won last time out
- 7/20 – Aged 6 years-old
- 4/20 – Winning favourites
- 4/20 – Trained by Tony Martin (4 of the last 9)
- 4/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of the last 7) (5 in total)
- 3/20 – Ridden by Patrick Mullins (3 of the last 5)
- 2/20 – Trained by Michael Winters (2 of last 10 runnings)
- 2/20 – Trained by Paul Nolan
- Tudor City has won the race in 2019 and 2022
- The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
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Look For 2-4 Past Wins Over Hurdles
With 90% of the last 20 Galway Hurdle winners having won between 2-4 times over hurdles this is a great place to start in your search for the 2023 winner.
Yes, a lot will tick this stat, but of the 19 entered there is only one that falls down and that’s the likely favourite – Zarak The Brave, who has only won the once over the sticks.
Horses Aged Between 5-7 Have The Best Record
Age is next as 16 of the last 20 winners of the Galway Hurdle have been aged between 5-7. We can knock several out here, including Zarak The Brave again, who is just 4, plus Glan, Fils D’oudairies, Mighty Tom, the two-time winner Tudor City and Cash Back.
While, with 7 of the last 20 winners aged 6, this has been the hot-spot age. This year’s 6 year-olds in the race are Amir Kabir, Da Capo Glory, Captain Conby and Merlin Giant
Look For A ‘Top Three’ Finish Last Time Out
Coming into the Galway Hurdle off the back of a good recent run is key too – with 85% of the last 20 winners recording a 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out.
Fils D’oudairies, Zarak The Brave, Filey Bay, My Mate Mozzie, Cash Back, Mighty Tom, Bialystok, Prairie Dancer and the reserve Glan all get the thumbs up here.
We can also take this further with 8 of the last 20 winners having won last time out – good news for Fils D’oudairies, Mighty Tom, Bialystok and Glan.
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60% Of The Last 20 Winners Returned 7/1 Or Shorter In The Betting
Despite the competitive nature of the Galway Hurdle it’s been a race that punters are often right in. Over the last 20 runnings the winner has come from the top 3 in the betting 11 times, with 12 of those returning 7/1 or shorter.
Favourites Have a 20% Strike-Rate In The Last 20 Runnings
Following on from the last highlighted trend, it’s no shock the Galway Hurdle favourite has a fair record – winning 20% of the last 20 runnings, with 11 of those market leaders also hitting the top 4.
This year’s likely favourite with the best horse racing betting sites is Zarak The Brave.
Trainers Willie Mullins and Tony Martin Have Won 89% Of The Last Nine Galway Hurdles
Finally, as the headline told us, the Galway Hurdle has been a prize that has been dominated by trained Willie Mullins and Tony Martin in the last 9 years. Remarkably the pair have won EIGHT of the last 9 between them – four each – with only Joseph O’Brien, who runs Prairie Dancer (3rd in 2022), breaking the run in 2017.
Both are represented again in 2023 with Tony Martin having his two-time winner Tudor City, while Willie Mullins has Zarak The Brave, Cash Back, Icare Allen and Bialystok.
Gordon Elliott Has NEVER Won The Galway Hurdle
The other interesting trainer stat is that Gordon Elliott is still to win the Galway Hurdle. His Glan (reserve this year) was 4th 12 months ago, but the County Meath man is still hoping to break his duck in this race.
He runs several this year – Glan, Amir Kabir, Party Central and Fils D’oudairies.
Galway Hurdle Trends Picks
It’s hard to ignore the top record of Willie Mullins and Tony Martin, despite a few of the other trends being negatives for some of their entries.
Martin’s sole runner Tudor City, despite being 11, has to enter the mix and even though Zarak The Brave looks the main Mullins runner, with Paul Townend riding, he does fall down on age and having only won once over hurdles.
So, maybe Bialystok for Mullins is the one to side with. Danny Mullins rides and this Ricci runner heads here having won his last two. Has only had 4 runs over hurdles (2 wins) so should have more to come and has been freshened up with 100 days off.
Of the rest, Filey Bay also ticks a lot of boxes for the Grand National-winning trainer Emmet Mullins and from his 6 hurdles runs to date is yet to finish outside the first three (2 wins).
Recent Galway Hurdle Winners
- 2022 – TUDOR CITY (22/1)
- 2021 – SALDIER (18/1)
- 2020 – ARAMON (7/1)
- 2019 – TUDOR CITY (10/1)
- 2018 – SHARJAH (12/1)
- 2017 – TIGRIS RIVER (5/1)
- 2016 – CLONDAW WARRIOR (9/2 fav)
- 2015 – QUICK JACK (9/2)
- 2014 – THOMAS EDISON (7/2 fav)
- 2013 – MISSUNITED (7/1)
2023 Galway Hurdle Betting Odds
We take a look at the latest 2023 Galway Hurdle betting odds from Paddy Power
- Zarak The Brave @ 4/1
- Filey Bay @ 6/1
- Brazil @ 7/1
- Jesse Evans @ 10/1
- Party Central @ 10/1
- My Mate Mozzie @ 10/1
- Merlin Giant @ 10/1
- Glan @ 10/1
- Fils Doudairies @ 11/1
- Bialystok @ 14/1
- Mighty Tom @ 14/1
- Captain Colby @ 14/1
Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request
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WATCH: Tudor City Winning The 2022 Galway Hurdle (Again)
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