Use our 2023 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth trends to find the best profiles based on past winners of Saturday’s monster event that is shaping up to be one of the races of the flat season so far.
Best Horse Racing Offers for King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes
2023 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Trends to Help You Find The Winner
Saturday’s King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes is being billed at the ‘race of the season’ so far and it’s easy to see why.
If all the main players in the Ascot betting stand their ground for the weekend Group One, this will mean we’ll see the Epsom Derby first and second in Auguste Rodin and King Of Steel, the winners of the last two Coronation Cup – Hukum and Emily Upjohn and, of course, the current King George champ Pyledriver.
Wow, hold onto your hats.
Cases can really be made for them all with at this stage the Derby runner-up King Of Steel one of those topping the betting – but with so many superstars in the race this could easily change before Saturday (3:40pm).
So, to help find the winner – let’s look at the key 2023 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth trends to look out for and hopefully by applying these to the final eight runners it will help point you in the direction of Saturday’s big Ascot Group One race.
What Date & Time Is The 2023 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth?
📅Time/Date: 3:40pm (Saturday, 29th July 2023)
🏇Racecourse: Ascot
💰 Winner: £708, 875
📺 TV: SkySports Racing/ ITV
🎲 Odds: Auguste Rodin 9/4 | Emily Upjohn 4/1 | King Of Steel 9/2 | Hukum 6/1 | Pyledriver 15/2
RELATED: King George Runners Guide 2023 – Ascot Attracts 11 in Race of the Season So Far
2023 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Trends
See below the last 21 runnings of the King George VI & Queen Elizabeth and the key trends to look out for.
- 21/21 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
- 19/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
- 18/21 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
- 18/21 – Placed last time out
- 17/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
- 17/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- 17/21 – Previous Group 1 winner
- 13/21 – Had run Ascot before
- 12/21 – Aged 4 years-old
- 12/21 – Won their previous race
- 10/21 – Favourites that won
- 9/21 – Won at Ascot before
- 8/21 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
- 5/21 – Trained by John Gosden
- 4/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
- 2 of the last 9 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
- Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
- Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
- Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
- Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
- Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
- The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 4/1
RELATED: Hayley Turner Thinks Pyledriver Is The Ascot King George Value
Winning Form at Group 1 & 2 Level a Must
First up is a King George trend that pretty much most runners each year will tick – having won at least a Group 1 or 2 race before – with ALL of the last 21 Ascot winners backing up this stat.
No surprises that all of the main 2023 players get a quick thumbs up here – so let’s move on.
We can, however, take the stat a bit further with 81% of the last 21 winners having past Group One-winning form. Something that all of the leading contenders fit barring the Epsom Derby runner-up King Of Steel, who best level win came in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot last time out.
86% Of The Last 21 Winners Had Raced At Least Twice That Season
Next is to look for horses than have had at least two runs this term. This King George trend has been responsible for 18 of the last 21 winners and if applying it to this year’s main players three fall down – last year’s winner Pyledriver and Hukum, who have all only been seen on the track once this season.
Last Time Out Winners Have Won 57% Of The Last 21
This next Ascot stat can probably be taken with a pinch of salt and it stands at only just over half (57%).
That said, it’s still worth noting as 12 of the last 21 winners won last time out – which would mean Eclipse runner-up Emily Upjohn will need to overcome this.
Horses Aged 3 or 4 Have Dominated In Recent Times
Yes, last year we saw a 5 year-old winner of the King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes in Pyledriver and actually since 2018 we’ve had 4 of the 5 winners aged 5+.
However, the longer term stats tell us that 3 and 4 year-olds have done the best with 17 of the last 21 winners falling into this age bracket. Hukum (6) and Pyledriver (6) and the two older brigade runners that will be trying to defy this King George trend.
Since 1999, only the wonder mare Enable has won the race as a 6 year-old.
The King George Has Not Been A Bad Race For The Favourites
What about the record of the King George favourites?
It’s not been too bad to be honest with 10 of the last 21 market leaders winning (48%) and 4 of the last 7 going in.
Yes, last year we saw Pyledriver return 18/1, but overall this has resulted in 17 of the last 21 winners returning 6/1 or shorter in the betting, while the average winning SP has been just 4/1.
At this stage King Of Steel is the King George favourite with the best horse racing betting sites in the UK, but in a tight betting market a lot can change as we race towards the contest on Saturday.
Previous Course Form Helps and Note A Recent Royal Ascot Run
With 13 of the last 21 King George winners having raced at Ascot before this has to be considered, with 43% of those having tasted glory at the Berkshire track in the past too.
The big player to fall down here is the Epsom Derby winner Auguste Rodin, who is yet to race at the course.
Pyledriver (Hardwicke Stakes) and King Of Steel (King Edward VII Stakes) are the two recent Royal Ascot winners in the field.
Trainers Stoute, Gosden and O’Brien Have Dominated
Looking at the stables to follow, the King George has been a race where the cream of the training ranks have certainly risen to the top.
In the last 21 runnings a massive 12 have been won by Aidan O’Brien, John Gosden or Sir Michael Stoute and all three are represented again in 2023.
O’Brien’s main hope will be Auguste Rodin and could also have Luxembourg, Adelaide River, Point Lonsdale and Bolshoi Ballet. While Gosden will pin his hopes on his Coronation Cup winner Emily Upjohn and Stoute, who is the winning-most trainer in the race (6 wins) has 2022 Epsom Derby hero Desert Crown (now a non-runner).
Of the main runners, trainers Owen Burrows (Hukum) and Roger Varian (King Of Steel) are still searching their first King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes wins.
Can Frankie Dettori End On a King George High?
There will also be a lot of attention around a certain Frankie Dettori, who will be riding in his last King George this Saturday. With seven past wins he’s tied at the moment with Lester Piggott so one more success will see him bow out as the top winning rider in this Ascot Group One.
Frankie’s first King George success came on Derby winner Lammtarra in 1995, with Swain (1997 & 1998), Doyen (2004), Enable (2017, 2019 & 2020) his others.
Dettori will ride Emily Upjohn in Saturday’s King George.
Recent King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Winners
- 2022 – Pyledriver (18/1)
- 2021 – Adayar (9/4)
- 2020 – Enable (4/9 fav)
- 2019 – Enable (8/15 fav)
- 2018 – Poet’s Word (7/4)
- 2017 – Enable (5/4 fav)
- 2016 – Highland Reel (13/8 fav)
- 2015 – Postponed (6/1)
- 2014 – Taghrooda (7/2)
- 2013 – Novellist (13/2)
20223 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Betting Odds
We take a look at the latest 2023 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes betting odds from BetGoodwin.
- Auguste Rodin @ 9/4
- Emily Upjohn @ 4/1
- King Of Steel @ 9/2
- Hukum @ 6/1
- Pyledriver @ 15/2
- Westover @ 11/1
- Luxembourg @ 16/1
- Deauville Legend @ 33/1
- Point Lonsdale @ 100/1
- Bolshoi Ballet @ 125/1
Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request
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WATCH: Pyledriver Winning The 2022 King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes
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