The Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes (3:35) is the main race on the opening day of the four-day Doncaster St Leger Meeting today. A competitive field of 11 go in search of the Group Three £45,000 first prize with the prolific recent winner Adaay In Asia one of those propping up the betting. Let’s take a look and see which horses fit the most Sceptre Fillies Stakes trends.
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What Date Is The Sceptre Fillies Stakes 2022?
The Sceptre Fillies Stakes is a Group Three contest open to £3+ year-olds and up run over 7f on the opening day of the 4-day Doncaster St Leger Meeting.
📅Date: Wednesday, 7th September 2022
🏇Racecourse: Doncaster, (3:35pm)
💰 Winner: £45,368
📺 TV: Sky Racing
2022 Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes Trends and Stats
Apply these key Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes trends to the final 2022 runners to find the best winning profiles based on past winners.
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- 16/19 – Never raced at Doncaster before
- 15/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
- 12/19 – Won between 1-3 times before
- 11/19 – Drawn in stalls 3-7 (inc)
- 11/19 – Had won over 7f before
- 10/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
- 10/19 – Placed favourites
- 9/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
- 7/19 – Won last time out
- 5/19 – Winning favourites
- 3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/19 – Irish-trained winners
- 2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
- 1/19 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
- 6 of the last 10 winners aged 3 years-old
- Just Beautiful (11/4 fav) won the race in 2021
RELATED: 2022 St Leger: Five Of The Best Doncaster Winners Since 2000
Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes – The Key Stats
15 Of The Last 19 Winners Raced In The Last 6 Weeks
Having a fairly recent run (last 6 weeks) is a good place to start your trends analysis. However, most of the 11 runners fit the bill here. The only horse that falls down though is the Richard Fahey-trained Umm Kulthum, who was last seen two months ago at the start of July.
63% Of The Last 19 Winners Had Won 1-3 Times
With 12 of the last 19 winners having won between 1-3 times this is another stat to look for. The well-fancied Adaay In Asia gets a thumbs-down here with 7 wins, while Heredia is another that will need to overcome this stat (4 wins).
Those that get a thumbs-up are Novemba (2 wins), Umm Kulthum (3), Nectaris (3), Bounce The Blues (2), Divine Magic (3), Romantic Rival (2), Sunset Bay (2) and Honey Sweet (2).
Horses Drawn Between Stalls 3-7 Have Done Well
The draw has played its part too – with 11 of the last 19 winners coming between stalls 3-7. We’ve also only seen one winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 19 runnings (last year), so Sunset Bay (1) and the well-fancied Adaay In Asia (2) are overlooked.
Those drawn between 3-7 are – Romantic Rival, Nizaaka, Bounce The Blues, Divine Magic and Heredia.
Look For Horses That Have Won Over 7f Before
Winning over this 7f trip is another plus – something 11 of the last 19 winners had achieved. Of the 11 runners, only Honey Sweet, Romantic Rival and Umm Kulthum are yet to taste a win over this distance.
53% Of Recent Winners Came From Top 3 In Betting
It’s also been a race that punters have generally got right 0 backed up with 53% of the last 19 winners coming from the top three in the market. We’ve also had 5 of the last 19 favourites win and 10 of the last 19 jollies placed.
At this stage the likes of Adaay In Asia, Heredia, Novemba, Umm Kulthum and Nectaris are all prominent in the betting.
Sceptre Stakes Tip: Heredia Taken To Get Back To Winning Ways
The Richard Hannon-trained HEREDIA @ 9/2 with 888Sport ticks most of the main Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes trends, with only having won four times the slight negative. But she’s got a nice draw in 7 and has also been freshened up with 42 days off since her slightly poor run at Goodwood in the Oak Tree Stakes (8th).
Earlier this season she landed the Sandringham Stakes at Royal Ascot (watch below) over 1m and has won 4 of her 6 starts. Having gone well fresh in the past, the small break looks a plus and is the second highest-rated in the field (105) behind the German raider – Novemba.
Nectaris and Bounce The Blues The Dangers
Ryan Moore, who has won this race three times, catches the eye riding for the Jessie Harrington yard here on NECTARIS @ 10/1 with 888Sport and she is another that can go well. Not beaten far (3l) last time in France in a Group Three over a mile. The return to 7f is in his favour and the fact connections are making the trip over suggests she’s expected to run well.
BOUNCE THE BLUES @ 11/2 with 888Sport is interesting too and ticks most of the main trends too. Also comes from the Andrew Balding yard that have won two of the last four runnings and William Buick a top jockey booking. Yes, been a hard horse to win with (2 career wins), but in contrast has been placed (top three) seven times and often runs her race.
DID YOU KNOW?: 16 of the last 19 Sceptre Stakes winners had NEVER raced at Doncater – So, why not snap-up a FREE £30 bet with 888Sport to use on Wednesday’s Sceptre Stakes.
2022 Sceptre Stakes Betting and Full Runners
See below the latest betting ahead of the 2022 Sceptre Fillies Stakes on Wednesday 7th September – currently Novemba and Heredia head the betting at 4/1, which means the bookies are giving each of them a 20% chance of winning the race.
| Sceptre Stakes Horse |
Latest Odds | Win Probability | Bookmaker |
| NOVEMBA | 7/2 | 20.2% |  |
| HEREDIA | 9/2 | 18.2% | |
| ADAAY IN ASIA | 9/2 | 18.2 | |
| UMM KULTHUM | 5/1 | 16.7 | |
| BOUNCE THE BLUES | 11/2 | 15.4% | |
| NECTARIS | 10/1 | 9.1% | |
| NIZAAKA | 11/1 | 8.3% | |
| DIVINE MAGIC | 22/1 | 4.3% | |
| HONEY SWEET | 33/1 | 2.9% | |
| ROMANTIC RIVAL | 40/1 | 2.5% | |
| SUNSET BAY | 40/1 | 2.5% | |
All odds correct as of 09:12 BST on Wed 8 Sept and subject to change
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Recent Sceptre Fillies Stakes Winners
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- 2021 – Just Beautiful (11/4 fav)
- 2020 – Foxtrot Lady (18/1)
- 2019 – Breataking Look (20/1)
- 2018 – Dancing Star (7/2)
- 2017 – Music Box (8/1)
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Doncaster Race Times and Names | Wednesday 7th Sept 2022
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- 1:50 – Meriel Tufnell Apprentice Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-85) 6f SKY
- 2:25 – Cambion Electronics Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f SKY
- 3:00 – Ubettabelieveit Leger Legends Classified Stakes Cl5 (3yo+ 0-70) 1m SKY
- 3:35 – Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f SKY
- 4:10 – Cazoo Scarbrough Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo+) 5f SKY
- 4:45 – Vertem Nursery Handicap Cl4 (2yo 0-80) 1m SKY
- 5:20 – I Love Julie Parkes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f SKY
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