Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew found winners WOLFBURG (5-1) & VALENTINKA (6-1) on Tuesday and has four stats-based picks on Wednesday, February 28th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
BANGOR 3.20
HAUT ESTIME (Lucinda Russell chasers, first run after a wind operation)
Lucinda Russell does well with her chasers on their first run back following wind surgery, scoring with seven of the 48 qualifiers for a profit of £42.25 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those running in Class 4 or lower company were seven from 29 (+£61.25). HAUTE ESTIME disappointed at Ayr on January 2nd when we last saw her but the subsequent wind operation suggests excuses that day and she can bounce back in this Class 4 contest.
BANGOR 4.50
GWENNIE MAY BOY (system – Dan Skelton stable switchers, handicap hurdles)
Dan Skelton has a good record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards, especially the handicap hurdlers. He’s won with 40 of the 138 qualifiers (29% strike-rate) for a profit of £14.02 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who ran in a hurdle race last time out were 32 from 95 for a profit of £32.50. GWENNIE MAY BOY was reportedly never travelling prior to pulling up in a handicap hurdle for Jonjo O’Neill last time and can make a winning start for his new handler.
KEMPTON 6.00
JUST RITA (system – Marco Botti all-weather handicappers, fresh, aged three or four)
Marco Botti does well with all-weather handicappers who were returning from a break of at least 40 days, with the three and four-year-olds landing 49 of their 255 starts since the spring of 2016 for a profit of £116.28. JUST RITA’s sire Bated Breath gets plenty of winners at Kempton and the three-year-old can get off the mark on her handicap debut.
KEMPTON 6.30
HILLTOP (system – Kublers, up in trip to 1m+)
Daniel & Claire Kubler have a useful recent record when stepping a horse up in distance to 1m or further, scoring with eight of the 44 qualifiers since racing resumed after lockdown for a profit of £65.80 to a £1 level stake at SP. HILLTOP has a wide draw to overcome but the daughter of New Bay will improve for her 33-1 debut sixth at Lingfield and could sneak into the frame at juicy odds.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.
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Related
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