Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
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Andrew heads to Newbury, Taunton and Wolverhampton for his two recommended bets/trades on Saturday, December 30th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
NEWBURY 12.05
AMELIA’S DANCE had excuses when only fifth at Taunton last time, as she raced in the ‘swamp’ on the inside rail and was in good form before that run, finishing runner-up at big prices (33-1 and 16-1) and Wincanton and Kempton. However, the return to a left-handed track, especially a galloping one, is a major concern for Robert Walford’s eight-year-old. She finished unplaced at Stratford when last racing in this direction and was beaten by 30 lengths into fifth place when 7-1 for this race last year. Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.
Recommendation: Oppose AMELIA’S DANCE in Newbury 12.05
TAUNTON 3.20
DINDIN will be popular after his 22-1 second of 14 over the extended 2m7f trip here last month but looked flattered under patient tactics in a race run to suit the closers. The softer ground is not ideal either – his three wins in Britain all came on good ground between March and September – and he can be sold in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.
Recommendation: Oppose DINDIN in Taunton 3.20
WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15
GINCIDENT trailed home last of the eight runners in a Class 3 course and distance handicap 25 days ago but had excuses. Richard Fahey’s gelding had the worst of the draw in stall 8 and was ridden patient in a race not run to suit such tactics – the first four home were described by then Racing Post as ‘pressed leader’, ‘pressed leader’, ‘took keen hold, in touch with leaders’ and ‘led at steady pace’. Fifth-placed Queen Of Ipanema (‘held up in rear’) fared best of the hold-up horses and she came out to win at Wolverhampton a fortnight later when dropped to Class 4 level. Gincident is back in Class 4 company for the first time since April’s comfortable Musselburgh success and her full record in this grade or lower, since stepped up to 1m or further, reads 111 (3-3). Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.
Recommendation: Back GINCIDENT in Wolverhampton 5.15
RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today.
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All of the most popular horse racing spread betting markets like Winning Favourites, the 50-30-20-10 Race Index, Winning Distances, Favourites and Squared Numbers are included. When it comes sports spread betting sites in the UK today, Spreadex are number one. Check out SportsLens every day for more horse racing spread betting tips from Andrew Mount, complete with detailed analysis.
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- Check out the latest horse racing results from across the UK.
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