Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Spreadex Analysis – Monday, February 26th

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

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08/03/23

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Spreadex offers both normal fixed odds betting plus spread betting on horse racing. There are some key differences between this form of gambling and placing regular fixed odds bets. Get the calls right and punters could win big, but the potential to lose money can be much higher. Intrigued? Then check out this how to spread bet on horse racing guide:

Andrew made a good profit with his sell of ASH TREE MEADOW (4th, 6-1) on Sunday and has two recommended bets/trades on Monday, February 26th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30

BREGUET BOY will be popular in the betting for this 9.4f handicap having won on turf at Windsor the last time we saw him, but he has an inferior strike-rate on the all-weather (two from 22, as compared to six from 33) and he could prove vulnerable after a break. Brodie Hampson takes the mount and she’s just two from 63 on the all-weather since the beginning of 2020 for a loss of £53.67 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 9.46, A/E = 0.21). Sell in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market.

Recommendation: Oppose BREGUET BOY in Wolverhampton 5.30

 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

DIBBLE DABBLE took a step forward on her handicap debut at Chelmsford last time, staying on well from off the pace to finish fourth over the 1m2f trip in a race not run to suit (the winner made all and the runner-up was always prominent). The step up to 1m4f will suit this evening, as will the swich to Tapeta for the first time. Progeny of her sire, Time Test, have a 13 from 87 record over 1m or further on the surface (15% strike-rate) for a huge profit of £223.39 to a £1 level stake at SP and James Ferguson’s three-year-old rates a buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market. LUNAR ROCKS, who was ahead of Dibble Dabble when also inconvenienced by the steady gallop in that Chelmsford contest, is the obvious danger but is priced accordingly.

Recommendation: Back DIBBLE DABBLE in Wolverhampton 8.00

RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today, plus Andy Newton’s ‘Lay of the Day’ tip.


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