Use Andy Newton’s key Lanzarote Hurdle trends for the feature Premier Handicap and big betting race at Kempton Park on Saturday. You can see below the profile of recent Lanzarote Hurdle winners and apply these stats to the 2024 runners to narrow down your search for the Kempton winner.
Lanzarote Hurdle Trends & Kempton Park Races Betting Stats
The Lanzarote Hurdle, which is run at Kempton races, is one of the featured horse races in the UK this Saturday, along with the Classic Chase at Warwick.
The 2m5f handicap hurdle was won in 2024 by the Dan Skelton-trained West Balboa (watch below), while the powerful Nicky Henderson yard have trained three of the last 11 Lanzarote Hurdle winners and four in total.
See Andy Newton’s key 2024 Lanzarote Hurdle trends to apply to the final runners ahead of Saturday’s big Kempton Park race on Saturday 13th January (2:42pm).
You can also find the key stats for ALL Saturday’s ITV races here, plus Andy Newton’s tips for the main Kempton races.
Lanzarote Hurdle Trends and Stats
- 22/22 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
- 19/22 – Aged 7 or younger
- 19/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
- 17/22 – Won exactly 2 times over hurdles
- 16/22 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer
- 16/22 – Irish (10) or French (6) bred
- 16/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/22 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
- 14/22 – Carried 10-11 or less
- 13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 12/22 – Aged 6 years-old
- 10/22 – Placed favourites
- 9/22 – Won last time out
- 8/22 – Run at Kempton (5 won)
- 5/22 – Favourites
- 4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 11)
- 3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
- Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
- Since 1980 (38 runnings) 36 winners have been aged 7 or younger
- A claiming jockey has won 6 of the last 10 runnings
What Date & Time Is The 2024 Lanzarote Hurdle
📅Time/Date: 2:42pm (Sat 13th January 2024)
🏇Racecourse: Kempton Park
💰 Purse/Winner: £52,030
📺 TV: ITV4 / Racing TV
Lanzarote Hurdle Trends for Saturday’s Big Kempton Race
Use our key big race trends to find the best winning profile of past Lanzarote Hurdle winners. You can apply these stats to the final Kempton runners to see which horses have the best chance of winning based on history.
86% Of the Last 22 Lanzarote Hurdle Winners Ran in The Last 7 Weeks
Let’s get going by looking out for horses that had raced in the last 7 weeks. As I always say with this ‘days last ran’ trend it’s wise to give it a bit of grace – so with 7 weeks being 49 days, then there is no harm extending this a tad to 55 or less.
However, this year, all the runners fit the bill with Wonderwall, last year’s third Up For Parol and Nemean Lion all on the cusp having run 55 days ago.
Look For Horses That Won Between 1-3 Times Over Hurdles (or Exactly Two Times)
Next up is to note horses that have won between 1-3 times as ALL of the last 22 Lanzarote Hurdle winners ticked this trend. While with 77% of those winners having exactly 2 past wins, this is another stat to investigate further.
The Lanzarote Hurdle runners that have won between 1-3 times over hurdles are – Impose Toi, Nemean Lion, King Alexander, Good Luck Charm, Up For Parol, Hermino AA, Samuel Spade, Wonderwall, Jay Jay Reilly and Teddy Blue.
While there are only two that have won exactly twice before over hurdles – Teddy Blue and Hermino AA, who are also both trained by Gary Moore, plus the Dan Skelton runner Jay Jay Reilly.
Horses Aged 7 Or Younger Have a Great Lanzarote Hurdle Record (Especially 6 year-olds)
With horses aged 7 or younger having won 19 of the last 22 runnings of the Lanzarote Hurdle is the age cut off trend.
At this stage there are seven horses aged 8 or older in the race – Quinta Do Mar, Langer Dan, Jay Jay Reilly, Wonderwall, Up For Parol and Good Luck Charm
While if you want to drill into the age trend a bit more it might pay to know that 12 of the last 22 Lanzarote Hurdle winners were aged 6 – including the 2022 winner Cobblers Dream.
73% Of The Last 22 Lanzarote Hurdle Winners Returned 10/1 Or Shorter In The Betting
In 2021 we had a shock 66/1 winner of the Lanzarote Hurdle (Boreham Bill), while in 2019 Big Time Dancer won at 16/1. But in the last 22 runnings we’ve still had 73% of winners return 10/1 or shorter in the betting, while 13 of the last 22 successful horses also came top 3 in betting.
This, therefore, suggests – despite its competitive nature – it’s a race that punters are not too far off the mark with. We’ll look at the favourites record below.
How Have Past Lanzarote Hurdle Winners Fared?
In short, since the race was first run in 1978, we are yet to have a back-to-back winner of the Lanzarote Hurdle.
Ok, I’ll confess I’ve not been back over all those races and found out if any (if any) past winners returned the following season to defend their title, but last year’s winner West Balboa is not in the race this year.
Kempton Experience a Plus
With 36% of the last 21 Lanzarote Hurdle winners having raced at Kempton before, then this is a sort of ‘back-up trend’ to look out for. Within that 36% stat 23% were past winners at the Sunbury-on-Thames venue too.
Of the 2024 entries, Jay Jay Reilly, Samuel Spade, Aucunrisque and Mark Of Gold are all past winners at Kempton.
Lanzarote Hurdle Favourites Have Won 22% Of The Last 22 Renewals
The race hasn’t been too bad for favourite backers either with 5 of the last 22 market leaders going in.
Yes, we are currently on a run of seven renewals without a jolly winning, with the last being Yala Enki in 2016, but it’s still operating at a fair 22% strike-rate over the last 22 runnings.
This year’s favourite looks set to be the Nicky Henderson-trained Impose Toi, who is prominent in the market with the best UK horse racing betting sites.
41% Of The Last 22 Lanzarote Hurdle Winners Won Their Last Race
Recent winners are another stat to look out for as 9 of the last 22 Lanzarote Hurdle winners ticked this stat. Of those entered for 2024 we’ve Sonigino, King Alexander Mothill, Samuel Spade and Serious Operator as winners in their last race.
Look Out For Any Conditional Jockeys Riding In The Race
Being a handicap race then in recent years connections have tried to help their horses by jocking-up a conditional pilot that is able to claim a bit of weight off the horses back.
This has been a fruitful ploy with 6 of the last 10 winners having a claiming jockey doing the steering.
Here are the horses set to be ridden by claimers – Quinta Do Mar, Teddy Blue, Jay Jay Reilly, Serious Operator, Mothill and Good Luck Charm.
Some Early Cheltenham Festival Clues?
The Lanzarote Hurdle might look to be a race that will give out some Cheltenham Festvial pointers and, yes, 16 of the last 22 winners of this race went onto contest a race at the Festival.
However, of those 16 horses this race hasn’t produced a Cheltenham Festival winner, the 2022 winner Cobblers Dream did run second in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle
While William Henry was fourth in the 2018 Coral Cup after winning the Lanzarote and West Balboa, who won in 2023, didn’t run at the Festival.
Trainers Gary Moore, Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls Should Be Respected
Finally, the trainers to look out for ahead of the Lanzarote Hurdle, based on recent winners, are Gary Moore, Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls.
Moore has three wins to his name – albeit in 1996, 1998 and 2007, but it’s still a race he likes to target. Henderson has four successes, including three of the last 11, while Nicholls won the prize three times between 2008 and 2017.
At this stage, Moore has Mark Of Gold, who fell early on in the race last year, Teddy Blue and Herimo AA. Henderson has Impost Toi and King Alexander, while Nicholls has Irish Hill and Sonigino.
Lanzarote Hurdle 2024 Betting & Key Runners
See below the latest betting odds with BetMGM ahead of the Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton on Saturday 13th January 2024. You can also a £40 free bet for staking £10.
- Impose Toi 10/3
- Sonigino 5/1
- Nemean Lion 11/1
- King Alexander 9/1
- Good Luck Charm 11/1
- Mark Of Gold 12/1
- Up For Parol 12/1
- Quinta Do Mar 16/1
- Wonderwall 16/1
- Irish Hill 16/1
- Mothill 16/1
- Hermino AA 18/1
- Samuel Spade 18/1
- Serious Operator 20/1
- Aucunrisque 28/1
- Langer Dan 33/1
- Jay Jay Reilly 33/1
- Teddy Blue 33/1
- Kaleb 33/1
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Recent Lanzarote Hurdle Winners
- 2023 – WEST BALBOA (12/1)
- 2022 – COBBLERS DREAM (10/1)
- 2021 – BOREHAM BILL (66/1)
- 2020 – BURROWS EDGE (5/1)
- 2019 – BIG TIME DANCER (16/1)
- 2018 – WILLIAM HENRY (7/1)
- 2017 – MODUS (7/1)
- 2016 – YALA ENKI (11/4 fav)
- 2015 – TEA FOR TWO (9/2 jfav)
- 2014 – SAPHIR DU RHEU (6/1)
- 2013 – OSCARA DARA (5/1)
WATCH: West Balboa Winning The 2023 Lanzarote Hurdle at Kempton
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