Shishkin, who refused to race at Ascot last weekend, is back in action this Saturday as trainer Nicky Henderson has confirmed his quirky chaser for Newcastle’s Rehearsal Chase. However, horse racing fans are expected to be wary of betting on him after his Ascot antics plus he’ll also have a massive weight to carry. So, does the Shishkin horse profile tick the Rehearsal Chase trends, or will be plant himself at the start again?
Shishkin Confirmed For 2023 Rehearsal Chase But Will Have To Lump 12t Round
12 months ago we saw the Venetia Williams-trained L’Homme Presse carry 12st to victory in Saturday’s Rehearsal Chase at Newcastle and that’s exactly what Nicky Henderson’s Shishkin will be trying to replicate.
After refusing to race last weekend at the start of the 1965 Ascot Chase (watch below), connections of Shishkin are keen to get him back on the track as quickly as possible with the Boxing Day King George VI Chase at Kempton still very much a target.
Henderson said after the Ascot race he wasn’t sure what got into his horse Shishkin, but was in a bit of a mood all day and would still be there now if given the chance.
But the Seven Barrows handler also hinted that he didn’t want to be heading straight to Kempton and the King George without trying him again – saying it wouldn’t be nice if he did a similar thing on Boxing Day.
Most Of The Horses Shishkin Takes On Will Be Running From Out Of The Handicap
The crazy thing about Shishkin’s entry in Saturday’s Rehearsal Chase is that being rated 173 most of the others will have to race from out of the handicap. Shishkin is a horse that is normally seen in top Grade One races, but now into a handicap has to give a lot of weight away to the others to make it a fair race.
If running, the second highest-rated in the field is GA Law off a mark of 152 and a full 21lbs lower than Shishkin.
Therefore, Saturday’s inclusion in Newcastle’s Rehearsal Chase, where he’ll travel up with the Champion Hurdle winner Constitution Hill, will be more of a test if jockey Nico De Boinville can get him to start, more than anything else.
The best horse racing betting sites are still making Shishkin the betting favourite, but you feel many punters might prefer this time to see if he starts the race – so in-play wagering here might be on the rise.
Henderson’s only previous win in the Rehearsal Chase came in 2017 with Beware The Bear.
If Shishkin can get back on track, then it will be all systems go toward the King George at Kempton on Boxing Day, where he’s 7/1 with the best online gambling sites.
When Is The Rehearsal Chase 2023?
đź“…Date: Saturday 2nd December 2023
đź•™Time: 3:05pm
🏇Racecourse: Newcastle (2m 7 1/2f, Premier Handicap)
đź’° Winner: ÂŁ39,865
đź“ş TV: ITV / Racing TV
Shishkin Horse Profile and Stats
- Trainer: Nicky Henderson
- Owner: Mrs J Donnelly
- Jockey: Nico De Boinville
- Age: 9
- Career Runs (Rules): 18
- Career Wins: 13
- Chase Runs/Wins: 13 (9 wins)
- Career Earning: ÂŁ736,803
- Last Race: Refused Ascot (25th Nov 2023)
Rehearsal Chase Trends 2023: Find The Newcastle Winner Using Our Stats
Looking at the Shishkin horse profile, let’s see if he fits the key Rehearsal Chase trends.
95% of the last 19 winners failed to win their last race, which Shishkin ticks after refusing to run last time at Ascot. While 74% of those winners were also unplaced last time out.
Irish-bred horses have won 84% of the last 19 runnings and this is another plus for Shishkin. While 63% had won at least three times over fences and we’ve seen 26% of favourites win in the last 19 years.
Finally, with 84% of the last 19 winners carried 10st 12lbs or more so with a big burden of 12st this is another tick for Shishkin.
So, all-in-all – providing he starts the race – the Shishkin horse profile suggest he’s still the one to beat. You can back him below with Rehearsal Chase race sponsors BetMGM and get a ÂŁ40 free bet too.
- 18/19 – Didn’t win last time out
- 16/19 – Irish bred winners
- 16/19 – Carried 10-12 or more
- 14/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
- 14/19 – Won a UK chase race over at least 3m
- 14/19 – Unplaced in last race
- 12/19 – Won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
- 11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths+
- 8/19 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
- 7/19 – Favourites unplaced
- 6/19 – Aged 8 years-old
- 4/19 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
- 5/19 – Favourites (1 joint)
- 3/19 – Trained by the Nicky Richards stable
- 9 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or older
- L’Homme Presse (9/4 fav) won the race in 2022
- Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow
Rehearsal Chase Betting Odds
- Shishkin 6/4
- Empire Steel 4/1
- Easy As That 6/1
- Elvis Mail 7/1
- Bill Baxter
- Credo 10/1
- Datsalrightgino
- GA Law 10/1
Note: Odds are subject to change and other on request.
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What Happened To Shishkin At Ascot in 1965 Chase?
See below as Shishkin plants himself as the tape goes up for the Nirvana Spa 1965 Ascot Chase – prompting trainer Nicky Henderson to say ” he’d still be there now, if he had his own way”.
Did you know? Shishkin is named after the Russian landscape painter – Ivan Ivanovich Shishkin – who lived in the 1800’s.
Recent Rehearsal Chase Winners
2022 – L’Homme Presse (6/4 fav)
2021 – Ayr Right (5/1)
2020 – Yorkhill (66/1)
2019 – Takingrisks (20/1)
2018 – Lake View Lad (8/1)
WATCH: L’Homme Presse Winning The 2022 Rehearsal Chase
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