You can use our Chester horse racing trends to narrow down the search for the winners as the meeting moves into day two on Thursday. These Chester stats will give you a chance to whittle the runners to find the best profiles based on past winners of the races.
Best Horse Racing Offers for Chester Horse Racing
Chester Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV4 Racing Stats for Thursday 11th May 2023
See below the key horse racing trends for the five LIVE ITV4 races at Chester on Thursday, that includes the Dee Stakes and Ormonde Stakes.
RELATED: Chester Horse Racing Free Bets: Claim £160 In Betting Offers For Chester May Meeting
Chester Horse Racing Trends: CAA Stellar Handicap Stats
With 86% of the last 14 winners drawn in stalls 5 or lower this is a massive stat we can’t ignore – meaning Night On Earth, Lihou, Nymphadora, Harry’s Bar and Navello have a big chance. Add in that 79% of the last 14 winners also finished in the top 7 last time out, then of those five draw runners we are left with Navello, Lihou and Harry’s Bar.
1.30 – CAA Stellar Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4
- 14/14 – Won from stall 7 or lower
- 14/14 – Had won over 5f before
- 13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
- 12/14 – Came from stall 5 or lower
- 12/14 – Had won between 2-6 times before
- 11/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
- 11/14 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
- 9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 9/14 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
- 9/14 – Had raced at Chester before
- 7/14 – Officially rated between 87-90
- 7/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 7/14 – Winning favourites
- 5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 3/14 – Winners from stall 1
- Jason Hart has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
- 12 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 1-4
RELATED: Chester Horse Racing Trends: Stats To Find Thursday’s ITV Racing Winners
Chester Horse Racing Trends: Deepbridge Handicap Stats
Stalls 2-7 have dominated in this next 7f competitive handicap – which is good news for Vetiver, True Statesman, Urban Sprawl, Self Aclaim, Surely Not and Coco Jack. A previous run this season is another plus and don’t worry if your fancy hasn’t raced at Chester before.
2.05 – Deepbridge Capital Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4
- 18/20 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
- 18/20 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
- 17/20 – Had a previous run that season
- 15/20 – Came between stalls 2-7
- 12/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
- 12/20 – Finished third or better last time out
- 12/20 – Placed favourites
- 8/20 – Winning favourites (or joint)
- 5/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
- 6/20 – Placed horses from stall 1
- 3/20 – Winners from stall 1
- 2/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
- 2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Chester Horse Racing Trends: Dee Stakes Stats
Jockey Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners, so his mount San Antonio will be popular – especially coming from the Aidan O’Brien yard that have won this race 6 times in the last 9 runnings. The race is often deemed an Epsom Derby trial, but only Kris Kin has done the double in the last 19 renewals.
2.40 – Boodles Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4
- 19/20 – Had not run at Chester before
- 18/20 – Yet to win over this trip before
- 16/20 – Came from stall 3 or higher
- 16/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/20 – Favourites finished in the frame
- 12/20 – Failed to win another race after taking this (at the time of this race)
- 11/20 – Had a previous run that season
- 10/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 10/20 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
- 9/20 – Won by the favourite
- 9/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (6 of the last 9)
- 6/20 – Won their previous race
- 1/20 – Winners from stall 1
- Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 19 years
- Jockey Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners
Chester Horse Racing Trends: Ormonde Stakes Stats
Last year’s Chester Vase winner Changingoftheguard is back on the Roodee here and it’s another race Aidan O’Brien likes to win – 5 wins in the last 20. The likely favourite though will be the William Haggas-trained Hamish, who is 7 years-old now. He’s drawn in stall 7 too and with all of the last 6 winners from stalls 5 or lower this would give those looking to oppose him something to cling to.
3.15 – tote.co.uk Bet £5 Get £20 Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4
- 18/20 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
- 16/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
- 13/20 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
- 14/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
- 11/20 – Had a previous run that season
- 11/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
- 10/20 – Won by the favourite
- 9/20 – Had run before at Chester
- 5/20 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
- 5/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
- 5/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 3/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
- The last 6 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Chester Horse Racing Trends: TMT Group Handicap Stats
82% of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5 or higher, so this is a fair stat to note. Look for horses carrying between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight too – if we combine these two stats Amor Vincit Omnia, Jean Baptiste and Thunder Max might be worth an interest.
3.45 – TMT Group Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m 2 1/2f ITV4
- 10/11 – Carried between 8-11 and 9-3 in weight
- 10/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
- 9/11 – Had won at the track before
- 9/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or higher
- 9/11 – Won over at least 1m2f
- 9/11 – Rated 79-84 (inc)
- 8/11 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
- 8/11 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
- 8/11 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
- 8/11 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
- 8/11 – Unplaced favourites
- 8/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
- 7/11 – Won 4+ times in the past
- 5/11 – Irish bred
- 3/11 – Winners from stall 8
- 1/11 – Winning favourites
- 0/11 – Winners from stall 1
1.
|
50% Back As A Free Bet Up To £25
New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period
New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period |
Claim Offer |
RELATED: Chester Placepot Tips On Thursday: Chester May Meeting Tote Placepot Best Bets
Related Horse Racing Content:
- Best Horse Racing Free Bets Offers at UK Sportsbooks – Top Horse Racing Bonuses for 2023
- Top Free Horse Racing Tips & Advice for UK Betting Today
- Free Horse Racing Lucky 15 Tips for Today – Best Lucky 15 Bet Today
- Today’s Racecards – View Horse Racing Cards Today
- Horse Racing Results Today – See All Recent Race Results & Winners
Add Sportslens to your Google News Feed!
