See below our 2023 Irish Champion Stakes trends ahead of this Saturday’s big Group One Leopardstown race – a prize that trainer Aidan O’Brien has won a remarkable 11 times in the past.
Best Horse Racing Offers for Irish Champion Stakes
Irish Champion Stakes Trends: Key Stats To Help Find Leopardstown Winner
Top horse racing in Ireland this weekend too for Irish Champions Weekend with action at both Leopardstown (Sat) and the Curragh (Sun), with the Group One Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes one of the big highlights.
The Saturday Leopardstown contest carries a monster €700k top prize and it’s a race the powerful Aidan O’Brien yard have farmed in recent times – winning it a remarkable 11 times – including all of the last four runnings.
O’Brien pins his hopes on a 12th winner on his Epsom Derby hero Auguste Rodin, who needs to bounce back from flopping in the King George at Ascot last time – but he’s bounced back from a poor run in the past, so can he do it again?
He’ll also take on the Derby runner-up in King Of Steel, plus a top-class supporting cast that includes Alflaila, Nashwa, Al Riffa, last year’s winner Luxembourg and the Frankie Dettori-ridden Onesto, who was runner-up in 2022.
See below the key Irish Champion Stakes trends that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race.
RELATED: Irish Champion Stakes Runners Guide 2023 – King Of Steel & Auguste Rodin Battle Again
When Is The 2023 Irish Champion Stakes?
🕙Time: 3:20pm
📅Date: Saturday 9th Sept 2023
🏇Racecourse: Leopardstown
💰: Winner: €712,500
📺 TV: Racing TV / ITV3
🎲 Odds: Auguste Rodin 11/4 | King Of Steel 11/4 | Alflaila 11/2 | Nashwa 13/2 | Onesto 13/2
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Irish Champion Stakes Trends (The Last 21 Runnings)
- 21/21 – Previous Group 1 winner
- 20/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 19/21 – Won 4 or more times before
- 19/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
- 18/21 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 17/21 – Ran at York, Sandown or Ascot last time out
- 17/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
- 15/21 – Rated 120+
- 15/21 – Placed favourites
- 14/21 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
- 13/21 – Trained in Ireland
- 12/21 – Aged 3 years-old
- 11/21 – Won last time out
- 10/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
- 9/21 – Winning favourites
- 8/21 – Previous course winners
- 6/21 – Returned odds-on
- 4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 9)
- 3/21 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10)
- 3/21 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
- 3/21 – Won the Coral Eclipse last time out
- The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 4/1
95% Of The Last 21 Winners Returned 8/1 Or Shorter
In 2017 we saw a shock 25/1 winner (Decorated Knight) of the Irish Champion Stakes, but over the last 21 runnings it’s been a race dominated by horses nearer the top of the market.
A massive 20 of the last 21 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting – including 9 of the last 10 winners actually priced 7/1 or less.
Look For Horses With 4+ Wins To Their Name
Having a bit of winning experience is the next Irish Champion Stakes trend to look for, with 90% of the last 21 winners having been in the winners’ enclosure at least four times before.
Most fit the bill here, but three of the more fancied ones that don’t are King Of Steel, last year’s second Onesto and Al Riffa, who have all won just 2 or 3 times.
86% Of Recent Winners (last 21) Finished In The Top 3 Last Time Out
A recent good run is another thing to look for as 18 of the last 21 winners took the Irish Champion Stakes having finished 3rd or better last time out.
This is a big trend for the Aidan O’Brien-trained Auguste Rodin to overcome after running down the field in the King George at Ascot last time out.
Last year’s 1-2 in the race Luxembourg and Onesto also fall down here having both been 4th in their most recent outing.
RELATED: 2023 Sprint Cup Trends: Key Stats To Find Saturday’s Big Haydock Winner
A Recent Run at York, Sandown or Ascot Last Time Is a Plus
York, Sandown or Ascot form has been a positive path for Irish Champion Stakes winners too – with 17 of the last 21 winners having run at one of those three venues in their last outing.
The main two in the betting – King Of Steel and Auguste Rodin – both tick this box having run at Ascot last time, while Alflaila and Nashwa were both in action at York in their most recent outing.
Irish Champion Stakes Favourites Have A Good Record
With Auguste Rodin and King Of Steel both tight at the head of the 2023 Irish Champion Stakes betting market, then we might not know the actual favourite until nearer the off time.
However, whichever horse has the ‘favourites tag’ this would be a big plus as the market leaders have fared well – winning 9 of the last 21 – which equates to a 43% strike-rate.
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien The Irish Champion Stakes Kings
Finally, as mentioned in the intro, the Irish Champion Stakes is a race the Aidan O’Brien yard have a top record in – winning the pot 11 times, including for the last four years.
As a result, his main jockey Ryan Moore has also done well in the race – winning 4 of the last 9.
They team up again this Saturday with Auguste Rodin.
RELATED: 2023 Melbourne Cup Betting Odds: Vauban The Flemington Favourite
2023 Irish Champion Stakes Betting
See below the latest Sprint Cup betting odds from BetUK
- King Of Steel 11/4
- Auguste Rodin 3/1
- Alflaila 6/1
- Onesto 6/1
- Nashwa 13/2
- Al Riffa 8/1
- Luxembourg 9/1
- 33/1 Bar
Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request
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T&Cs apply.. New customers, Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 free bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. |
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Irish Champion Stakes Winners (Last 10 Years)
- 2022 – Luxembourg (7/2)
- 2021 – St Mark’s Basilica (5/6 fav)
- 2020 – Magical (9/2)
- 2019 – Magical (11/10 fav)
- 2018 – Roaring Lion (8/11 fav)
- 2017 – Decorated Knight (25/1)
- 2016 – Almanzor (7/1)
- 2015 – Golden Horn (5/4 fav)
- 2014 – The Grey Gatsby (7/1)
- 2013 – The Fugue (4/1)
WATCH: Luxembourg Winning The 2022 Irish Champion Stakes
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