York Racing Tips & Trends: 1-2-3 Best Bets, Sat 8th Oct 22

Horse Racing NAP York
Horse Racing NAP York
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York also stages a decent Saturday card this weekend and that’s picked up on by the ITV horse racing cameras, who are on the Knavesmire to take in three LIVE races. The Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (3:15) is one of the highlights.

Here at SportsLens, we take you through the best of York races on Saturday with our quickfire 1-2-3 selections, plus the key trends to apply to each contest.

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RELATED: Cesarewitch Handicap 2022 Betting Trends For Newmarket Race


itv racing

York Horse Racing Tips & Trends | 1-2-3 Best Bets For ITV Racing, Saturday 8th Oct 22

See our quickfire 1-2-3 York horse racing best bets for the ITV races on Saturday, 8th October.


RELATED: Dewhurst Stakes 2022 Betting Trends For Newmarket Race


2.05 – Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

  • 1. ALPHA CAPTURE 2. Bolt Action 3. Rousing Encore

ALPHA CAPTURE @ 9/4 with VirginBet has only had three career runs but is yet to finish out of the first two. A winner at Carlisle back in August and was only just denied last time at Doncaster over 6 1/2f. He took a bit of a hold that last day so the drop back to 6f here is a good move and the William Haggas yard took this race 12 months ago too.

Bolt Action has won 2 of his 7 races and has only been out of the top three once. Was a winner last time at Salisbury too and before that had been placed in Listed races. The Varian yard won this in 2013 too and from stall 1 he’s another for the shortlist.

Richard Fahey is another stable that’s done well in this race – winning it in 2015 – and their Rousing Encore makes up the trio. This 2 year-old was a fair second to the classy Sakheer, who had been favourite for the Dewhurst this Saturday, last time at Newbury in the Mill Reef. That was a solid run despite going down 3 ½ lengths and if running to that level again it’s hard to not see him having a say too.

  • KEY TRENDS
  • 19/19– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
  • 18/19 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
  • 16/19 – Had 4 or more runs that season
  • 15/19 – Foaled in March or later
  • 14/19 – Had never raced at York before
  • 13/19 – Had won over 6f before
  • 13/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 10/19 – Placed favourites
  • 10/19 – Unplaced last time out
  • 8/19 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
  • 5/19 – Won last time out
  • 5/19 – Winning favourites
  • 5/19 – Filly winners
  • 4/19 – Winners from stall 2
  • 3/19 – Placed horses from stall 1
  • The  horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 12 runnings

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2.40 – Coral ‘Beaten-By-A-Length’ Free Bet Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

  • PROTAGONIST 2. Saga. Marching Army

PROTAGONIST @ 11/8 with VirginBet can bounce back to winning ways here after running down the field in the Cambridgeshire Handicap last time out. This William Haggas runner had won twice before that at Doncaster and Sandown, while the return to this slightly longer trip will be more up his street.

The King’s horse, Saga, hasn’t really fulfilled its potential, with patchy form. But was still a close second in the Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot earlier this season and looks interesting now upped to 1m2f for the first time.

Godolphin’s Marching Army will draw the eye of punters as he’s the only horse with a recent win – in fact, he’s notched up two from his last runs and 4 from this last 5. Up another 6lbs this time but seems to be a horse that only just does enough in his races, so could still have more to come.

  • KEY TRENDS
  • Just 9 previous runnings
  • 8/9 – Rated between 95-103
  • 8/9 –  Returned 10/1 or shorter
  • 8/9 – Won over at least 1m2f before
  • 7/9  – Aged 3 years-old
  • 6/9 – Didn’t win last time out
  • 6/9 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
  • 6/9 – Carried 9-0 or more
  • 5/9 – Unplaced last time out
  • 4/9 – Had run at the track before
  • 4/9 – Irish bred
  • 2/9 – Winning favourites
  • 2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 8

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3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

1. LUCKY MAN (e/w) 2. Bielsa 3. Dakota Gold

LUCKY MAN (e/w) @ 8/1 with VirginBet gets the verdict in a race with a bundle of chances. This Richard Spencer-trained 3 year-old has the younger legs though on most in the race and that will help. He’s a proven CD winner too and was a close fourth in the Ayr Gold Cup (watch below) last time out. He escapes a rise in the handicap for that run too and before that effort had run two solid races at York (2nd and 1st). In fact, his overall record at York is very good 2-2-1 and jockey PJ McDonald, who was riding last time, remains in the saddle.

Gulliver is a 2-time winner of the race and is back for more for the David O’Meara team who have won 50% of the last 6 runnings. Another yard that has done well in the race is the Kevin Ryan team – he runs Gis A Sub, Bergerac and Bielsa and it’s the last-named that is of interest. Well drawn in 9 as 7 of the last 8 winners have come from a single-figure berth, and it’s interesting that the blinkers are on for the first time. He’s also down 2lbs from his 14th in the Ayr Gold Cup and is now a pound lower than when last winning.

Dakota Gold is another familiar face in these big-field sprint handicaps and despite his advancing years can go well too. A winner here at York in May off only 2lb lower and even though his form has been a bit patchy this term has been 1st or 2nd in three of his seven races. The Dods yard also has history in this race – winning it in back-to-back seasons in 2013 and 2014.

WATCH: Lucky Man finishes 4th in the 2022 Ayr Gold Cup

  • KEY TRENDS
  • 19/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
  • 19/19 – Had won at least 3 races before
  • 18/19 – Had run at York before
  • 18/19 – Had won a race over 6f before
  • 17/19 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
  • 14/19 – Aged 5 or younger
  • 14/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 10/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
  • 10/19 – Unplaced favourites
  • 10/19 – Rated between 92 and 98
  • 10/19 – Carried 9-2 or less
  • 8/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
  • 5/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
  • 4/19 – Won last time out
  • 3/19 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 6)
  • 2/19 – Winning favourites
  • 2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
  • 2/19 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 5 winners)
  • 2/19 – Trained by Michael Dods
  • 1/19 – Filly or mare winners
  • 7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
  • 4 of the last 13 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
  • Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019 and 2020

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RELATED: Cesarewitch Handicap 2022 Trends: Weight Stat You Can’t Ignore


York Race Times and Name | Saturday 8th Oct 2022

  • 1:30 – Coral Play ‘Racing-Super-Series’ For Free Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 1m RTV
  • 2:05 – Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV
  • 2:40 – Coral ‘Beaten-By-A-Length’ Free Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-110) 1m2½f ITV
  • 3:15 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV
  • 3:50 – Coral Committed To Safer Gambling ebfstallions.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 1m RTV
  • 4:25 – Watch Racing Online Free With Coral Stayers Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 2m½f RTV
  • 5:00 – Coral Gets You Closer To The Action Finale Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m2½f RTV

RELATED: Chepstow Racing Tips & Trends – 1-2-3 Best Bets on Silver Trophy Card, Sat 8th Oct 2022


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