Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Saturday Picks – January 20th

Andrew Mount
Andrew Mount

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

Andrew has three stats-based selections for the all-weather action at Lingfield and Wolverhampton on Saturday, January 20th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:ks on Thursday, January 18th.

LINGFIELD 12.50

BALON D’OR (system – Kodiac, gelded since last run)

Progeny of the sire Kodiac have a useful record on their first run back after a gelding operation, landing 53 of their 374 starts (14.2% strike-rate) for a profit of £199.58 to a £1 level stake at SP. The form of BALON D’OR’s last-time out Kempton third was boosted when runner-up Kodiac Thriller went one better at Lingfield next time and Hugo Palmer’s three-year-old might be able to end a losing run of nine since scoring on his racecourse debut at Musselburgh last spring.

 

LINGFIELD 1.25

SAX APPEAL (system – Charlie Johnston, second run since gelded, all-weather handicaps)

The Johnston yard has a good record with all-weather handicappers on their second start after a gelding operation, scoring with 21 of the 84 qualifiers since the spring of 2016 for a profit of £26.62. Since Charlie Johnston took over the licence the three qualifiers at Lingfield all won (7-1, 7-2 and 3-1), suggesting that SAX APPEAL could be worth chancing despite only finishing in mid-division at Kempton last time.

 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00

SI SI LA BONNE (system – Kodi Bear, Wolverhampton, 5f-7f)

Progeny of the sire Kodi Bear prefer Tapeta to Polytrack (13% strike-rate, as opposed to 9%) and they do especially well at Wolverhampton over the shorter trips (5f-7f). Backing all the qualifiers would have found 16 winners from 93 bets for a profit of £62.48 to a £1 level stake at SP. SI SI LA BONNE disappointed at Chelmsford on her handicap debut but might do better now switching to Tapeta for the first time.

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