Sunday’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2022 – the richest flat horse race in Europe – is shaping up to be a top renewal with plenty of chances. We take a look at the latest Arc betting and the key trends to have on your side ahead of the big Longchamp race today, on Sunday 2nd October.
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What Date/Time Is The Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2022?
📅Date: 3:05pm – Sunday, 2nd October 2022
🏇Racecourse: Longchamp
💰 Purse/Winner: € 5,000,000 / €2,857,00
📺 TV: ITV / Sky Racing
DID YOU KNOW? 15 of the last 20 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe winners came from stalls 8 or lower – So, why not snap-up a FREE £30 bet with 888Sport to use on Sunday’s Arc?
2022 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe: Main Stats To Note
This Sunday (2nd Oct), the focus is over in France, with Europe’s richest flat race on the turf – the Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe – the big highlight.
Last year, we saw a surprise winner as the German-trained Torquator Tasso @ 15/2 with 888Sport added to the countries last Arc winner – Danedream in 2011 – and the Marcel Weiss-trained 5 year-old is back for more on Sunday to try and defend his title.
If successful, he’ll become the third back-to-back winner of the Arc since 2013, with Treve and the mighty Enable both winning the race in consecutive seasons in recent times.
The ‘great news’ is there are many other key trends to take into the 2022 Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe – including the fact a massive 15 of the last 20 Arc winners came from stalls 8 or lower.
See the latest 2022 Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe betting odds below
DID YOU KNOW? Trainer Andre Fabre has won the Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe 8 times
Let’s Take A Look At The Main Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe Trends In Detail
AGE – 3 year-olds have by far the best recent record – winning 11 of the last 20 renewals – and they are helped by getting a age weight allowance from the older horses. We’ve only seen three winners aged 5 or older win the race since 1976, which is not great news for one of the leading fancies in the ante-post betting Alpinista @ 5/1 with 888Sport who – if running – would head here as a 5 year-old.
While last year’s winner Torquator Tasso @ 15/2 with 888Sport won the race as a 4 year-old, so would be returning this time as a 5 year-old so would also have this age trend to overcome.
FITNESS – With 16 of the last 20 winners (80%) having had at least four runs that season, then it pays to look for horses that have had several runs already this year.
MARKET GUIDE – In recent years, the Arc has seen five winning favourites in the last 20 runnings (25%), which is not a bad strike-rate considering the competitive nature of the race. In fact, 11 of the last 20 (55%) market jollies have also been placed, while 14 of the last 20 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting. But, we did see a 72/1 shock winner last year and we are now heading into the 2022 renewal with no winning favourite in the last three.
CLASS – With this being one of the top middle-distance Group One races on the racing calendar then having proven form at the top table is an absolute must. Despite being a shock 72/1 winner last year, Torquator Tasso was still a Group One winner prior to taking the Arc. A massive 19 of the last 20 Arc winners had already won at Group One Level, which most will have on their CV’s, but it’s still something to note.
TRIP – Similar to the last trend, it’s no surprise to see that 18 of the last 20 Arc winners had already won over this 1m4f distance in the past. With the race often run at a strong pace, then horses stepping up in trip for the first time have a whole new task to deal with – therefore, having proven form and stamina over the distance is often key and backed up with 90% of the last 20 winners having won over 1m4f in the past.
DRAW ADVANTAGE – This has been one of the main trends in recent years and a cracking starting point when the final runners come out each year. Many would think that with the race being run over 1m4f, then the draw might not play a bit part, with a lot of time for horses and jockeys to overcome wider draws.
However, that’s not the case at all! A massive 15 of the last 20 Arc winners (75%) came from stalls 8 or lower, while 14 of the last 20 (70%) were drawn 6 or less. Yes, 12 months ago, this trend was kicked into touch with Torquator Tasso winning from draw 12, but the second and third were drawn low in 3 and 2.
TRACK FORM – Having tasted the Longchamp track in the past is another positive. We’ve seen 13 of the last 20 winners having raced at the course before – with 12 of those 20 had won at the track in the past.
TRAINER/JOCKEY STATS – It’s a race that’s been dominated by the French-based Andre Fabre, with eight wins to his name – with the last of those coming in 2019. Plus, with three wins in the last seven then the John Gosden team are also starting to make a name for themselves in this contest.
It’s slightly surprising that Aidan O’Brien has only two Arc wins to his name, but that could easily change this year with his exciting Luxembourg @ 4/1 with 888Sport, who is many bookmakers favourite in the betting, heading to the race.
In terms of jockeys, a certain Frankie Dettori has six wins under his belt and is the most successful pilot in the race’s history, with the French veteran, Olivier Peslier, not far back with four wins.
OVERALL – The 2022 Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe looks set to be another cracker and cases can certainly be made for many.
You certainly can’t rule out any of the home-trained runners either – especially if they come from the Andre Fabre stable. But, the draw and age trends have always been the two biggest stats to note and combined can easily put a line through a lot of the runners.
Therefore, once we know the final entries (later this week), then look for horses aged 3 or 4 that are drawn in stalls 8 or lower and that should give you a decent starting point!
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends
- 19/20 – Had won a Group 1 race before
- 18/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
- 16/20 – Had 4 or more runs that season
- 15/20 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
- 14/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
- 14/20 – Had won at least 5 times before
- 14/20 – Won last time out
- 13/20 – Had run at Longchamp before
- 12/20 – Had won at Longchamp previously
- 11/20 – Aged 3 years-old
- 11/20 – Placed favourites
- 10/20 – Won by a French-based yard
- 9/20 – Ran at Longchamp last time out
- 8/20 – Female winners
- 5/20 – Winning favourites
- 5/20 – Won by a UK-based yard
- 3/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 7)
- 3/20 – Trained by Andre Fabre (won the race 8 times in all)
- 2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2016, 2007)
- 3 of the last 13 Epsom Derby winners that season have won
- The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11/1
- Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 7 runnings
- Since 1976 we’ve seen just 3 winners aged 5 or older
- 18 of the last 28 winners were aged 3 years-old
- Jockey Olivier Peslier has won the race 4 times
- Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the race 6 times
2022 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe: Latest Betting & Key Runners
See below the latest betting ahead of the Longchamp Qatar 2022 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe on Sunday 2nd October.
| Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Horse | Latest Odds | Bookmaker |
| LUXEMBOURG | 4/1 |  |
| ALPINISTA | 5/1 | |
| TORQUATOR TASSO | 15/2 | |
| VADENI | 8/1 | |
| ONESTO | 9/1 | |
| TITLEHOLDER | 9/1 | |
| WESTOVER | 10/1 | |
| AL HAKEEM | 12/1 | |
| MISHRIFF | 25/1 | |
| BAR | 25/1 | |
All odds correct as of 10:15 BST on Sun 2 Oct and subject to change
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Recent Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners
2021 – Torquator Tasso (72/1)
2020 – Sottsass (73/10)
2019 – Waldgeist (131/10)
2018 – Enable (Evs)
2017 – Enable (10/11 fav)
2016 – Found (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (9/2)
2014 – Treve (11/1)
2013 – Treve (9/2)
Watch Torquator Tasso Winning The 2021 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Again
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