See below out Ascot and Wetherby trends & tips for the ITV races today (Sat 4th November 2023) with a monster NINE Live races spread across the afternoon – including the Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby, where we see the return of the King George VI Chase winner Bravemansgame.
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You can see today’s horse racing best bets here, plus our top Lucky 15 selections and also NAP of the Day.
Ascot Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Saturday 4th Nov 23
See below the key trends and horse racing tips for Ascot races today on what looks set to be a wet afternoon, so form on soft and heavy ground is a ‘must-have’ when looking for your fancies.
To also help, we’ve listed the key Ascot trends for today’s four LIVE ITV races, which you can apply to each race and find the best horse profiles based on past winners.
The Sodexo Live! Gold Cup at 3:45pm is feature – a race that the Gary Moore-trained Larry won in 2021 and is back again. We’ve only seen four winning favourites in the race too, while 15 of the last 18 winners didn’t win last time out, which would be a negative for Two For Gold and Mucho Mas.
Past course form is also a plus – with 72% of the last 18 winners having run at Ascot before, with six winning.
Previous winners at the Berkshire track in the race are just Larry and Two For Gold.
1.30 – Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f ITV
- 10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
- 9/10 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
- 8/10 – Not won over fences
- 8/10 – Irish bred winners
- 6/10 – Aged 6 year-old
- 4/10 – Raced at Ascot before
- 3/10 – Favourites
- 2/10 – Won by trainer Gary Moore (2 of the last 6)
- 2/10 – Won by jockey Jamie Moore (2 of the last 6)
SportsLens Best Bet: Hermino AA
SportsLens Danger: Are You Wise To That
2.05 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV
- 17/20 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
- 14/20 – Irish (5) or French (9) bred
- 14/20 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
- 13/20 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
- 11/20 – First run of the new season
- 11/20 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
- 9/20 – Favourites unplaced
- 8/20 – Rated 130 or lower
- 6/20 – Won last race
- 5/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
- 5/20 – Aged 8 years-old
- 5/20 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (3) last time out
- 4/20 – Won carrying 11-12
- 3/20 – Favourites
- 3/20 – Trained by Venetia Williams
- 5 of the last 7 winners were aged 7
- 9 of the last 10 winners aged 7 or younger
SportsLens Best Bet: Funambule Sivola (e/w)
SportsLens Danger: Cap Du Mathan
3.15 – Seat Unique Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV
- 19/19 – Won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles
- 18/19 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
- 15/19 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
- 15/19 – Yet to race at Ascot
- 11/19 – First run of the season
- 10/19 – Favourites placed
- 10/19 – Unplaced in last race
- 9/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
- 8/19 – Favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
- 6/19 – Won by a French bred horse
- 6/19 – Raced at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
- 4/19 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
- 7 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 years-old
SportsLens Best Bet: Tellherthename
SportsLens Danger: Ten Lengths Tom
3.45 – Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV
- 18/18 – Won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
- 15/18 – Didn’t win last race
- 13/18 – Raced at Ascot before (6 won)
- 12/18 – Carried 10-10 or more
- 11/18 – Aged 8 or older
- 11/18 – First run of the season
- 11/18 – Unplaced last time out
- 10/18 – Won at least 3 times over fences
- 10/18 – Favourites unplaced
- 10/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
- 9/18 – Won a chase race over at least 3m before
- 7/18 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
- 6/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 4/18 – Favourites
- 3/18 – Trained by Gary Moore (3 of the last 7)
- 2/18 – Raced at Sandown last time out
- 11 of the last 13 winners were aged 9 or younger
SportsLens Best Bet: Larry (e/w)
SportsLens Danger: Eldorado Allen
Wetherby Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Saturday 4th Nov 23
Wetherby passed a morning inspection to get the all-clear to race on their Charlie Hall Chase da – great news as there’s another five LIVE ITV races at the West Yorkshire track.
The big highlight, is course, the return of last season’s Kempton King George VI Chase winner – Bravemansgame, who will be trying to win this race for a second year in-a-row.
He faces just three rivals, but the trio are no back numbers themselves with Ahoy Senor, who is rated only 3lbs off the Paul Nicholls hot-pot, Gentlemansgame and Midnight River looking to upset the odds.
We’ve also got the bet365 West Yorkshire Hurdle (2:25pm) – a race the with several well-known names returning, including Dashel Drasher, Thyme Hill, Botox Has and GA Law. The Wetherby trends in the race tell us 15 of the last 21 winners were aged 6, 7 or 8, which is a stat both Thyme Hill (9) and Dashel Drasher (10) will need to overcome.
1:15 – Bet Boost at bet365 Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 3 1/2f ITV
- 5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
- 5/5 – Carried 10-13 or more
- 5/5 – Favourites placed in top 3
- 5/5 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
- 4/5 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
- 3/5 – French bred
- 3/5 – Favourites
- 3/8 – Raced at Wetherby before
- 3/5 – Won over 2m4f + before
- 3/5 – Priced 3/1 or shorter
- 2/5 – Raced at Warwick last time out
- Ladronne won the race last year
SportsLens Best Bet: Ladronne (e/w)
SportsLens Danger: Cruz Control
1.50 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV
- 15/16 – Won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
- 13/16 – Having their first run of the season
- 13/16 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
- 11/16 – Yet to race at Wetherby before
- 11/16 – Favourites placed
- 10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
- 9/16 – Won a NH Flat race previously
- 8/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
- 7/16 – Favourites
- 4/16 – Raced at Punchestown last time out
- 2/16 – Trained by Philip Kirby
- 2/16 – Trained by Dan Skelton (last 2)
SportsLens Best Bet: Kateria
SportsLens Danger: You Wear It Well
2.25 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV
- 21/21 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
- 20/21 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
- 19/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/21 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
- 17/21 – Didn’t win their last race
- 15/21 – Favourites placed
- 15/21 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
- 15/21 – Officially rated 148 or higher
- 12/21 – Finished unplaced last time out
- 10/21 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
- 8/21 – Had won at Wetherby before
- 5/21 – Winning favourites
- 3/21 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs stable
- 3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
SportsLens Best Bet: Red Risk (e/w)
SportsLens Danger: Dashel Drasher
3.00 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV
- 19/21 – Rated 151 or higher
- 18/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
- 17/21 – Were having their first run of the season
- 16/21 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
- 14/21 – Won at least 4 times over fences before
- 14/21 – Aged 8 or older
- 12/21 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
- 12/21 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
- 11/21 – Placed favourites
- 8/21 – Ran at Wetherby before (4 won)
- 8/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 4/21 – Favourites
- 3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
- 2/21 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 3)
- The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 13/2
- The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (18 runs ago) The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 13/2
- The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (18 runs ago)
- Bravemansgame (2/1) won the race in 2022
SportsLens Best Bet: Bravemansgame
SportsLens Danger: Ahoy Senor
3:30 – Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Hurdle 2m 3 1/2f ITV
- 9/9 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
- 8/9 – Carried 11st or more
- 7/9 – GB or Irish bred
- 7/9 – Placed favourites
- 7/9 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
- 7/9 – Having first run of the new season
- 7/9 – Won no more than once over hurdles
- 6/9 – Unplaced last time out
- 6/9 – Carried 11-5 or more
- 5/9 – Had won over 2m4f or further
- 3/9 – Favourites
- 3/9 – Won last time out
SportsLens Best Bet: Windtothelightning
SportsLens Danger: Decorated
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