Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook, the GG.co.uk website and a regular pundit on William Hill radio. Andrew uses stats and systems to highlight value selections and shares his thoughts for Thursday’s racing below.
Andrew was among the winners again on Wednesday with ALLOWED at Kempton and has three picks on Thursday February 17th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
POTTERS LEGEND (system – sire Midnight Legend, chases, February to April)
Progeny of the sire Midnight Legend tend to come good at about this time of year and had we backed them all from February to April we’d have won 151 of our 844 bets (17.9% strike-rate) and made a profit of £182.16 to a £1 level stake at SP. POTTERS LEGEND is well into the veteran stage but was a winner at Fakenham last March and is 6lb lower today. He drops into Class 3 company for the first time in four years and looks overpriced at around the 14-1 mark.
ABAYA DU MATHAN (system – veterans’ handicap chases, 10yos, finished 6th or worse last time out)
Ten-year-olds – the youngest age group eligible to participate – win more than their fair share of veterans’ handicap chases but we wouldn’t have made money by backing them all. However, those who finished sixth or worse on their latest outing have a 64 from 421 record (15%) for a profit of £97.70. ABAYA DU MATHAN took an early fall at Plumpton last time but his earlier 40-1 Wincanton fourth offers hope and he’s worth chancing in a weak race.
MUMMY’S BOY (system – Charles Hills, all-weather runners)
Trainer Charles Hills has a great recent record with his all-weather runners, scoring with 12 of the 28 qualifiers since the beginning of December for a profit of £17.78 to a £1 level stake at SP (prior to Wednesday’s racing). MUMMY’S BOY could only finish fourth when the 5-4 favourite at Lingfield last time but pulled like a train and made the running on a track that eats front-runners alive because of the ‘dead’ rail. The first-time hood might enable him to settle this time and early offers of around 9-1 are probably an overreaction to his latest effort.
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