See below our York horse racing trends ahead of another big ITV horse racing day this Saturday (29th July). The cameras will be on the Knavesmire to take in three contests that include the Group Two York Stakes (3:15pm).
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York Horse Racing Trends: ITV Racing Stats For Saturday 29th July 2023
The ITV horse racing cameras are in action at York and Ascot this Saturday with three races LIVE from the Knavesmire.
At Ascot, it’s also their King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes day, but York have a top supporting card to horse racing fans to enjoy with the Group Two York Stakes (3:15pm) over 1m 2 1/2f the main event, plus the popular Sky Bet Dash (2:40pm) also on the card.
You can see the three main races below, the key York horse racing trends for these and our best bets.
RELATED: Ascot Horse Racing Trends and Tips For ITV Races On Saturday 29th July
York Horse Racing Trends and Tips Including the York Stakes
2.05 – Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV
Just a handful of past runnings of this jump jockeys’ flat race but we’ve already seen 4 winners aged between 5-7 years-old and carrying between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight.
These two York horse racing trends coupled give pluses for Prospect, Soul Seeker, who also won this race in 202. and Ecclesiastical.
The other stat to note is that trainer Paul Midgley has a fine record in the race – winning three of the last 5 – and so his runners Glory Fighter, Majeski Man, Prospect, Van Gerwen, Leodis Dream and Strong Johnson must be respected too.
- Just 5 previous runnings
- 4/5 – Aged between 5-7 (inc)
- 4/5 – Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
- 3/5 – Won by trainer Paul Midgley
- 2/5 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
- 1/5 – Winning favourite
- Birkenhead (25/1) won the race in 2022
- Soul Seeker (11/2) won the race in 2021
2.40 – Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV
With ALL of the last 19 winners having raced in the last 5 weeks this is a big plus and would be a negative for Barefoot Angel and International Girl.
Being drawn in stalls 10 or lower is another York horse racing trend to look for here, while horses aged 5 or younger have also fared best in the last 19 runnings.
Those that catch the eye are It Just Takes Time, Lucky Man and Abduction.
- 19/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
- 17/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
- 16/19 – Had won between 2-6 times before
- 16/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/19 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
- 13/19 – Aged 5 or younger
- 13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
- 13/19 – Had run at York before
- 12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 11/19 – Placed favourites
- 11/19 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
- 6/19 – Winning favourites
- 2/19 – Trained by Michael Dods (2 of the last 4)
- 2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
- 2/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby
- 2/19 – Won last time out
- Jockey Connor Beasley has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners
- 12 of the last 17 winners carried 9-0 or more
- Gala Force Maya (9/2) won the race in 2022
- Venturous (33/1) won the race in 2021
- Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
- Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
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3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV
Having raced in the last 4 weeks is a big plus for the York horse racing trends here – so this is not ideal for Alflaila, who was last out back in October 22. Royal Champion was a nice winner of the Listed Wolferton Stakes last time out at Royal Ascot, but this is a big step up in grade and really the one to beat is the William Haggas-trained My Prospero.
He’s been highly tried in recent runs this season – running at the highest level – so back into a Group Two here should do the trick. The last time he dropped into this company he won and that also came around this time of the year 12 months ago.
- 16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
- 15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
- 14/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
- 14/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
- 13/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
- 12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 12/17 – Rated between 110 and 117
- 11/17 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
- 10/17 – Had run at York before
- 8/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out
- 6/17 – Winning favourites
- 4/17 – Aged 6 years-old
- 2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
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