You can use our Sandown and York racing trends to narrow down the search for the winners for the LIVE ITV horse racing action this Saturday (17th, June) – with six races spread across the two tracks.
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Sandown and York Horse Racing Trends: Saturday 17th June 2023
With Royal Ascot just around the corner (next week) there is plenty on the horizon for the ITV cameras.
However, before that the ITV racing team head to Sandown Park and York this Saturday to take in six races across the two venues. There are two contests down at Sandown Park, that include the Listed Scurry Stakes, where the favourite has won 9 of the last 18 runnings.
While up at York we’ve four races to look forward with the Listed Grand Cup Stakes one of the features – a race Roberto Escobar won in 2021 and is back for more.
Sandown Racing Trends: Live ITV Horse Racing Stats on Saturday 17th June 2023
2.15 – Teddington Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4
With 90% of the last 10 winners carrying 9st 5lbs or more, we can rule out the bottom four on the card – Repertoire, Maysong, Zu Run and Bodorgan. Jockey Ryan Moore has won 2 of the last 6 runnings too and one of those came with a Stoute runner in 2016. The pair team up again with New Dimension, who is also drawn well in 7 as seven of the last 10 winners hailed from draws 6 or higher, while 4 year-olds have also won 60% of the last 10. Dutch Decoy is also interesting for the in-form Charlie Johnston yard coming from stall 11 and having run his stablemate Austrian Theory close (2nd) at Epsom last time out.
- 9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
- 9/10 – Rated between 90-94
- 9/10 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
- 8/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
- 8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 8/10 – Had won over 1m before
- 7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
- 7/10 – Had run at the course before
- 6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
- 6/10 – Had won between 2-4 times before
- 4/10 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
- 3/10 – Winning favourites
- 2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
2.50 – Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4
The market has tended to get this race right in recent years, with 14 of the last 18 winners coming from the top three in the betting. With that in mind, it’s hard to look beyond Great State, Tajalla and Perdika. Of that trio, Great State will be popular coming here off the back of three wins, while Perdika just looks a tad exposed with 15 career runs. That leaves us with Tajalla, who has only had two career outings but has won this both and also represents last year’s winning trainer and jockey – Roger Varian and David Egan.
- 18/18 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
- 15/18 – Had won over 5f before
- 14/18 – Placed favourites
- 14/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
- 12/18 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
- 11/18 – Irish bred
- 10/18 – Came from stall 7 or higher
- 10/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
- 10/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 9/18 – Winning favourites
- 8/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
- 7/18 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
- 5/18 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
- 9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
- The last 2 winners came from stall 4
- The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
York Racing Trends: Live ITV Horse Racing Stats on Saturday 17th June 2023
2.00 – Queen Mother´s Cup Handicap (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4
A build field of 15 runners here, but with 15 of the last 19 winners coming from a single-figure stall, this can rule out 6 of the entries. We’ve also seen 84% of the last 19 winners carry 9st 11lbs or more, while horses aged 6 or younger have done best. With these York racing trends in mind, CD winner Kihavah ticks a lot of boxes, while the consistent Dream Harder, for trainer Ian Williams, should not be far away. It’s also a race the Easterby yards like to target, so their Yorkshire Lady is another to respect with the experienced Serena Brotherton, who last won this race in 2014, riding.
- 16/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
- 16/19 – Carried 9-11 or more
- 16/19 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
- 15/19 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
- 15/19 – Aged 6 or younger
- 15/19 – Won from a single-figure stall
- 14/19 – Rated between 80-89
- 13/19 – Had run at York before
- 13/19 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
- 13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
- 12/19 – Favourites placed in the top four
- 10/19 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
- 10/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 8/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 8/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
- 4/19 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
- 4/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
- 4/19 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
- 4/19 – Won last time out
- 3/19 – Placed horses from stall 2
2.35 – Sky Bet Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4
Another race the single-figure stalls have done well in – winning 6 of the last 7. We also need to look for horses that raced in the last 3 weeks, which is not good news for Wild Lion (113 days). We’ve only seen one winning favourite in the last 7 years, but it looks a tight betting heat so we might not know the clear market leader until the day. Several standouts but a chance is taken on Darkness, who has been runner-up in his last two races, plus the oldest horse in the race – Scottish Summit, who is still loving his racing having won last time out at Thirsk.
- Only 7 previous runnings
- 7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
- 6/7 – Unplaced favourites
- 6/7 – Had raced at York before
- 6/7 – Came from a single-figure stall
- 5/7 – Rated between 90-99
- 5/7 – Won over 7f before
- 4/7 – Aged 4 years-old
- 2/7 – Trained by Charles Hills
- 2/7 – Came from stall 9
- 1/7 – Winning favourites
- The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1
3.05 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4
Roberto Escobarr won this race in 2021 and has to enter calculations again after winning last time out at Sandown. However, it won’t be easy having to give 5lbs away to Quickthorn and Israr, who are also both rated higher than him. We can expect Quickthorn to make a bold bid from the front and is a proven course winner too. But the younger legs of the 4 year-old Israr are given the verdict for the Gosden camp. This colt was a close second to the useful Haskoy in the Al Rayyan Stakes last time out and with that coming off a 196-day break should be a lot sharper this time too.
- 13/14 – Officially rated 103 or higher
- 12/14 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
- 12/14 – Had raced in the last 2 months
- 12/14 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
- 12/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
- 11/14 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
- 10/14 – Placed favourites
- 10/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
- 7/14 – Winning favourites
- 4/14 – Won last time out
- 5/14 – Ran at the track before
- 2/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
- 2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
- 2/14 – Winners from stall 1
- Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
- Roberto Escobar (11/8 fav) won this race in 2021
3.40 – Oakmere Homes Supporting Macmillan Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4
Trainer Tim Easterby loves to target this race – he’s won 3 of the last 9 runnings, so his Spirit Of Applause and Northcliff both have to be on the radar at nice prices. Jockey Jamie Spencer has a good record here too (2 wins) and rides Washington Heights (drawn 5) and he’s also got a nice draw if the York trends for this race are to be believed – 6 of the last 7 winners have come between berths 1-7.
- 15/17 – Rated between 87-97
- 15/17 – Had won over 6f before
- 14/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
- 12/17 – Had won between 1-2 times before
- 11/17 – Unplaced favourites
- 11/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
- 9/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
- 7/17 – Irish bred
- 6/17 – Won last time out
- 3/17 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 9 runnings)
- 2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
- 1/17 – Winners from stall 1
- 6 of the last 7 winners came from a single-figure draw (1-7)
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Note: Odds are subject to change
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