Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to Lingfield (all-weather), Warwick (jumps), Newcastle (all-weather) and Listowel (Flat) for five picks on Tuesday, September 20th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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LINGFIELD 2.45
MACCHIAVELLO (system – low-drawn Kempton handicap winners next time out)
The usual bias to low-drawn runners has gone missing in the past 12 months or so at Kempton and ducking up the inside rail to challenge is rarely advised. Since the start of October last year, those who won a Kempton handicap from stalls 1, 2 or 3 were probably doing so against the bias and made good bets to follow up, landing 27 of their 100 starts of £40.08 to a £1 level stake at SP. MACCHIAVELLO, who scored from stall 1 in a 6f Kempton handicap on September 7th, is taken to follow up.
WARWICK 4.10
LITTLE BRUCE (system – Charlie Longsdon, September)
Charlie Longsdon has a 62 from 240 record (25.8% strike-rate) with his runners in the month of September and has three interesting at Warwick today. LITTLE BRUCE, runner-up from the front at Uttoxeter last time, has the running style that is so effective at this venue and might prove best of the trio.
LISTOWEL 4.20
HIMALAYAN BEAUTY (system – The Gurkha, 9f-10f)
Progeny of sire The Gurkha have fared extremely well over 1m1f-1m2f, landing 26 of their 138 starts for a huge profit of £199.95. HIMALAYAN BEAUTY left her race in the stalls when a 33-1 last of 12 at Gowran Park last time and looks worth another chance at similarly big odds.
WARWICK 4.45
JOLY MAKER (system – J P McManus, Warwick handicaps, 2m4f+)
Owner J P McManus has a great record with his Warwick handicappers over 2m4f or further, scoring with 15 of the 60 qualifiers since 2015 for a profit of £67.00. Backing all McManus-owned runners in Class 5 jumps handicaps in Britain would have shown a healthy profit this century and JOLY MAKER qualifies on both counts.
NEWCASTLE 6.30
FORCEFUL SPEED (system – New Bay, top three finish last time out)
Backing all progeny of the sire New Bay who finished in the top three on their latest outing would have found 89 winners from 279 runners (31.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £99.27 to a £1 level stake at SP. George Boughey does exceptionally well when trying to get a last-time-out winner to follow up and FORCEFUL SPEED, who broke her duck on Wolverhampton’s Tapeta surface when stepped up beyond 6f for the first time, can go in again.
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New Customers – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with BetUK
Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
- New customers must sign up on mobile.
- Stake a minimum amount of £10 on any sporting event.
- The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1.5 (1/2).
- A maximum of 3 x £10 free bets credited when a qualifying bet on selected events is settled.
- Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 (3/10) or greater.
- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
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- Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and not returned with winnings.
- Further terms and conditions apply.
Related
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