Arsenal travel to Porto in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie on Wednesday, and we’ve selected our best betting tips and predictions for the clash.
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Wed, 21 Feb 2024 , 20:00 BST • Estadio do Dragao • Champions League
Arsenal to win to nil & Trossard to score
Porto vs Arsenal Preview & Prediction (20:00 KO)
Arsenal’s clash in Porto marks their return to the Champions League knockout stages after a seven-year hiatus. Topping Group B, Mikel Arteta’s Gunners are eager to prove their mettle against Porto, who secured their knockout place by finishing second in Group H behind Barcelona.
Porto, the sole Portuguese representative remaining in the Champions League, are on a 10-game unbeaten streak at the Estadio do Dragao, conceding just five goals. However, Arsenal are in scintillating goalscoring form, with 21 goals in their last five Premier League games.
Porto have struggled against English sides in recent Champions League knockout ties. Meanwhile, Arsenal are plagued by a last-16 hoodoo, and seek to break the curse that has haunted them since the 2010/11 campaign.
The Gunners’ last quarter-final appearance involved a convincing 6-2 aggregate win over Porto in 2009-10, though an elusive away victory against the Portuguese giants remains on their agenda.
Prediction: Porto 0-1 Arsenal
Follow the link for SportsLens’ full list of football predictions for today’s matches.
Porto vs Arsenal Betting Tips
- Arsenal win to nil @ 29/20
- Leandro Trossard to score @ 5/2
- Combined Bet Builder Odds @ 23/4
Porto vs Arsenal Betting Tip 1: Arsenal win to nil @ 29/20
Arsenal have undergone a remarkable transformation since the winter break. Gone is the chaos of last season. The team has adopted a more controlled approach, focused on getting the job done efficiently and moving onto the next.
It’s a style of football that makes them so hard to beat, particularly with the axis of William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhaes, and Declan Rice protecting the Arsenal goal.
As well as topping Premier League charts such as most clean sheets (10) and fewest goals conceded (22), Arsenal also boast the fewest xGA per 90 (0.73), proving just how difficult it is to generate high quality chances against them. We took a deeper dive into just how good Arsenal are defensively here.
This newfound momentum positions Arsenal as formidable contenders, making the prospect of a win to nil against Porto an enticing possibility for Wednesday’s clash.
You can create this selection using the Bet Builder function on BetMGM by combining ‘Arsenal to win’ with ‘Porto under 0.5 goals’.
Porto vs Arsenal Betting Tip 2: Leandro Trossard to score @ 5/2
Having won their last two games 11-0 on aggregate, Arteta is unlikely to make swooping changes, particularly in attack. Leandro Trossard is expected to continue upfront for the Gunners in the absence of Gabriel Jesus, almost acting as a double-10 with Kai Havertz.
The Belgian frontman has scored 10 goals across all competitions, four of which have come in his last five. Only Bukayo Saka (15) has scored more goals for Arsenal this season.
Porto vs Arsenal Odds
- Match Odds: Porto: 9/2 | Draw: 11/4 | Arsenal: 4/6
- Total Goals: Over 2.5: EVS | Under 2.5: 4/5
- Both Teams To Score: Yes: 19/20 | No: 4/5
Looking to watch the action? Follow the link for our guide on how you can follow a Porto vs Arsenal live stream on Wednesday night.
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