To help you find the winners, we’ve got the four main ITV races covered with our key Newbury horse racing trends and stats. You can use these to whittle down the runners and find the best horse profiles based on past winners.
Yes, the ITV horse racing cameras are having a busy time of it of late and one of their next missions is to take in four LIVE races at Newbury this Saturday – including the Group Three Greenham Stakes, where 2000 Guineas fancy Chaldean is on show.
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Newbury Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV Racing Stats for Saturday 22nd April 2023
Newbury Horse Racing Trends: John Porter Stakes Stats
Eight runners will head to post in the ITV opener at Newbury, where all eyes will be on the former St Leger winner Hurricane Lane, who is back from a break. 14 of the last 19 winners came from the top three in the betting, while Max Vega won the race last year and will be trying to defend his title.
1.30 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV
- 19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
- 18/19 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
- 19/19 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
- 18/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
- 16/19 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
- 16/19 – Having their first run of the season
- 15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 14/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 13/19 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
- 12/19 – Had raced at Newbury before
- 11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
- 10/19 – Had won a Group race before
- 6/19 – Raced at Newbury last time out
- 5/19 – Winning favourites
- 4/19 – Won last time out
- 4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 2/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of the last 8)
- Max Vega (11/2) won the race last year
- 7 of the last 10 winners drawn in stalls 4 or lower
- The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/2
- Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford
Newbury Horse Racing Trends: Fred Darling Stakes Stats
The 3 year-old fillies on show here, with 14 runners entered. With 14 of the last 19 winners coming from stalls 5 or higher, then this looks a useful stat that can rule out four – including the Richard Hannon-trained Magical Sunset, who is drawn 2. A top three finish last time out is another thing to look for, while it’s a race the Ralph Beckett yard like to target – he’s got the likely favourite Remarquee.
2.05 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV
- 17/19 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
- 16/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
- 16/19 – Had won between 1-2 times before
- 16/19 – Having their first run of the season
- 15/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/19 – Drawn 5 or higher
- 14/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
- 10/19 – Had won over 7f before
- 9/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
- 8/19 – Won last time out
- 8/19 – Had won at Newbury before
- 7/19 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
- 5/19 – Winning favourites
- 4/19 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
- 4/19 – Trained by the Channon yard
- 2/19 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
- 2/19 – Trained by the Hannon stable
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
- Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford
RELATED: Scottish Grand National Tips: Four Horses To Have On Your Radar For Saturday’s Ayr Race
Newbury Horse Racing Trends: Greenham Stakes Stats
The big 2000 Guineas fancy Chaldean is back on the track here and will be hard to beat is bring the form of his Dewhurst Stakes win to the table. Frankie Dettori rides this Andrew Balding runner and the pocket Italian is 2-from-2 on the horse. The favourite has won 9 of the last 19 runnings, while 15 of the last 19 winners came from the top three in the market.
2.40 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV
- 18/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 17/19 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
- 17/19 – Having their first run of the season
- 16/19 – Won at Listed class or better before
- 15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 15/19 – Placed favourites
- 15/19 – Won between 2-4 times before
- 13/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
- 12/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
- 11/19 – Had won a Group race before
- 10/19 – Won last time out
- 9/19 – Had won over 7f before
- 9/19 – Winning favourites
- 8/19 – Had won a race at Newbury before
- 8/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
- 6/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
- 2/19 – Irish-trained
- 2/19 – Winners from stall 1
- 2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
- 8 of the last 9 winners returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2
- Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford
Newbury Horse Racing Trends: Spring Cup Stats
You can grad a free bet with the race sponsors BetGoodwin below and maybe use that to place a bet here. All eyes will be on the Irish Lincoln winner Lattam, from the William Haggas yard, who could progress out of handicap company soon. 16 of the last 19 winners were aged 4 or 5, while 13 of the last 19 winners also came from a double-figure stall – two stats the already mentioned 4 year-old Lattam, who is drawn 12, fits.
3.15 – Betgoodwin Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4
- 19/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
- 19/19 – Won no more than 4 times before (flat)
- 18/19 – Aged 6 or younger
- 16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 16/19 – Won between 2-4 times before (flat)
- 15/19 – Won over at least 1m before
- 14/19 – Rated between 85-98
- 13/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
- 13/19 – Unplaced last time out
- 11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
- 11/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
- 10/19 – Unplaced favourites
- 9/19 – Had run at Newbury before
- 8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 8/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
- 3/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
- 3/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
- 3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 7)
- 2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 8)
- 2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 3)
- 1/19 – Won last time out
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford
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