Horse Racing Trends For ITV Racing at Kempton, Wetherby & Warwick On Saturday 13th January

Use Andy Newton’s horse racing trends for the ITV Racing this Saturday at Kempton, Wetherby and Warwick to find the best profile of horses based on past winners of the races.

Horse Racing Trends On Saturday 13th January 2024: The Lanzarote Hurdle and Classic Chase Headline

The ITV Racing cameras will be busy this Saturday (13th January 2024) as they are at three tracks – Wetherby, Kempton and Warwick – to cover eight races from the three venues.

Warwick just about gets the top-billing with four of the eight LIVE ITV races that are spearheaded by the Classic Chase (3:00pm) – a race that 72% of the last 18 winners carried 11st 3lbs or less, were aged between 7-9 and also came from outside the top three in the betting.

At Wetherby ITV will show the Grade 2 Towton Novices’ Chase (1:10pm), where all eyes will be on the Jamie Snowden-trained Colonel Harry, who is the hot favourite with the best UK horse racing betting sites. 82% of the last 17 winners hailed from the top three in the betting, with 47% of those running being won by the favourite.

Then finally at Kempton, we’ve three more LIVE ITV races that include the super-competitive Lanzarote Hurdle (2:42pm). It’s a race the Nicky Henderson yard have won three times in the last 11 runnings and have a strong hand with the JP McManus-owned Impose Toi and King Alexander.

The Lanzarote Hurdle trends also tell us that trainer Gary Moore has a good record (3 wins), while a massive 86% of the last 22 winners were aged 7 or younger. This age stat means you can rule out seven of the 19 runners.

We’ve also got the Silviniaco Conti Chase (2:07pm) at Kempton and despite only five runners it’s still a nice little renewal with former Arkle Novices’ Chase winner Edwardstone, former Cheltenham Festival hero Banbridge and last year’s hero Pic D’Orhy back for more.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.30 – New Bet-In-Race With Coral Racing Club Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV4

• 11/11 – Aged 8 or older
• 11/11 – Didn’t win last time
• 10/11 – Had raced at the track
• 9/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
• 8/11 – Carried 11-0 or more
• 8/11 – Won between 2-4 times (fences)
• 8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
• 8/11 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
• 7/11 – Favourites placed
• 7/11 – Had won over 3m (fences)
• 7/11 – Unplaced last time out
• 3/11 – Favourites

2.07 – Coral Silviniaco Conti Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

• 9/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences)
• 9/10 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
• 8/10 – Didn’t win last time
• 8/10 – Aged 8 or older
• 7/10 – Won at least 4 times over fences
• 7/10 – Favourites
• 7/10 – Placed 2^nd or 3^rd last time
• 6/10 – Won over fences at the track
• Jockey Harry Cobden has ridden 2 of the last 3 winners
• Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2020, 2021 & 2023
• Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
• Pic D’Orhy won the race in 2023

2.42 – Coral Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

• 22/22 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
• 19/22 – Aged 7 or younger
• 19/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
• 17/22 – Won exactly 2 times over hurdles
• 16/22 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer
• 16/22 – Irish (10) or French (6) bred
• 16/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
• 16/22 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
• 14/22 – Carried 10-11 or less
• 13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 12/22 – Aged 6 years-old
• 10/22 – Placed favourites
• 9/22 – Won last time out
• 8/22 – Run at Kempton (5 won)
• 5/22 – Favourites
• 4/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 11)
• 3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
• Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
• Since 1980 (38 runnings) 36 winners have been aged 7 or younger
• A claiming jockey has won 6 of the last 10 runnings

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.49 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m1f

• 18/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
• 17/18 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles
• 14/18 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick
• 14/18 – Carried 11-0 or less
• 15/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
• 14/18 – Officially rated between 126-142
• 14/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
• 12/18 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
• 12/18 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles)
• 11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 9/18 – Placed favourites
• 7/18 – Won last time
• 2/18 – Ran at Bangor last time
• 3/18 – Favourites
• 12 of the last 13 winners were aged 8 or younger
• 5 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey

2.24 – Trustatrader Hampton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m ITV4

• 16/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
• 15/16 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
• 15/16 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
• 15/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
• 13/16 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
• 13/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
• 13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
• 12/16 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
• 11/16 – Won last time out
• 11/16 – Aged 7 years-old
• 10/16 – Irish bred
• 10/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
• 4/16 – Favourites

3.00 – Wigley Group Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4

• 16/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
• 16/18 – Won a chase race over at least 3m
• 14/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
• 13/18 – Officially rated between 129-140
• 13/18 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
• 13/18 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
• 13/18 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
• 12/18 – Won between 2-5 times over fences
• 12/18 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
• 11/18 – Won by an Irish bred horse
• 9/18 – Favourites placed
• 9/18 – Returned a double-figure price
• 8/18 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
• 6/18 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
• 6/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
• 5/18 – Won their last race
• 3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
• 3/18 – Trained by Alan King
• 2/18 – Trained by Emma Lavelle (2 of the last 10)
• 10 of the last 13 Classic Chase winners aged 9 or younger
• Just two winning favourites in the last 18 runnings
• The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 10/1

3.35 – Unibet Veterans’ Handicap Chase (2023 Veterans’ Chase Series Final) Cl2 (9yo+) 3m ITV4

• Only 8 previous runnings
• Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams (2), Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe, Sandy Thomson and Mel Rowley are past winners
• 8/8 – Ran in last 5 weeks
• 7/8 – Unplaced last time out
• 6/8 – 4+ wins over fences
• 6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
• 5/8 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
• 5/8 – Officially rated between 135-145
• 4/8 – Favourites unplaced
• 2/8 – Favourite (joint)

Note: Normally run at Sandown Park

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.10 – William Hill Towton Novices Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+)

• 16/17 – Aged 8 or younger
• 15/17 – Never raced over fences at Wetherby
• 14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 14/17 – Had won over at least 3m (fences)
• 13/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
• 13/17 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
• 13/17 – Won between 1-2 times over fences
• 12/17 – Irish bred
• 11/17 – Aged 7 years-old
• 10/17 – Favourites placed
• 9/17 – Won last time out
• 9/17 – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time
• 8/17 – Favourites (1 joint)
• 7/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase at Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6^th or better)