Use our Glorious Goodwood horse racing trends on Thursday 3rd August to find the best horse profile based on past winners of the race. The ITV cameras are showing four LIVE races from Goodwood again, with the Group One Nassau Stakes (3:35pm) the big day three highlight.
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Glorious Goodwood Horse Racing Trends: ITV Racing Stats For Thursday 3rd August 2023
The ITV horse racing cameras are in action on the third day of the 2023 Glorious Goodwood Festival with four more races at the West Sussex track to take in that include the Group One Nassau Stakes, plus the Richmond Stakes and Gordon Stakes – which is often deemed a fair St Leger trial.
See below the best Glorious Goodwood trends for the main LIVE ITV races. You can use these horse racing stats to find the best profile of past winners and put history on your side.
RELATED: Nassau Stakes Runners Guide 2023 – Blue Rose Cen Challenges Nashwa for Goodwood Crown
Glorious Goodwood Horse Racing Trends Including the 2023 Nassau Stakes
A race the Johnston yard have won 4 times in the last 10 years, so their Killybegs Warrior has to command respect, while they also run Finn’s Charm and Perfect Play.
Having a run in the last 4 weeks is also something to note with 18 of the last 20 winners falling into this bracket. It’s always best to give a few days grace on this stat, but the likes of Crack Shot, Killybegs Warrior, Obelix, Coverdale, Baltic Voyage, Perfect Play, Entrancement and Coco Jack fit the bill.
Trainer John Gosden has also done well here too – winning 4 of the last 20 – he runs Obelix and Theoryofeveything. The draw has played its part too and it’s interesting that 59% of the last 17 winners came between stalls 4-7 (inc) – good news for Coco Jack, Alsakib, Silver Sword and Perfuse.
Finally – 80% of the last 20 winners were rated between 91-99 and if this Goodwood trend is to be backed up again the winner should come from – Coverdale, Have Secret, Silver Sword, Theoryofeverything, Perfuse, Royal Rhyme or Obelix
1.50 – Coral Kincsem Handicap Cl2 1m2f ITV
- 18/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
- 18/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
- 17/20 – Winning distance – 1 ¾ lengths or less
- 17/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
- 16/20 – Rated between 91-99
- 15/20 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
- 14/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
- 12/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 11/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
- 11/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 11/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
- 8/20 – Had raced at Goodwood before
- 7/20 – Winning favourites
- 6/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston (4 of last 10 runnings)
- 5/20 – Won last time out
- 4/20 – Trained by John Gosden
- 4/20 – Ridden by William Buick (last 2)
- No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
- Stall 14 has been placed in 5 of the last 17 runnings
- 13 of the last 17 winners came from stall 11 or lower
- 10 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4-7 (inc)
- Warren Point (9/2) won the race in 2022
2.25 – Richmond Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV
Several non-runners here due to the heavy overnight rain, including the faniced pair of Jasour and Unquestionable, so not the best renwal of this Group 2.
In terms of the draw, we’ve seen 88% of the last 20 winners come from stalls 2-7 (inc) – which is a plus for Vandeek, Toca Madera and Hala Emaraaty.
A run at Newmarket last time out is a plus too, while note February or March-born foals in this 2 year-old race – Sketch being one of those, who was impressive on debut at Newbury when winning by 5 lengths.
- 20/20 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
- 19/20 – Had won 1 or 2 races before
- 18/20 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
- 17/20 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
- 16/20 – Placed last time out
- 15/20 – Never raced at Goodwood before
- 14/20 – Won by a Feb or March foal
- 12/20 – Won their previous race
- 9/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 9/20 – Winning favourites
- 2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4)
- 9 of the last 16 horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
- The last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
- 14 of the last 16 winners came from stall 2-7 (inc)
- 6 of the last 10 winners ridden by Frankie Dettori, Ryan Moore or Adam Kirby
- Royal Scotsman (5/6 fav) won the race in 2022
RELATED: 2023 Glorious Goodwood Quiz | Test Your Goodwood Horse Racing Knowledge
3.00 – John Pearce Racing Gordon Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 10 runnings of the Gordon Stakes, including last year too – so their runner Chesspiece is shortlisted.
It’s also a race that the winner often comes from the top three in the betting (85% of the last 20), while with 11 of the last 20 winners going onto run in the St Leger at Doncaster, this race is often worth looking back on come September.
Jockey Ryan Moore has a top record too – winning 25% of the last 20 – and he’s got a top chance of adding to that with Espionage for trainer Aidan O’Brien, who has won this prize three times over the years.
- 20/20 – Won between 1-3 times before
- 18/20 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
- 17/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 15/20 – Placed favourites
- 15/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
- 14/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
- 13/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 11/20 – Went onto run in the St Leger
- 9/20 – Winning distance – neck or shorter
- 9/20 – Won last time out
- 8/20 – Winning favourites
- 7/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
- 5/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/20 – Went onto win the St Leger
- 2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 in total)
- 14 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 4-10 (inc)
- New London (6/4 fav) won the race in 2022
3.35 – Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV
French raider Blue Rose Cen will be popular here – having won 7 of her 9 starts – and was very impressive in taking the Prix de Diane Longines last time at Chantilly. Any rain would be a big plus for her too with her best form coming with cut underfoot, while she also gets a handy age allowance of 8lbs from the older horses.
She’ll face her biggest test from last year’s winner Nashwa, who took this by 1 3/4 lengths last year and also impressed when landing the Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket by an easy 5 lengths the last day.
Her proven course and distance form will help and will be looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Midday, who won the race three times between 2009 and 2011.
While Nashwa’s trainer John Gosden has won the Nassau Stakes 5 times too and despite having to give 8lbs away to the French horse looks the value call with regular rider Hollie Doyle in the saddle.
- 18/19 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
- 18/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
- 16/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
- 15/19 – Aged either 3 or 4 years-old
- 14/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
- 14/19 – Had won a Group One race previously
- 14/19 – Won between 2-4 times before
- 12/19 – Winning Favourites
- 12/19 – Had won over 1m2f previously
- 4/19 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
- 4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (5 in total)
- 2/19 – Won by the Sir Michael Stoute yard
- 13 of the last 17 winners were drawn 7 or lower
- Stalls 1, 6 and 7 have won 9 of the last 17 renewals
- Nashwa (6/5 fav) won the race in 2023
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RELATED: 2023 Glorious Goodwood Quiz | Test Your Goodwood Horse Racing Knowledge
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