Use our Glorious Goodwood horse racing trends on Saturday 5th August to find the best horse profile based on past winners of the race. The ITV cameras are again broadcasting four LIVE races from Goodwood, with the Group Two King George Qatar Stakes
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Glorious Goodwood Horse Racing Trends: ITV Racing Stats For Saturday 5th August 2023
The ITV horse racing cameras are in action again on the fifth and final day of the 2023 Glorious Goodwood Festival with four more races at the West Sussex track to look forward to that include the Group Two Lillie Langtry Stakes (3:00) and the ultra-competitive Stewards’ Cup (3:35pm).
To help you find the winners we’ve got the best Glorious Goodwood trends for the main LIVE ITV races. You can use these horse racing stats to find the best profile of past winners and put history on your side.
RELATED: Top Free Horse Racing Tips & Advice for UK Betting Today
Glorious Goodwood Horse Racing Trends Including the 2023 King George Qatar Stakes
Not winning last time out and having won over 6f are two ‘must-haves’ in the day 5 opener – so recent winners Zaman Jemil and Count Otto are overlooked.
In fact, 74% of the last 19 winners finished 4th or worse in their last race.
Goodwood experience is another thing to look for with 84% of the last 19 winners having raced at the West Sussex track before and the same amount have had 4+ runs that season. This is another negative for one of the fancied runners – Zaman Jemil, with just two runs, plus also Many A Star, who won this race last year.
It’s been a poor race for the favourites too, with only one market leader in the last 16 renewals going in and you might want to think twice about backing the horse from stall 1 with just one win in the last 17 – Justcallmepete has the 1 berth this year.
Only one winning 3 year-old in the last 17 runnings too, so the negative keep stacking up for Zaman Jemil here as the only 3 year-old in the line-up.
Overall, it looks a race to take on the expected favorite Zaman Jemil, with CD winners Royal Parade and Many A Star, plus Cooperation worthy of a second look in the betting.
1.50 – Coral Stewards’ Sprint Stakes Handicap (Consolation Race for the Qatar Stewards’ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV
- 18/19 – Didn’t win their last race
- 18/19 – Had won over 6f previously
- 16/19 – Raced at Goodwood previously
- 16/19 – Had 4 or more runs that season
- 15/19 – Won at least 3 times during their career
- 14/19 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
- 14/19 – Favourites unplaced
- 10/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
- 10/19 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
- 9/19 – Winning Distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
- 9/19 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
- 3/19 – Winning Favourites (one in the last 16 years)
- 1/19 – 3 year-old winners
- 10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 13 or lower
- 16 of the last 17 winners carried 9-0 or more
- 10 of the last 17 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
- Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
- Many A Star (8/1) won the race in 2022
2.25 – Coral Summer Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV
This has been a fine race for the Johnston yard in recent times with 6 wins in the last 20 – they run La Pulga, who could go well at a nice price.
4 and 5 year-olds have done best too – winning 80% of the last 20 renewals, plus 17 of the last 20 had raced in the last 4 weeks. We also saw the Gosden yard win the pot last year with Trawlerman and they try again in 2023 – this time with Sweet William. He’s won his last two in great style and despite being up 7lbs here looks an improving sort to keep on the right side of.
- 19/20 – Had won at least twice before
- 18/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
- 17/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
- 16/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
- 13/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
- 13/20 – Rated between 89-100
- 12/20 – Placed favourites
- 11/20 – Carried 9-7 or more
- 10/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
- 7/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 6/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
- 5/20 – Winning favourites
- 4/20 – Won last time out
- 3/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
- 2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
- 9 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 10-14 (inc)
- Trawlerman (6/1) won the race in 2022
RELATED: 2023 Stewards’ Cup Trends: Key Stats To Find Saturday’s Glorious Goodwood Winner
3.00 – Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f ITV
Free Wind is the clear top-rated here in what doesn’t look the best renewal but needs to bounce back from a poor run at Ascot last time out and being a 5 year-old does have an age stat against her – with 14 of the last 20 winners aged 3 or 4.
A top three finish last time is also a plus, with 16 of the last 20 ticking this stat, and another negative for Free Wind, who was only 5th last time.
Time Lock is decent on her day but has just 1 win from 7 so not an easy horse to catch right.
So a chance is taken away from Free Wind with River Of Stars. This Ralph Beckett runner was a close second in the Prix Maurice de Nieul last time in France and before that was a winner of the Group 3 Bronte Cup at York.
She’s the second top-rated in the field (106) and despite having a bit to find with Free Wind (115) does at least get a handy 3lbs from her. Luisa Casati can do best of the rest.
- 18/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
- 16/20 – Had raced 2 or more times already that season
- 16/20 – Finished in the top three last time out
- 16/20 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
- 14/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
- 11/20 – Had run at Goodwood before
- 11/20 – Won last time out
- 10/20 – Unplaced favourites
- 7/20 – Winning favourites
- 3/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 2/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 in total)
- 9 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4-6 (inc)
- Sea La Rosa (9/4) won the race in 2022
3.35 – Coral Stewards´ Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV
A maximum of 28 runners here but with 95% of the last 20 winners aged 6 or younger this means we can put a line through some – Chairmanoftheboard, Mr Wagyu, Bielsa, Hyperfocus, Spanish Star, Summerghand, Came From The Dark and Makanah – who are all 7+.
It’s the 4 and 5 year-olds that have the better recent record with 13 success in the last 20 runnings – good news if you like the expected favourite Orazio at the age of 4.
The last 6 winners also ALL carried 9-1 or more in weight to suggest the better horses are coming to the fore and if this Stewards’ Cup trend is to be repeated then you can rule out half the field – from horses 15-28.
Frankie Dettori will be riding in the race for the last time and he’s won 2 of the last 8 renewals. He tries to end on a high with Mums Tipple.
We’ve also got the 2020 winner in the race Summerghand and despite his age (9) the horse is still running well and last time out showed a return to form with a close 4th in the Sky Bet Dash at York – he’s also rated 8lbs lower than when winning this 2 years ago.
The Charles Hills yard have won the race twice in the last 8 years too and run the very well-fancied Orazio and Tanmawwy, while the consistent Apollo One has to enter the mix having run in the top 3 in all of his last six starts.
- 20/20 – Had won over 6f before
- 19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
- 19/20 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
- 18/20 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
- 13/20 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
- 13/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
- 11/20 – Placed favourites (top 4)
- 11/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
- 10/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
- 10/20 – Raced at Goodwood before
- 6/20 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
- 3/20 – Winning 3 year-olds
- 2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of the last 8)
- 2/20 – Trained by Michael Dods
- 2/20 – Trained by Roger Charlton
- 2/20 – Trained by William Haggas
- 2/20 – Trained by Charles Hills
- The last 6 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
- 14 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure draw
- Commanche Falls won the race in 2021 and 2022
- Summerghand won the race in 2000
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