The Falmouth Stakes 2023 betting sees the George Boughey-trained Via Sistina as the favourite, but those looking to take her on will be pleased to hear there is a 44 year-old (95%) age stat that this 5 year-old will need to overcome.
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When Is The 2023 Falmouth Stakes?
📅Time/Date: Friday 14th July 2023
🏇Racecourse: Newmarket (July course), Suffolk (1m)
📺 TV: ITV/ Racing TV
💰 Winner: £165,347
🎲 Falmouth Stakes Odds: Via Sistina 2/1 | Nashwa 10/3 | Remarquee 7/2 | Coppice 6/1 | Prosperous Voyage 6/1
95% Of The Last 44 Falmouth Stakes Winners Were Aged 3 or 4 Years Old
Via Sistina won a dramatic Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh last time out, but in the process jockey Jamie Spencer was given a six-day ban for the ride. This slap on the wrist will rule Spencer out of Saturday’s July Cup, but he’s okay to continue his partnership with Via Sistina in Friday’s Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket’s July Festival.
The Fastnet Rock mare was switched to the George Boughey yard last October (from Joseph Tuite) and has turned into a different horse – winning 3 of his 4 starts, including the G1 Dahlia Stakes by 6 lengths and the G1 Pretty Polly Stakes by 2 lengths last time out.
This 5 year-old has the Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket’s July Festival as her next target, where the best UK bookmakers have put her in as the favourite and the one to beat.
However, there is a hefty Falmouth Stakes age trend that Via Sistina will need to defy if she’s to keep up her winning spree.
A Massive 42 Of The Last 44 Falmouth Stakes Winners Were Aged 3 or 4 Years-old
Yes, it’s been the younger horses that have held sway in the Falmouth Stakes over the years – with a massive 95% of the last 44 winners aged 3 or 4.
Therefore, with Via Sistina coming into the race aged 5, this means she’ll need to defy what history tells us about the winning age profile of this race.
Since 1979, only Proudwings (2001) and Soviet Song (2005) have won the Falmouth Stakes aged 5.
Oh, and there’s another big Falmouth Stakes stat for Via Sistina to overcome (more on this below).
The 3 and 4 Year-Olds Running In The Falmouth Stakes
- Nashwa (4)
- Remarquee (3)
- Coppice (3)
- Prosperous Voyage (4)
- Never Ending Story (3)
- Astral Beau (4)
- Meditate (3)
- Ameynah (4)
WATCH: Via Sistina Winning The Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh
Vis Sistina Is Also Yet To Win Over a Mile (albeit she’s never tried it)
As well at the big age trend mentioned, Via Sistina also has a key trip stat against her. She’s yet to win over a mile.
Okay, we know she stays further than a mile – having won the Pretty Polly Stakes over 1m2f last time. However, many feel the drop back to a mile here is a slight unknown for the mare, with all five career wins coming over 1m1f or further.
In her defence, she’s actually never raced over a mile, with her debut coming over 7f and then since has been stepped up to 1m1f, 1m2f and even 1m4f – therefore, the big question is, will she have enough pace to keep up with some high-class milers and even if she can will this blunt her finishing power she’s shown in her races over further this term?
We’ll find out if Via Sistina can be the Falmouth stat buster on Friday at 3:35pm.
RELATED: 2023 Falmouth Stakes Trends: Does Via Sistina Tick All The Newmarket Stats?
Falmouth Stakes 2023 Betting Odds
We take a look at the latest Falmouth Stakes 2023 betting odds from BetUK, where you can also get a £30 free bet to use on the race.
- Via Sistina @ 2/1
- Nashwa @ 10/3
- Remarquee @ 7/2
- Coppice @ 6/1
- Prosperous Voyage @ 6/1
- Random Harvest @ 10/1
- Never Ending Story @ 14/1
Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request
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T&Cs apply.. New customers, Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 free bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. |
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WATCH: Prosperous Voyage Winning The 2022 Falmouth Stakes
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