SportsLens price-setters have analysed the odds for the possible outcome from Everton’s appeal against the 10-point deduction they were handed in November. A successful appeal has been deemed the most likely, with a change to six-points also seeming probable.
Everton were handed a 10-point deduction by the Premier League for breaching the Financial Fair Play rules over the last three seasons.
The club have since appealed the decision, after it saw Sean Dyche’s side move to 19th in the table and now the club await a decision.
Everton Points Deduction Appeal Odds:
- Appeal successful: 1/3
- Appeal unsuccessful: 9/4
- Points deduction reduced: 4/5
- Points deduction reduced to 7, 8 or 9: 6/1
- Points deduction reduced to 6 exactly: 7/4
- Points deduction reduced to 4 or 5: 8/1
- Points deduction reduced to 3 exactly: 7/2
- Points deduction reduced to 1 or 2: 10/1
- Points deduction removed entirely: 3/1
Will Everton’s Points Deduction Appeal Be Successful?
Taking the odds for each team listed above, we have outlined the implied probability of Everton’s points deduction appeal outcome.
Appeal Outcome |
Odds |
Implied Probability |
| Appeal Successful | 1/3 | 75% |
| Appeal Unsuccessful | 9/4 | 30.8% |
| Points deduction reduced | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| Points deduction reduced to 7, 8 or 9 | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Points deduction reduced to 6 exactly | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Points deduction reduced to 4 or 5 | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Points deduction reduced to 3 exactly | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Points deduction reduced to 1 0r 2 | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Points deduction removed entirely | 3/1 | 25% |
Everton Points Deduction Appeal Odds: Price-Setters Predict Punishment To Be Reduced To Six points
The Toffees were deducted 10 points for breaching Premier League profit and sustainability rules, a decision that moved Sean Dyche’s men to 19th place.
Everton faced an investigation by an independent commission in March for the alleged breaches, which were linked to the 2021-22 season and a hearing took place in October.
Everton fans have been left furious, as Manchester City are yet to be punished for an alleged 115 breaches of Financial Fair Play.
Following the points deduction, Everton have appealed the decision and the odds favour a successful outcome for the blue side of Merseyside.
If successful, the most likely outcome according to this exclusive set of odds, is for the deduction to be changed to six points – meaning the Toffee’s would regain four points.
This would move Everton out of the relegation places (correct as of Matchday 13) as they would be on eight points and just a point behind Bournemouth in 16th.
Seeing the points deduction be removed completely would move Everton up to 15th and at 3/1, is not completely unthinkable.
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