You can use our 2023 Royal Ascot trends on day two (Wednesday 21st June) as we give you the key stats for ALL SEVEN of the races. You can use these trends to put history on your side and find the best profiles of horses based on previous winners of each contest.
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2023 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Wednesday 21st June 2023
The action continues at Royal Ascot 2023 on Wednesday 21st June as the biggest flat horse racing meeting around heads into day two.
On Wednesday there are seven more races of which four are Group contests. The Prince Of Wales’s Stakes is the feature contest in what looks a four-horse shootout between the 2021 Epsom Derby winner Adayar, Luxembourg, Bay Bridge and My Prospero.
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Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV Racing Stats on Wednesday 21st June 2023
2.30 – Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV
Finishing in the top two in their last race is a ‘must-have’ here with 95% of the last 21 winners ticking this stat. Yes, most will fit the bill, but we can still rule a few out – Gaiden, Launch, Bated Moon, Callianassa, Tallulabelle and Cotai Vision. 81% won their last race too, while it’s a race the US trainer Wesley Ward does well in – winning 3 of the last 8 – and he’s got Bundchen. Also, note horses foaled between January and March, while the favourites have a fair record – winning 38% of the last 21. Karl Burke also won the race 12 months ago and in Got To Love A Grey and the likely market leader Beautiful Diamond, these two are chanced ticking most of the main Royal Ascot stats.
Queen Mary Stakes Trends
- 20/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 20/21 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
- 17/21 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
- 17/21 – Won their previous race
- 16/21 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
- 15/21 – Placed favourites
- 8/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
- 7/21 – Returned a double-figure price
- 4/21 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 8 runnings)
- 3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 7)
- 2/21 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
3.05 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV
Just the two past runnings of this new Royal Ascot race and this year’s renewal looks super-competitive again. The Philippart De Foy and Jessie Harrington yards have fair strike-rates with their 4+ year-olds so Divine Light and Villanova Queen are worthy of a second look. While another stable that does well here is Owen Burrows, who runs course winner Tarrabb with William Buick riding.
- 2 previous runnings
- Rising Star (40/1) won this race in 2022
- Trainer David Loughnane won this race in 2021
- Trainer Kevin Philippart De Foy has a 25% record with his 4 year-olds at the track
- Trainer Mrs Jessie Harrington has a 25% record with her 4 year-olds at the track
- Trainer Owen Burrows has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
RELATED: Royal Ascot Best Bets On Wednesday: 1-2-3 Horse Racing Tips For Day Two
3.40 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV
This has been a good contest for both Sir Michael Stoute and the Cheveley Park horses over the years and the pair team up here with Potapova at a big price. 4 year-olds have the best record – winning 16 of the last 19, while a top 3 finish last time out is another big plus. Frankie Dettori’s only win in the race came in 2021 and he’s got a fair chance with Prosperous Voyage for Ralph Becket, but her only run at the track was a poor one in the Coronation Stakes last year (10th). With that in mind, winning form at the Berkshire track is a positive and this is a race Ryan Moore has won twice before so his mount Jumbly looks a big player. This Joseph O’Brien runner took the G3 Valiant Stakes last season, while of the rest the Gosden yard have won 2 of the last 3 and their Grand Dame, who is another course winner, is the saver.
Duke of Cambridge Trends
- 18/19 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
- 17/19 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
- 16/19 – Won by a 4 year-old
- 15/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
- 15/19 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
- 12/19 – Had run at Ascot before
- 12/19 – Favourites that were placed
- 7/19 – Had won at Ascot before
- 6/19 – Returned a double-figure price
- 6/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
- 5/19 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
- 4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 4/19 – Ran at Epsom last time out
- 4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 11 and 2 of last 3 runnings)
- 2/19 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
- 2/19 – Winners from stall 1
- Only 5 placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
4.20 – Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV
This looks a four-horse battle between the 2021 Epsom Derby winner Adayar, Champions Stakes winner Bay Bridge, My Prospero and the Aidan O’Brien runner Luxembourg. Cases can be made for them all, but with the Ballydoyle camp winning this prize three times in the last 11 runnings Luxembourg is the call. This 4 year-old Camelot colt saw off Bay Bridge in the Tattersalls Gold Cup last time out at the Curragh and of the four main players is the top-rated (just) too. The Haggas-trained My Prospero can follow him home.
Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends
- 21/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
- 20/21 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
- 20/21 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
- 18/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
- 17/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
- 15/21 – Were previous Group 1 winners
- 14/21 – Placed favourites
- 12/21 – Won their last race
- 11/21 – Had run at Ascot before
- 11/21 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
- 7/21 – Winning favourites
- 4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 11)
- 3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
- 2/21 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
- 3 of the last 15 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse
5.00 – Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV
Super-competitive as always, but it’s a race the 4 and 5 year-olds have done best in – winning 86% of the last 21 runnings. The stats also suggest the high draws are favoured, but with 30 runners each year there are obviously more horses drawn 10+ than between 1-9 anyway. The weight trend leans us towards horses carrying 9-1 or less, while it’s been a bad race for the favourites with only 1 going in over the last 21 runnings. Many chances, but chances are taken on the Ryan Moore-ridden 4 year-old Sonny Liston, who also sports the first-time blinkers, CD winner Perotto, plus the Irish raider Dunum, who is drawn 11 so will have options to go either way.
Royal Hunt Cup Trends
- 19/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
- 18/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 16/21 – Carried 9-1 or less
- 15/21 – Unplaced favourites
- 15/21 – Returned a double-figure price
- 13/21 – Had run at Ascot before
- 13/21 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 11 of the last 14 runnings)
- 11/21 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
- 6/21 – Won their last race
- 2/21 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
- 2/21 – Won by trainer John Gosden
- 1/21 – Winning favourites
- Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
- 14 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
- We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 14 runnings
RELATED: Best Royal Ascot Each-Way Tip For Day Two: Horse Racing Best Bet For Weds 21st June
5.35 – Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m ITV
Despite being run over 1m6f, the horse from stall 7 has strangely done well here – being placed in 6 of the last 16 and winning 4. This year’s horses from that berth is Chesspiece for Godolphin. We’ve a royal runner too in Circle Of Fire for Sir Michael Stoute, who has four wins to his name in the race, while it’s race the Johnston yard have done well in over the years and with the stable in great form their Hadrianus is worth an interest. However, this could also be another for Frankie Dettori, who has won this race twice before, as he looks to have a top chance with the John Gosden runner Gregory, who comes here 2-from-2 and unbeaten, including winning a Listed race easily at Goodwood last time out.
Queen´s Vase Key Trends
- 18/20 – Had never raced at Ascot before
- 14/20 – Placed last time out
- 13/20 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
- 12/20 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
- 11/20 – Placed favourites
- 7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- 6/20 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
- 7/20 – Winning favourites
- 5/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
- 5/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
- 2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
- No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 years
- The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 16 runnings (4 wins)
- 16 of the last 17 winners came from a single-figure stall
- 6 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 7 or 8
6.10 – Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4
Aidan O’Brien has won 3 of the last 8 runnings if this Listed race (including last year) and has another big chance – this time with Johannes Brahms, who won on debut over 6f at Naas. Maximum Impact is the only CD winner in the field and can go well for the Alice Haynes camp in the first-time tongue-tie too. Wesley Ward also has 2 wins to his name and sends over Fandom to try and add to that tally, while Barnwell Boy was very impressive at Goodwood last time out and represents the in-form Charlie Johnston yard.
Windsor Castle Trends
- 21/21 – Had at least 1 previous outing
- 20/21 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
- 19/21 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
- 16/21 – Had won over 5f before
- 15/21 – Placed last time out
- 15/21 – Had never run at Ascot before
- 11/21 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
- 11/21 – Unplaced favourites
- 10/21 – Won their previous race
- 9/21 – Won by a Feb foal
- 5/21 – Winning favourites
- 2/21 – Trained by Wesley Ward
- 2/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 8)
- Just 2 horses placed from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
- 10 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
- 2022 – Little Big Bear (6/5 fav)
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New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period |
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Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request.
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