You can use our 2023 Royal Ascot trends on day one (Tuesday 20th June) as we give you the key stats for ALL SEVEN of the races. You can use these trends to put history on your side and find the best profiles of horses based on previous winners of each race.
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2023 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Tuesday 20th June 2023
The tapes go up for Royal Ascot 2023 on Tuesday 20th June as horse racing fans lock themselves in for another five days of top-class action, with no fewer than eight Group One races.
The meeting gets off to a flyer today with seven races that include three Group One contests – the Queen Anne Stakes, King’s Stand Stakes and the St James’s Palace Stakes – so to help point you in the direction of the winners, we’ve got ALL races covered with our key Royal Ascot trends for day one.
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RELATED: Royal Ascot Tips On Tuesday: 1-2-3 Horse Racing Best Bets For Day One
Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Live ITV Racing Stats on Tuesday 20th June 2023
2.30 – Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m ITV
Trainer Richard Hannon (3) and Godolphin (4) have a top recent record in this race so their runners Chindit and Modern Games & Native Trial are respected. Frankie Dettori has also ridden 4 of the last 21 winners and will be looking to get off to a flyer with Inspiral, who won the Coronation Stakes last year at this meeting. However, with Lockinge Stakes horses having won 11 of the last 21 runnings so the winner of that Newbury race this year – Modern Games – gets the nod in a race the ‘boys in blue’ have won a massive 8 times. Lockinge Stakes runner-up Chindit can go best of those at bigger prices.
Queen Anne Stakes Trends
- 20/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 18/21 – Previous winners over 1 mile
- 17/21 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
- 17/21 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
- 16/21 – Had already won a Group 1 race
- 15/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
- 15/21 – Won by a 4 year-old
- 11/21 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (4) or owned by Godolphin (4)
- 11/21 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
- 10/21 – Won their previous race
- 10/21 – Had never run at Ascot before
- 9/21 – Favourites that were unplaced
- 8/21 – Winning favourites
- 4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
- Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
- Godolphin have won the race 8 times in total
- 12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 4 or higher
- 2022 – Baaeed (1/6 fav)
3.05 – Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV
With 95% of the last 21 winners having won their previous race this is a ‘must-have’ and even though most will fit the bill we can rule some out. The market tends to get this race right too, with 81% of the last 21 winners returning 8/1 or shorter in the betting, plus it’s a race trainers Richard Hannon and Aidan O’Brien have won 8 times between them since 2001. Hannon has Packard, The Camden Colt and Haatem, while O’Brien has the unbeaten River Tiber. Asadna was very impressive on debut at Ripon (12 length winner, quick time) but this will be harder and the already mentioned River Tiber gets the call after catching the eye with wins at Navan and Naas last time. At a big price the Hannon runner Haatem could outrun his odds after fluffing the break last time at Epsom (lost many lengths), but still running a fine third.
Coventry Stakes Trends
- 20/21 – Won their previous race
- 19/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
- 17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 18/21 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
- 16/21 – Foaled in either Feb or March
- 15/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
- 13/21 – Won over 6f before
- 10/21 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
- 8/21 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
- 6/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
- 2/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
- 1/21 – Won by a Jan foal
- 12 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
- 8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)
- 2022 – Bradsell (8/1)
3.40 – King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f ITV
95% of the last 21 winners were aged 7 or younger so the 8 year-old Equilateral is overlooked, while 86% were aged 4 or older so the 3 year-olds in the race – Bradsell, who was supplemented for this, Marshman, Desert Cop, Coolangatta, Dramatised and Cannonball have this Ascot trend to overcome. A first or second finish last time is also something to look for, plus 62% had won at the track in the past too. Aussie raider, Coolangatta will be popular in a race the Down Under raiders have won 4 times in the last 21. Last year’s second Twilight Calls is back for more, plus CD winners, Dramatised, who won the Queen Mary Stakes last year, and the Frankie-ridden Manaccan are big players too, but the main call is Highfield Princess. This 6 year-old filly is as consistent as you like and versatile in terms of the trip, having won big races over 5f to 7f. A fast run contest should suit this John Quinn runner down to the ground and is also the top-rated in the field.
The final interesting stat in this race is that a horse from stalls 9, 11 or 14 has been placed in 14 of the last 15 runnings – including 200/1 3rd last year Acklam Express. This years magic horses from these stalls are Manaccan, Mitbaahy and Mooneista.
King’s Stand Stakes Trends
- 20/21 – Aged 7 or younger
- 19/21 – Had won a Group race before
- 18/21 – Aged 4 or older
- 18/21 – Had won over 5f before
- 16/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/21 – Finished first or second last time out
- 13/21 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won at the track)
- 11/21 – Favourites placed
- 11/21 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
- 6/21 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
- 6/21 – Favourites that finished third
- 4/21 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
- 4/21 – Winning favourites
- 3/21 – 3 Year-old winners
- A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 14 of the last 15 runnings
- 2022 – Nature Strip (9/4)
RELATED: How Many Royal Ascot Favourites Win? Market Leaders Strike-Rate Over The Last 5 Years
4.20 – St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV4
We get a chance to see both the English and Irish 2000 Guineas winners in action here – Chaldean and Paddington. Both will certainly have their supporters, especially with Frankie Dettori also riding Chaldean. But this is a race the Aidan O’Brien yard have won 6 times in the last 21 and on a line through a horse called Hi Royal, Paddington just edges it. Chaldean beat Hi Royal by 1 3/4 lengths in the Guineas, but Paddington had that horse 2 3/4 lengths back in his Irish Guineas win. The stiff Ascot track also looks sure to suit Paddington, who has been finishing his races off well – Ryan Moore rides. We’ve also seen just 3 winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 15 runnings, which may be a negative for Chaldean (1) and Cicero’s Gift (2). Of those at bigger prices, Royal Scotsman and Indestructible could outrun their odds and sneak a place.
St James’s Palace Stakes Trends
- 21/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
- 18/21 – Favourites that were placed
- 18/21 – Had won over a mile before
- 16/21 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
- 16/21– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
- 14/21 – Previous Group 1 winners
- 14/21 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
- 13/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
- 12/21 – Won their previous race
- 10/21 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
- 9/21 – Irish-trained winners
- 6/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
- 5/21 – Had run at Ascot before
- Just 3 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 15 runnings
- 6 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
- 2022 – Coroebus (10/11 fav)
5.00 – Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f ITV4
A race the Willie Mullins yard love to target – winning the prize 4 times in the past. They also went close last year with Bring On The Night, who is back for more. This 6 year-old landed a silver in the event last year but the winner that day was Coltrane, who his now rated 19lbs higher and one of the big fancies for Thursday’s Gold Cup, so the form is rock solid. Ryan Moore has also been booked to ride and he’s ridden 3 of the last 11 winners of this race – twice for Mullins too. Of the rest, it’s a race the Ian Williams yard like to target too – winning it twice in the last 4 years – so their Law Of The Sea, The Grand Visir and Zinc White are interesting too.
Ascot Stakes Trends
- 18/21 – Carried 9-0 or more
- 16/21 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
- 15/21 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
- 14/21 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
- 12/21 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
- 12/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 8/21 – Won their previous race
- 4/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of the last 11)
- 3/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
- 3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 11)
- 3/21 – Winning favourites
- 2/21 – Trained by Ian Williams
- Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 15 runnings
- 2022 – Coltrane (14/1)
5.35 – Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f ITV4
4 year-olds have a good record in this race – winning 13 of the last 20, while don’t worry if your fancy finished unplaced last time out as 75% of the last 20 winners did too. Trainer John Gosden has a good record in the race – winning 4 of the last 12 and has 2 big chances with the Frankie-ridden Saga for the King and also Francesco Clemente and with the last name coming from the magic stall 5, that has won 4 of the last 7 runnings, he’s the main pick. Last seen running a close 2nd at Goodwood on his return to the track after 308 days off and with just 4 career runs (3 wins) should have more to come. Buckaroo, for Joseph O’Brien and King Of Conquest are two other 4 year-olds to have in your sights.
Wolferton Rated Stakes Trends
- 15/20 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
- 15/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
- 14/20 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
- 13/20 – Aged 4 years-old
- 13/20 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
- 11/20 – Unplaced favourites
- 11/20 – Had run at Ascot before
- 10/20 – Returned a double-figure price
- 7/20 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
- 4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 12)
- 3/20 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
- 2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
- 2/20 – Winning favourites
- 4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 5
- 13 of the last 17 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
- 2022 – Dubai Future (20/1)
6.10 – Copper Horse Handicap (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4
Just the 3 past runnings of this day one final race. Trainer Alan King has a cracking 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track so his Raymond Tusk could go well at a price Frankie Dettori has been booked to ride Absurde for Willie Mullins, but it’s their other runner Vauban, with Ryan Moore in the saddle, that should take all the beating. The 2022 Triumph Hurdle winner is back on the flat on what looks a very fair mark of 101 and despite not winning this year over the sticks ran some top races in defeat – including last time when 2nd in the Paddy Power Champion Hurdle at Punchestown. Last year’s winner Get Shirty is also in the race again so can’t be ignored.
Copper Horse Handicap Trends
- Just the 3 previous runnings
- Get Shirty won the race last year
- 3/3 – Carried 9-1 or more
- 3/3 – Aged between 4-6 (2 winners aged 6)
- 1/3 – Winning favourite
- Trainer Alan King has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
- Trainer David O’Meara won this race in 2022
- Trainer John Gosden won this race in 2021
- Trainer Roger Varian won this race in 2020
Note: Odds are subject to change and others on request.
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New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period
New customer offer only. A qualifying bet is a real money sports bet of at least £10 win or £0 each way at minimum fractional odds of evens (2.0 in decimal odds). We’ll credit your account with 1 x 10 free bet upon settlement of qualifying bet. Promotion runs from 25/02/2022 until 31/06/2022. If this promotion is withdrawn it will not impact any qualifying bet you have placed during promotional period |
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