2023 Imperial Cup Trends: Which Horses Fit The Sandown Stats?

tolworth hurdle
tolworth hurdle

Use our key 2023 Imperial Cup trends to help you find the winner of today’s big Sandown race, where the Paul Nicholls-trained Iceo currently heads the betting. But how have the favourites fared in recent years? We’ve got all the key Sandown stats to guide you through the 2:25pm contest.

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Imperial Cup Trends to Help You Find The Winners

Many decent Imperial Cup trends below to help whittle down the 18 runners. Use these to help find the best profile of past winners as in these big handicaps, history has a habit of repeating itself.

The race is also has strong links to next week’s Cheltenham Festival. Normally there is a sponsors bonus in place should a horse win this and then a Festival race, but looks like that is not on the table this year.

Regardless – in the last 19 years, we’ve seen 12 of the winners head to the Festival the following week.

The last horse to do the double was Gaspara in 2007, who took the Fred Winter the next week.

Let’s look at some of the main Sandown stats in a big more detail.

84% Of the Last 19 Imperial Cup Winners Carried 10st-13lb or Less

First up is to focus on the weight carried as this is a handicap. With 84% of the last 19 winners carrying 10st 13lbs or less, this is a great place to start.

If this Imperial Cup weight trend is to carry on, then it will put a line through the top 13 on the card!

This means only Hardy Du Seuil, Salsada, Zoffany Bay, Kellahen and Western Zephyr get the thumps up.

Oh, And You Can Take This Weight Trend Further

We’ve actually also seen 12 of the last 19 winners carry just 10-7 too – and only two runners fit the bill here. Western Zephyr and Kellahen.


RELATED: 2023 Cheltenham Festival Trends On Day One: Key Cheltenham Stats To Find The Tuesday Winners


16 Of the Last 19 Winners Were Aged 6 Or Younger

Age is the next thing to look for as 16 of the last 19 Imperial Cup winners were aged 6 or younger. Of the 18 runners we’ve 10 horses that fit into this stat. The ones that don’t are Metier, Soaring Glory, Lightly Squeeze, Playful Saint, Givega, Knickerbockerglory, Zoffany Bay and Fine Casting.

5 Winning Imperial Cup Favourites in Recent Years

The Imperial Cup favourites in recent years have not fared too badly – winning 26% of the last 19 runnings. The current market leader is the Paul Nicholls horse – Iceo – as the Ditcheat handler will looking to add to his only other win in the race (Malaya, 2019).

Imperial Cup Trends Tip

This year it looks like you might need to pick and choose the trends to focus. The Irish raider Zoffany Bay, with a low weight, is interesting if you can forgive the age trend (9). But we did see 8 year-olds win in 2013 and 2018.

Another of interest is the Jamie Snowden horse – HARDY DU SEUIL @ 12/1 with BetUK. This 6 year-old gets in here with just 10-13 to carry and is in-form after a solid win here at the track last time. He, in fact, had the favourite Iceo 3 lengths back in decent that day too and there is only a 3lbs weight pull in favour of the Nicholls horse.

Imperial Cup Betting with BetUK

Latest 2023 Imperial Cup betting with BetUK as we see the Paul Nicholls-trained Iceo as the current favourite.

  • Iceo 5/1
  • Playful Saint 13/2
  • Zoffany Bay 15/2
  • Metier 8/1
  • Givega 8/1
  • Man O Work 8/1
  • Monveil 8/1
  • Hardy Du Seuil 12/1
  • 14/1 bar

Note: Correct 11th March, but odds are subject to change and others on request

Imperial Cup Trends to Help Find The Winner

See below our in-depth Imperial Cup trends to help you find the best profile based on past winners of the race. Apply these Sandown stats to the final runners to see which horses have the most going for them.

  • 18/19 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
  • 18/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
  • 18/19 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
  • 16/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
  • 16/19 – Rated 124 or higher
  • 15/19 – Aged 6 or younger
  • 12/19 – Carried 10-7 or less
  • 12/19 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
  • 12/19 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara – Fred Winter)
  • 10/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
  • 9/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 9/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 6/19 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
  • 6/19 – Won last time out
  • 6/19 – French bred
  • 5/19 – Winning favourites
  • 5/19 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
  • 5/19 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
  • 2/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 6)
  • 2/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
  • The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 14/1

What Date & Time Is The 2023 Imperial Cup?

đź“…Time/Date: 2:25pm (Saturday 11th March 2023)
🏇Racecourse: Sandown
đź’° Purse/Winner: ÂŁ56,270
đź“ş TV: ITV4 / Racing TV

Imperial Cup Recent Winners

  • 2022 – SURPRISE PACKAGE (20/1)
  • 2021 – LANGER DAN (5/1)
  • 2020 – Abandoned
  • 2019 – MALAYA (7/1)
  • 2018 – MR ANTOLINI (20/1)
  • 2017 – LONDON PRIZE (10/1)
  • 2016 – FLYING ANGEL (9/1)
  • 2015 – EBONY EXPRESS (33/1)
  • 2014 – BALTIMORE ROCK (7/1)
  • 2013 – FIRST AVENUE (20/1)

WATCH: Surprise Package Winning The 2022 Imperial Cup


 

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