Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
There’s a good meeting at Nottingham on Wednesday (October 12th) where Andrew has three picks, as well as one over jumps at Punchestown. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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NOTTINGHAM 2.20
SHAZAM (system- Ralph Beckett, debutantes at Nottingham)
This century, Ralph Beckett has a seven from 30 record when running a filly on her debut at Nottingham and backing them all would have returned a profit of £32.75 to the usual £1 stake. Eight of the beaten horses ran second or third and SHAZAM, a €140,000 purchase, is bred to appreciate the forecast soft going.
NOTTINGHAM 2.55
STARMAS (system – David Loughnane, second run for the yard)
David Loughnane has a useful record at the second time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards, scoring with 19 of the 132 qualifiers (14.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £66.58 to a £1 level stake at SP. STARMAS finished a respectable 10-1 fourth at Wolverhampton on her recent debut for the yard and can break her duck.
NOTTINGHAM 4.40
FAST RESPONSE (system – Fast Company, good to soft or softer going, Flat)
Progeny of the sire Fast Company have a solid record when racing on officially good to soft or softer going on the Flat, landing 32 of their 238 starts (13.5%) for a profit of £21.05. On soft or heavy going only, the profit improves to £55.23. They’re calling it soft at Nottingham today and the consistent FAST RESPONSE looks set to run another good race with conditions to suit.
PUNCHESTOWN 5.05
SILVERTOWN (system – Gavin Cromwell, first run in a handicap chase, Class D or lower)
Gavin Cromwell is nine from 56 with his handicap chase debutants for a profit of £6.00 and those who were running in Class D or lower company, as SILVERTOWN is today, are eight from 26 for a profit of £29.00. The five-year-old didn’t impress with his jumping when a modest sixth of 14 at Kilbeggan last time but that was only his second chase outing, and he might do better now handicapping.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day for 12 October 2022
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Related
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