Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to Ayr, Yarmouth, Kempton and Southwell for his four stats-based selections on Wednesday, May 22nd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below..
AYR 2.50
GLOBAL HUMOR (system – very recent outing)
GLOBAL HUMOR, a four-time Ayr winner, has a fine record when returned to the track very quickly (five days or sooner), recording form figures of 116161335 (4-9), including course figures of 11615 (3-5). The veteran finished a respectable fourth at Hamilton five days ago and looks a solid each-way play if anything like the forecast 15-2.
YARMOUTH 3.30
BLUE POINT EXPRESS (system – Charlie Johnston, juvenile debutantes)
The Johnston yard does well with two-year-old fillies on their racecourse debuts, especially in sprints (5f-6f). Since the beginning of 2012, they’ve won with 55 of the 244 qualifiers (22.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £96.61 to a £1 level stake at SP. Substitute was a 14-1 winner on this angle just three days ago and perhaps BLUE POINT EXPRESS can add to the profits.
KEMPTON 5.25
BAROQUE BUOY (system – George Scott, all-weather handicappers)
George Scott has a solid recent record in all-weather handicaps, scoring with 31 of the 116 qualifiers (26.7%) since the beginning of 2022 for a profit of £28.33 (expected winners = 20.54, A/E = 1.51). BAROQUE BUOY clocked a good speed figure when beaten by a short head over course and distance on last month’s handicap debut, form that was franked when the winner (Midnight Drive) followed up. The fourth also gave the form a lift when a close-up third at Redcar earlier this week and Baroque Buoy could have further improvement to come now fitted with a first-time tongue-tie.
SOUTHWELL 6.10
GLENCASSLEY (system – Charlie Longsdon chasers, first-time cheekpieces)
Charlie Longsdon does well with chasers in first-time cheekpieces, scoring with 18 of the 76 qualifiers (23.7%) for a profit of £26.60 (expected winners = 10.97, A/E = 1.64). GLENCASSLEY will appreciate today’s small field – his record in fields of seven or fewer stands at 1115413 (4-7) – and the switch to a left-handed track, as well as the headgear, could bring about improvement.
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