Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew hit the crossbar with five seconds on Tuesday and has three more picks for the racing action on Wednesday, December 21st. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
FAIRYHOUSE 2.07
HEYJOE DE KERSER (system – Saddler Maker hurdlers, Fairyhouse)
Progeny of the sire Saddler Maker have an excellent record over hurdles at Fairyhouse, winning 12 of their 32 races (40% strike rate) for a profit of £75.82 to a £1 level stake at SP. The Paul Nolan-trained HEYJOE DE KERSER ran respectably on his first start in a Navan maiden hurdle and could be worth chancing to small stakes on his course debut.
HEREFORD 2.45
ROGER RAREBIT (system – Tom Lacey, first-time cheekpieces)
Trainer Tom Lacey has a great recent record when using first-time cheekpieces, scoring with seven of the 23 qualifiers since the beginning of 2020 for a profit of £23.25 to a £1 level stake at SP. ROGER RAREBIT was just denied when favourite for a handicap hurdle on his latest start and has sound claims of going one place better in the first-time headgear. He also qualifies as a bet for me on a training angle, as the yard do very well with beaten favourites over hurdles on their next start, 24 of the 98 qualifiers went on to win on their next outing, recording a £38.88 profit to the usual £1 level stake at SP.
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30
LEBSAYER (system – Jane Chapple-Hyam stable switchers, handicaps)
Since the beginning of 2010, Jane Chapple-Hyam is 19 from 112 at the first time of asking in handicap races with horses she takes over from other yards and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £97.75 to a £1 level stake at SP. LEBSAYER showed plenty of ability for the Sir Michael Stoute yard and might be able to score on his first outing for new connections.
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