Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew was among the winners again on Tuesday and has four stats-based selections on Wednesday, December 13th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
HEXHAM 1.15
APPLAUS (system – Micky Hammond/Emma Smith-Chaston combination)
The Micky Hammond yard is in a bit of form now after a quiet spell and Emma Smith-Chaston can get a tune out of APPLAUS in this 2m4f handicap hurdle. Smith -Chaston is 39 from 251 (15.5% strike-rate) when riding for Hammond for a profit of £49.35 to a £1 level stake at SP. Applaus contributed with wins at 11-1 and 7-2 (from nine starts) and also placed at 14-1 and 10-1.
HEXHAM 2.15
THE VILLAGE WAY (system – Dan Skelton, first-time tongue-tie, low-grade hurdles)
Dan Skelton has a 51 from 169 record (30.2%) with h first-time tongue-tied hurdlers in Class 4 or lower company for a profit of £23.32 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 36.18, A/E = 1.41). THE VILLAGE WAY, runner-up in two point-to-points and in a novice hurdle at Wetherby, can break his duck.
LEICESTER 2.35
JOHNNY MAC (system – Matt Sheppard, second run for the stable. Chases)
Matt Sheppard has a modest strike-rate at the first-time of asking with horses he takes over form other yards but it’s a different story second time out, especially with the chasers. In the past 15 seasons, he’s won with seven of the 37 qualifiers for a profit of £61.83. JOHNNY MAC won well at Hereford last month and can follow up.
KEMPTON 5.30
OLD CHUMS (system – Kodiac, gelded since last run)
Progeny of the sire Kodiac have a cracking record on this first start after a gelding operation, with 53 of the 373 qualifiers winning for a huge profit of £200.58 to a £1 level stake at SP. Stall 12 makes life difficult for the Tom Dascombe-trained OLD CHUMS but the switch to the all-weather could suit – his dam won here – and there was plenty of promise on his debut sixth of 16 at Doncaster back in April.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today.
New Customers – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with BetUK
Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
- New customers aged 18 or over opt in and stake £10+ on any sporting event.
- The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1/2 (1.50).
- Once the qualifying bet settles 3x £10 free bets will be awarded to your account.
- Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with odds of 3/10 (1.30) or greater.
- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
- Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet.
- Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and stakes not returned with winnings.
- Further terms and conditions apply.
Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsLens.
- View the latest horse racing results from the UK and Ireland.
Add Sportslens to your Google News Feed!
