Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew was among the winners again on Monday with CANAGAT (9-4) and has three more picks for Tuesday, September 26th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
SEDGEFIELD 1.00
MAJOR SNUGFIT (system – top 4 from the front over 1m2f+ on Newcastle’s AW last time out)
It’s never been easy to win from the front on the round course at Newcastle (all-weather) and simply backing any pacesetter who made the top four over 1m2f or further last-time out would have found 51 winners from 234 bets (21.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £91.20 to the usual £1 stake.
MAJOR SNUGFIT got into a battle for the early lead when fourth of 13 in a 1m4f Newcastle handicap last time, seeing off the other pace horses but getting passed by three hold-up horses late on. He had three lengths to spare over the other frontrunner and will appreciate the return to hurdles -his last three wins having come in this sphere.
SOUTHWELL 3.01
TEN PAST MIDNIGHT (system – Martin Keighley, Southwell jumps)
Martin Keighley is 38 from 213 (18.8% strike-rate) in national hunt races at Southwell and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £51.12 to a £1 level stake at SP. In handicap chases only his strike-rate improves to 27.5% (14 winners from 51 runners) for a profit of £58.16. TEN PAST MIDNIGHT, a dual course winner over hurdles at the Nottinghamshire venue, can make a winning chase debut.
AYR 4.39
POSITIVE FORCE (system – Kevin Ryan/Kevin Stott, first-time cheekpieces, handicaps)
Since the beginning of 2010, Kevin Ryan’s record with handicappers in first-time cheekpieces stands at 23 winners from 243 qualifiers (9.5%) for a loss of £22.09. However, the ones ridden by Kevin Stott are ten from 42 for a profit of £51.33 and it could be worth chancing outsider POSITIVE FORCE to make an impact in the first-time headgear. The three-year-old might be in receipt of an easy lead in this 1m2f handicap and the form of Thirsk’s June third to Bay Of Honour and Positive Impact – now rated 102 and 94 respectively – suggests his mark of 72 could be on the generous side.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day for 27 September 2022
New Customers – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with BetUK
Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
- New customers must sign up on mobile.
- Stake a minimum amount of £10 on any sporting event.
- The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1.5 (1/2).
- A maximum of 3 x £10 free bets credited when a qualifying bet on selected events is settled.
- Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 (3/10) or greater.
- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
- Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet.
- Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and not returned with winnings.
- Further terms and conditions apply.
Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsLens.
- Check out the latest horse racing results from across the UK.
Add Sportslens to your Google News Feed!
