Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
With Lingfield’s valuable jumps card abandoned, Andrew heads to Thurles and Newcastle for his two picks on Sunday, January 22nd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
THURLES 1.10
MALINA GIRL (system – Malinas, 2m4f+, good to soft or softer going)
Progeny of the sire Malinas are profitable to follow blindly on good to soft or softer going, provided they are running over a trip of 2m4f or further, with 88 of the 497 qualifiers scoring (17.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £60.29 to a £1 level stake at SP. MALINA GIRL will probably struggle to beat 1-7 favourite ALLEGORIE DE VASSY in this Grade 2 mares’ novice chase but second place is up for grabs and she looks the best each-way or ‘without the favourite’ option.
NEWCASTLE 1.15
KITTEN’S DREAM (system – Kitten’s Joy, Newcastle AW, recent run)
Progeny of the sire Kitten’s Joy do well on Newcastle’s Tapeta surface when brought back to the track within six weeks of a previous outing. Ten of the 37 qualifiers won (27%) for a profit of £9.27 to a £1 level stake at SP (taking the best price the night before racing would have seen that boosted to £25.13). Eighteen individual horses qualified, with seven winning, and though KITTEN’S DREAM is 0-2 on this angle, she failed to settle when a creditable 16-1 fifth over course and distance last time and is worth another chance at a similar price.
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Related
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