Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew was back among the winners on Friday and has six selections across the country on Saturday, November 26th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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NEWCASTLE 12.30
WELL ABOVE PAR (system – Gold Well, first run after a wind operation, handicap chase)
Progeny of the sire Gold Well are five from 22 when running in handicap chase company on their first start following a wind operation and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £15.40. Three of the beaten horses finished second (20-1, 7-1 and 9-2) and four more were third (12-1, 15-2, 6-1 and 11-2), suggesting that WELL ABOVE PAR has each-way claims on his reappearance for in-form Lucinda Russell.
DONCASTER 2.22
WILLASTON (system – Mark Walford, hurdle to chase switchers)
Mark Walford has a useful record with runners switching from hurdles to fences, scoring with 14 of the 51 qualifiers for a profit of £23.88 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners only 7.28). WILLASTON, priced up as the 10-1 outsider of five at the time of writing, was a winner over hurdles on his penultimate start and is taken to cause a minor upset on his chase debut under Rules.
BANGOR 2.38
HAVEANOTHERGOFLO (system – Donald McCain, non-handicap hurdles, Bangor)
Backing all of Donald McCain’s hurdlers at Bangor, in non-handicap company, would have found 70 winners from 244 bets (28.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £56.20 to the usual £1 stake. HAVEANOTHERGOFLO changed hands for £70,000 after landing his sole point-to-point start by six lengths and looks backable on his debut under Rules.
NEWBURY 3.05
POTTERMAN (system – Alan King, first-time visor)
I’ve fired off a few arrows at the outsiders in the Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase, including Alan King’s POTTERMAN. He has a solid record on good ground and the application of a first-time visor could help. King has a 17 from 105 record with such runners in the current century for a profit of £35.27. Potterman was still in contention when unseating as an 11-1 shot in this race two years, has improved since (according to the official handicapper) and yet is four or five times the price this time around.
BANGOR 3.13
WALK IN MY SHOES (system – Milan, first run after a wind operation)
Since wind operations had to be declared in late January 2018, progeny of the sire Milan have performed well over obstacles on their first run after the surgery. The score stands at 20 winners from 94 bets for a huge profit of £127.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. Jonjo O’Neill’s WALK IN MY SHOES has gone well fresh in the past and is taken to defy a 278-day break.
WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50
TWINKLE STAR (system – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Since the start of last year, owners Amo Racing have a 22 from 84 record with newcomers for a profit of £50.63 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 14.47). Paul & Oliver Cole will be keen to impress their new owners with TWINKLE STAR in this fillies’ novice contest and the daughter of Oasis Dream looks nicely drawn in stall 5.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day – See our free NAP bet today.
New Customers – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with BetUK
Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
- New customers must sign up on mobile.
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- A maximum of 3 x £10 free bets credited when a qualifying bet on selected events is settled.
- Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 (3/10) or greater.
- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
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Related
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