Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Saturday Picks – April 22nd

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.

Andrew has been in good form this week and has six stats-based selections on Saturday, April 22nd. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:

THIRSK 2.00

THANKUAPPRECIATEIT (system – Fountain Of Youth, turf, very recent run)

Progeny of the sire Fountain Of Youth prefer turf to the all-weather and they also have a fine record when returned to the track quickly (15 days or sooner). Combining these two angles would have seen us back 29 winners from 173 bets for a huge profit of £310.75 to a £1 level stake at SP. THANKYOUAPPRECIATEIT fared best of those ridden patiently when third at Nottingham ten days ago and can go two places better.

BANGOR 2.15

ICEMAN DENNIS (system – Donald McCain, handicap hurdles at Bangor, recent run)

Since the beginning of 2011, Donald McCain is 43 from 128 (33.6%) with his handicap hurdlers at Bangor who last ran between one and 28 days ago. Backing them blind would have returned a profit of £139.66 to a £1 level stake at SP. ICEMAN DENNIS fell here last time but could be worth chancing at a big price (14-1 at the time of writing).

NEWBURY 3.15

JIMI HENDRIX (system – Ralph Beckett, first-time blinkers)

Since the start of 2016, Ralph Beckett has a 23 from 103 record with handicappers in first-time blinkers and backing them all would have returned a profit of £85.23 to a £1 level stake at SP. JIMI HENDRIX, not best drawn when mid-division in the Lincoln on his reappearance and first start since gelded, could benefit from the headgear in the Spring Cup. Twelve of those first-time blinkered Beckett handicappers were having their second start after being gelded and five won for a profit of £37.00.

AYR 3.35

KITTY’S LIGHT (system – Christian Williams, long travellers)

Christian Williams’ long travellers have a fine record and, since 2019, has we backed those who travelled more than 250 miles to the races would have found 33 winners from 119 bets 27.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £16.27 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who started as favourite were 20 from 48 (41.7%) for a profit of £16.02. KITTY’S LIGHT, runner-up in this race last year, was vying for favouritism at the time of writing and can go one better.

NOTTINGHAM 6.30

GEMINI STAR (system – Alice Haynes, handicap debut)

Trainer Alice Haynes has an eight from 35 record with her handicap debutants for a profit of £75.88 to a £1 level stake at SP. GEMINI STAR, winner of a soft-ground 5f maiden at Thirsk last time, can follow up on her handicap debut.

NOTTINGHAM 7.30

HIDDEN STORY (system – Charlie Appleby, gelded 3yo newcomers on turf)

In the past five seasons, Charlie Appleby is nine from 27 with gelded three-year-old newcomers on turf for a profit of £26.27 to a £1 level stake at SP. HIDDDEN STORY cost 550,000gns as a yearling and can make a winning start to his career.

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Related

• There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsLens.
• View the latest horse racing results from the UK and Ireland.