Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew starts the new week with three stats-based selections at Windsor, Plumpton and Wolverhampton on Monday, October 17th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
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WINDSOR 3.00
END RESULT (system – Jane Chapple-Hyam, second run for yard, handicaps)
Jane Chapple-Hyam has a useful record with handicappers on their second start for her yard, scoring with ten of the 38 qualifiers since 2017 for a profit of ÂŁ64.28 to the usual ÂŁ1 stake. END RESULT finished well beaten on his stable debut at Haydock last month but that was his first outing for 12 months and he hood, worn for the first time that day, is left off this time.
PLUMPTON 5.05
ART OF ILLUSION (system – chase debutants, top weight in handicaps)
It often pays to sit up and take notice when a chase debutant goes straight into handicap company under top weight, rather than run in a beginners or novice contest. This angle is especially effective early season in Class 4 or lower contests with horses aged six or younger. Warren Greatrex has scored with two of his last three runners under these conditions (15-2 and 4-1) and it might be worth chancing ART OF ILLUSION to upset short-priced favourite Blade Runner.
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00
BRAZEN DIAMOND (system – Brazen Beau, Tapeta)
Since the start of last year, progeny of the sire Brazen Beau have a 30 from 176 record on the Tapeta surfaces at Newcastle or Wolverhampton for a profit of ÂŁ36.83 to a ÂŁ1 level stake at SP. The are also showing a profit on the new Tapeta surface at Southwell but from a much small sample (three from 29, +ÂŁ75.00). BRAZEN DIAMOND, narrowly beaten into second over course and distance last time, can go one better.
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RELATED – Horse racing NAP of the Day for 17 October 2022
New Customers – Bet ÂŁ10 & Get ÂŁ30 in Free Bets with BetUK
Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get ÂŁ30 in free bets after betting ÂŁ10. Here are all the details:
- New customers must sign up on mobile.
- Stake a minimum amount of ÂŁ10 on any sporting event.
- The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1.5 (1/2).
- A maximum of 3 x ÂŁ10 free bets credited when a qualifying bet on selected events is settled.
- Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 (3/10) or greater.
- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
- Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet.
- Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and not returned with winnings.
- Further terms and conditions apply.
Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsLens.
- View the latest horse racing results from the UK and Ireland.
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