Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount is a contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. Andrew uses stats and systems to find value bets and shares his latest thoughts below.
Andrew heads to Yarmouth, Wolverhampton (AW) and Ffos Las for three stats-based picks on Tuesday, April 25th. Follow his tips this week and all year round on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his latest picks below:
YARMOUTH 2.40
SIR BOLTON (System – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Owners Amo Racing have a great record with newcomers, regardless of who trains them, landing 32 of their 142 starts for a profit of ÂŁ41.25 to a ÂŁ1 level stake at SP. Trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis does very well with their debutants with form figures of 24112124 (3-8) and SIR BOLTON, a 155,000 euros son of Blue Point, looks a likely type on paper and can make a winning debut.
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.25
BRIDGE WATER (Marco Botti, turf to Tapeta switchers)
Marco Botti has an excellent record when switching a runner from turf to Tapeta and although he’s yet to score (0-5) at Southwell since the new surface was introduced, he’s won with ten of the 38 qualifiers at Newcastle (+ÂŁ44.58 to a ÂŁ1 level stake at SP) and 55 of the 241 qualifiers at Wolverhampton (+ÂŁ81.60). BRIDGE WATER got bogged down in the soft ground on her latest start at Redcar and may be able to improve for the switch back to a Tapeta surface.
FFOS LAST 3.25
EBONY GALE (System – Sean Bowen, Ffos Las chases)
Sean Bowen has a solid record over fences at Ffos Las, scoring on 39 of his 135 mounts (28.9% strike-rate) for a profit of ÂŁ65.74 to a ÂŁ1 level stake at SP. EBONY GALE had a four from 13 record over the larger obstacles for previous trainer Phillip Hobbs and could well score at the first time of asking for his new trainer, Peter Bowen.
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