How Would The Premier League Table Look If It Was Based On XG?

Have you ever wondered what the Premier League table would look like based on expected goals (xG)? Well look no further, as we’ve collated this season’s xG stats and have created a league table based off of teams’ xG per 90.

Arsenal currently top the Premier League table, five points clear of second place Manchester City.

Their recent victory over Bournemouth saw Reiss Nelson net a 97th minute winner at the Emirates in true league champion fashion.

It is almost a two horse race for the league title now, following a couple of poor results for Manchester United which has seen them go 16 points adrift of the Gunners.

If Mikel Arteta’s side keep going as they are, it will be a first league title for the Gunners in over 20 years.

But have you ever wondered what the Premier League table would look like if it was based on expected goals (xG)? Well, look no further. We’ve collated all of the xG statistics from this season so far, and have created a Premier League table based on xG per 90.

Premier League Expected Goals (xG) Table

Table-toppers Arsenal remain at the helm on our xG table, closely followed by Manchester City who are just 0.02 xG behind.

Interestingly, 6th place Liverpool take Manchester United’s spot at third on the xG table as the Red Devils drop down to 7th.

One big mover is Leeds United. Placed 19th in the Premier League table, the Whites would move up to 10th if the league was based on xG – well clear of the relegation zone.

West Ham are another side who move significantly from their actual league position based on the xG. The Hammers currently find themselves in 17th – level on points with Bournemouth in 18th, but are up to 9th in the xG table, ahead of the likes of Fulham and Brentford.

The rest of the sides are in similar positions to their actual league standing, except for Nottingham Forest who drop 5 places from 14th to 19th.

1. Arsenal – 2.23 xG per 90
2. Manchester City – 2.21 xG per 90
3. Liverpool – 2.04 xG per 90
4. Brighton – 1.91 xG per 90
5. Newcastle United – 1.79 xG per 90
6. Tottenham – 1.71 xG per 90
7. Manchester United – 1.64 xG per 90
8. Chelsea – 1.55 xG per 90
9. West Ham – 1.52 xG per 90
10. Leeds – 1.52 xG per 90
11. Fulham – 1.44 xG per 90
12. Brentford – 1.41 xG per 90
13. Aston Villa – 1.39 xG per 90
14. Wolves – 1.23 xG per 90
15. Leicester – 1.22 xG per 90
16. Southampton – 1.22 xG per 90
17. Everton – 1.17 xG per 90
18. Crystal Palace 1.02 xG per 90
19. Nottingham Forest – 0.98 xG per 90
20. Bournemouth – 0.88 xG per 90

Premier League Expected Goals Against (xGA) Table

For this table, it will be based on how many expected goals are against a team per 90 minutes.

The top two remain the same once again, but Manchester City pip Arsenal to the number one spot. The Citizens are the only side in the Premier League to have less than one goal expected against them.

Southampton and West Ham see a significant rise in the table here, as the Premier League’s bottom and 17th sides move up to 7th and 8th respectively.

Manchester United drop down to 9th place from 3rd, with 1.54 goals per 90 expected to be scored against them.

It’s a big drop for Tottenham Hotspur too, who move from 4th in the actual table down 13th in the xGA table.

And it’s a drop of 10 position’s for Thomas Frank’s Brentford. The Bees, who are 9th in the Premier League table, are 19th in the xGA table with 1.83 goals expected against them.

1. Manchester City – 0.96 xGA per 90
2. Arsenal – 1.15 xGA per 90
3. Brighton – 1.21 xGA per 90
4. Liverpool – 1.28 xGA per 90
5. Newcastle United – 1.37 xGA per 90
6. Chelsea – 1.48 xGA per 90
7. West Ham – 1.50 xGA per 90
8. Southampton – 1.51 xGA per 90
9. Manchester United – 1.54 xGA per 90
10. Aston Villa – 1.54 xGA per 90
11. Leicester – 1.58 xGA per 90
12. Leeds United – 1.62 xGA per 90
13. Tottenham – 1.64 xGA per 90
14. Fulham – 1.64 xGA per 90
15. Wolves – 1.66 xGA per 90
16. Crystal Palace – 1.71 xGA per 90
17. Everton – 1.74 xGA per 90
18. Nottingham Forest – 1.76 xGA per 90
19. Brentford – 1.83 xGA per 90
20. Bournemouth – 2.00 xGA per 90

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