Cheltenham November Meeting Trends 2023: Day Three Sunday Stats To Find The Winners

The top-class jumps action concludes at Prestbury Park on Sunday and to help find the winners you can use our key Cheltenham November Meeting trends 2023 to showcase the best profiles in each of the four LIVE ITV Racing contests.

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Cheltenham November Meeting Trends: Day Three Stats To Find The Sunday ITV Racing Winners

The 2023 Cheltenham November Meeting draws to a close on Sunday (19th Nov) with another decent afternoon of action and to help narrow down your search for the winners, here at SportsLens we’ve highlighted the main big race trends and stats for each of the LIVE ITV races.

This Sunday’s Cheltenham November Meeting sees another FOUR LIVE ITV races that run from 1:45pm to 3:30pm

The Return Of Jonbon In The Shloer Chase

At 2:55pm, the Shloer Chase is one of the features as we see the return of Jonbon, who will be a warm order to come back with a bang but will face former Arkle winner Edwardstone and the two-time winner of this race Nube Negra so, despite his short odds, still has the makings of a decent affair.

Jonbon’s trainer Nicky Henderson has won the race twice in the past – with the most recent with his classy Sprinter Sacre in 2015.

Is Owner Paul Byrne Plotting Another Handicap ‘Good Thing’?

The Greatwood Hurdle is at 3:30pm and all the pre-race money has been for the Willie Mullins-trained Onlyamatteroftime. This 7 year-old is also owned by Paul Byrne, who won this prize in 2020 with The Shunter and with only 10-3 to carry could be thrown in at the weights. Have they unearthed another handicap ‘good thing‘?

It’s also a race the Dan Skelton yard like to target, with two wins since 2016, and they run L’Eau Du Sud and Knickerbockerglory – both will have their supporters too.

However, the Greatwood Hurdle trends tell us that 71% of the last 21 winners were aged 4 or 5, while there’s only been one winner aged 8 or older since 1987 – the popular grey Rooster Booster in 2002.

A recent run, a top two finish, having won no more than four time before and previous course form are all pluses to look for.

It’s also interesting that, as well as the age stat against the 7 year-old Mullins favourite Onlyamatteroftime. It’s also not been a great race for the market leader, with just two winning in the last 21.

See below the best Cheltenham trends and stats for each of the four LIVE ITV races – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best horse profiles based on previous winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends: Sunday 19th November 2023

1.45 – Cavani.co.uk Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

• 9/9 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
• 9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
• 9/9 – Placed in the top 5 last time
• 8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
• 8/9 – French or Irish-bred winners
• 8/9 – Favourites top 3 finish
• 8/9 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
• 6/9 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
• 6/9 – Raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles)
• 5/9 – Won last race
• 4/9 – Favourites
• 2/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

2.20 – Jewson Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3 1/2f ITV

• 19/21 – Raced at Cheltenham before
• 19/21 – Won a 3m+ race over fences before
• 18/21 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
• 15/21 – Aged 8 or younger
• 13/21  – Won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
• 13/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
• 12/21 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
• 10/21 – Irish bred
• 12/21 – From the top 3 in the betting
• 9/21 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
• 9/21 – Won over fences at Cheltenham before
• 8/21 – Top 3 finish last time out
• 8/21  – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
• 8/21 – French bred
• 3/21 – Won last race
• 3/21 – Favourites (1 co)
• 3/21 – Trained by Tizzard yard (2 of the last 6 years)
• 3/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
• 3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
• 2/21 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 12 years)

2.55 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV

• 13/14 – Officially rated 150+
• 13/14 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
• 12/14 – Won on seasonal reappearance
• 12/14 – Won over fences at Cheltenham
• 10/14 – Won at least 4 times over fences before
• 10/14 – Favourites that finished 1^st or 2^nd
• 10/14 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
• 9/14 – Didn’t win last time out
• 9/14 – Aged 7 or older
• 7/14 – Favourites
• 6/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
• 5/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
• 3/14 – German bred
• 3/14 – Ran at Aintree last time out
• Nube Negra won the race in 2021 and 2022

3.30 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

• 19/21 – Won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
• 18/21 – Won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
• 15/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
• 14/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks)
• 14/21 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
• 13/21 – Officially rated 140 or higher
• 13/21 – Raced at Cheltenham before
• 13/21 – Finished in the top two last time out
• 12/21 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
• 11/21 – Raced 6 or less times over hurdles
• 10/21 –Favourites placed
• 9/21 – Carried 11-4 or more
• 8/21 – From the first three in the betting
• 7/21 – Won last time out
• 7/21 – Irish-bred winners
• 4/21 – Winners that carried 11-12 in weight
• 4/21 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
• 3/21 – Trained by the Paul Nicholls yard
• 2/21 – Favourites
• 2/21 – Irish-trained winners
• 2/21 – Trained by the Dan Skelton (2 of the last 7) yard
• 2/21 – Trained by the Alan King (2 of the last 6) yard
• 2/21 – Trained by the Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 14) yard
• The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
• Just one winner since 1987 aged 8 or older (Rooster Booster, 2002
• 6 of the last 14 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

Note: Odds are subject to change

Cheltenham November Meeting Running Order: Sunday 19th, Nov 2023

See below the full Sunday Cheltenham November Meeting times and running order – plus you can see all this week’s races and schedule for the whole three-day fixture here.

• 1:10 – mallardjewellers.com Maiden Hurdle (Novices’ Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m½f RTV
• 1:45 – Cheltenham Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4
• 2:20 – Jewson Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3½f ITV4
• 2:55 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4
• 3:30 – Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m½f ITV4
• 4:00 – Prestbury Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4-5yo) 2m½f RTV