Ayr Horse Racing Trends and Tips For ITV Racing On Saturday 23rd Sept 2023

Ayr Gold Cup
Ayr Gold Cup

Use our Ayr horse racing trends and tips to the ITV racing on Saturday 23rd September to find the best profile of past winners. You can then apply these Ayr racing stats to this year’s contests to whittle down the runners and put history on your side.

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Ayr Horse Racing Trends and Tips For ITV Racing On Saturday 23rd Sept 2023

Baring their Scottish Grand National meeting, the Ayr Gold Cup fixture is another of the big highlights at the Scottish track each year.

We’ve a jam-packed 8-race card to enjoy this Saturday (23rd Sept), with the first five races being shown LIVE on ITV4.

The Listed Doonside Cup (1:50pm) is one of the features – a race the Andrew Balding yard have won 3 times in the last 10 and run Imperial Fighter.

At 3:00pm the Group Three Firth Of Clyde is another of the showcase races, where all eyes will be on the exciting Owen Burrows-trained Raqiya, who has won her last two races in eye-catching fashion. She could easily turn out to be better than this level.

Ayr Gold Cup: Can Summerghand Become The First Back-to-Back Winner Since 1931?

However, the Ayr Gold Cup (3:35pm) is the day’s big feature race as a monster field of 25 will battle it out for the ÂŁ92k top prize.

In 2021 we saw Bielsa win the pot and 12 months ago the veteran sprinter Summerghand took the honours – both are back to try again and if last year’s winner can go in again, he’ll become the first back-to-back Ayr Gold Cup winner since 1931.

There are several big Ayr Gold Cup trends to look out for too – like there only being 7 winners aged 6 or older since 1980, while 15 of the last 22 successful horses carried 9-1 or more and came from a double-figure stall.

Also note any David O’Meara or Kevin Ryan-trained runners, as the pair has won the race 7 times between them since 2007.

See below all the key Ayr horse racing trends and stats for the five ITV racing LIVE contests – use these to find the best profiles based on previous winners of the race – we give you the stats, you make the decisions.


RELATED: 2023 Ayr Gold Cup Trends To Help Find Saturday’s Big Handicap Winner


Ayr Horse Racing Tips and Trends for Saturday (ITV Racing)

1.15 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

  • 11/11 – Won at least twice before
  • 11/11 – Rated between 88 and 96
  • 10/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 9/11 – Won previously over 1m
  • 9/11 – Aged between 3-5 years-old
  • 9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
  • 8/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
  • 8/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
  • 7/11 – Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
  • 7/11 – Placed favourites
  • 6/11 – Irish bred
  • 6/11 – Had run at Ayr before
  • 4/11 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
  • 2/11 – Trained by David O’Meara
  • 2/11 – Winning favourites
  • Gweedore (12/1) won the race in 2022
  • Revich (20/1) won the race in 2021 and 3rd in 2022

1.50 – Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

  • 12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
  • 11/12 – Yet to race at Ayr
  • 11/12 – Won over 1m2f or more
  • 11/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 10/12 – Rated between 101 and 111
  • 9/12 – Won 3 or more times before
  • 9/12 – Irish bred
  • 9/12 – Aged 4 or older
  • 8/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
  • 3/12 – Winning favourites
  • 3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 10)
  • 2/12 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 8)
  • Royal Champion (9/4) won the race in 2022

2.25 – Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

  • 20/20 – Carried 8-11 or more
  • 18/20 – Previous winners over 6f
  • 17/20 – Aged 5 or younger
  • 16/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 16/20 – Carried 9-0 or more
  • 15/20 – Winning distance 1 length or less
  • 15/20 – Had 5 or more runs that season
  • 14/20 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
  • 13/20 – Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
  • 12/20 – Finished 5th or better last time out
  • 12/20 – Unplaced favourites
  • 9/20 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
  • 4/20 – Won last time out
  • 4/20 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
  • 3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
  • 3/20 – Winning Favourites
  • 0/20 – Filly or mare winners

RELATED: Newbury Horse Racing Trends and Tips For ITV Racing On Saturday 23rd Sept 2023


3.00 – Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

  • 18/20 – Had never raced at Ayr before
  • 17/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out
  • 16/20 – Previous winners over 6f
  • 16/20 – Had won one or two times before
  • 14/20 – Winning distance 1 length or further
  • 14/20 – Had 3 or more runs that season
  • 14/20 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
  • 12/20 – Placed favourites
  • 10/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 8/20 – Won last time out
  • 4/20 – Winning favourites
  • 3/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out

3.35 – Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

  • 22/22 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
  • 19/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
  • 19/22 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
  • 17/22 – Had won over 6f before
  • 17/22 – Failed to win their last race
  • 15/22 – Carried 9-1 or more
  • 15/22 – Came from a double-figure stall
  • 14/22 – Rated 90-101
  • 13/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
  • 12/22 – Had 7 or more runs that season
  • 12/22 – Unplaced favourites
  • 12/22 – Winning distance 1 length or less
  • 11/22 – Ran at Doncaster (3), Goodwood (5) or Haydock (3) last time out
  • 11/22 – Had raced at Ayr before
  • 5/22 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
  • 3/22 – Winning favourites (4 winning favs since 1980)
  • 2/22 – Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 10)
  • 0/22 – Filly or mare winners
  • 13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 18 winners came from stall 8)
  • Since 1980 just 8 winners aged 6 or older
  • The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronslea in 1930/31

 

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