With the upcoming Aintree Grand National first run in 1839 and being won by the aptly named Lottery, it’s no shock there have been many tasty stats that have built-up over the years. These include just one 7 year-old winner since 1940, plus one NEW emerging Grand National stat that has produced FIVE winners since 2017.
Grand National Stat That Has A 83% Return In The Last Six Runnings
The stat in question revolves around Grand National runners wearing a tongue tie, as five of the last six winners have worn one – and it seems to be helping.
Yes, since 2017, only the 2022 winner Noble Yeats HASN’T sported a tongue-tie.
But in contrast, the connections of Tiger Roll (twice), One For Arthur, Minella Times, plus last year’s winner Corach Rambler have all used the tongue-tie to help them get over the Grand National winning line.
Could this be the difference in a race where stamina and breathing is a must-have?
From the 39 runners in 2023, there were 13 with a tongue-tie – including the first two home, Corach Rambler and Vanillier.
With that in mind, when the final runners are out on Thursday 11th April, it could pay off to have a quick scan through the 34 entries (down from 40) to see which ones will sport the all-important breathing apparatus.
Oh, we’ve also seen three of the last five National winners wear headgear in general, which you could also look out for in 2024.
What Is A Tongue-Tie In Horse Racing?
A tongue-tie in horse racing is used to help prevent a horse from getting their tongue over the bit.
This will also, therefore, help a lot with breathing, with the tongue strapped into place and in no danger of blocking airwaves.
The tongue is usually tied with a strip of rubber or cloth, which is then passed over the tongue and then back under the chin on the outside of the mouth.
Recent Grand National Winners Wearing A Tongue-Tie
- 2023: Corach Rambler (8/1)
- 2021: Minella Times (11/1)
- 2019: Tiger Roll (4/1)
- 2018: Tiger Roll (10/1)
- 2017: One For Arthur (14/1)
2024 Grand National Horses Wearing A Tongue-Tie
- Corach Rambler
- Kitty’s Light
- Mahler Mission
- Delta Work
- Noble Yeats
- Capodanno
- Stattler
- Eldorado Allen
- Mac Tottie
- The Goffer
- Janidil
WATCH: Corach Rambler Winning The 2023 Grand National (wearing a tongue-tie)
Couple This Tongue-Tie Stat With Some Other Big Grand National Trends
So, based on the 2023 runners, the tongue-tie stat helped narrow the field of 39 down to just 13. It is likely to be a similar number in 2024, but you could narrow your search further by applying three or four other big Grand National trends.
For example, 94% of the last 32 winners also ran within the last 55 days. Plus, the last eight winners have all been aged 9 or younger, while there has also only been one winner aged 7 since 1940.
Add in the key weight stat that’s seen only two winners since 1978 carry MORE than 11st 5lbs, then this little cluster of stats, coupled with the any tongue-tie wearers could lead you towards the 2024 Grand National winner.
You can see all Andy Newton’s 2024 Grand National trends here.
What Date & Time Is The 2024 Grand National?
📅Time/Date: 4:00pm (Saturday 13th April 2024)
🏇Racecourse: Aintree
💰 Purse/Winner: £1m / £500,000
📺 TV: ITV / RacingTV
This Tongue-Tie Stat Also Paid Off To Find 25/1 Cheltenham Festival Winner
Last month’s Cheltenham Festival also saw another race that is building up a tongue-tie following. Remember this one for next March.
Step forward the Pertemps Final Network Handicap Hurdle – a race that prior to 2023 had seen seven of the last eight winners wear a tongue-tie.
This was backed up again in 2024 when the Paul Nicholls-trained and Harry Cobden-ridden Monmiral (watch below) won his first race since 2021 with the tongue-tie (and first-time blinkers) administered.
Grand National 2024 Betting Odds
See here the latest 2024 Grand National odds that you can get by joining up with the best UK horse racing betting sites.
- Corach Rambler 4/1
- I Am Maximus 8/1
- Vanillier 10/1
- Panda Boy 12/1
- Kitty’s Light 14/1
- Meetingofthewaters 14/1
- Mahler Mission 16/1
- Galvin 20/1
- Minella Indo 20/1
- Mr Incredible 20/1
- Noble Yeats 20/1
- Capodanno 25/1
- Chemical Energy 25/1
- Latenightpass 25/1
- Limerick Lace 25/1
Note: Others on request and odds subject to change
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