2022 Haydock Sprint Cup Trends: Which Horse Fits The Stats?

Minzaal
Minzaal

The 2022 Haydock Sprint Cup is the big race this weekend across the fixtures as some of the best sprinters around do battle for this Group One prize at Haydock Park. We’ve a strong field of 14 runners entered, so to help narrow down the field Andy Newton is on-hand with the key Sprint Cup trends and stats – apply these to the entries and find the best winning profiles based on previous winners. 

Let’s take a look and see which horses fit the most Sprint Cup trends.

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RELATED: Haydock Races – See All Races at Haydock Park This Week


What Date Is The Haydock Sprint Cup 2022?

The Haydock Sprint Cup is a Group One contest open to three-year-olds and up run over 6f in early September.

📅Date: Saturday, 3rd September 2022
🏇Racecourse: Haydock, (3:30pm)
💰 Winner: £198,485
📺 TV: ITV / Racing TV


2022 Sprint Cup Trends and Stats

Apply these key Sprint Cup trends to the final 2022 runners to find the best winning profiles based on past winners.

  • 18/20 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
  • 17/20 – Rated 111 or higher
  • 17/20 – Had won over 6f before
  • 16/20 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
  • 16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
  • 16/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
  • 15/20 – Didn’t win their previous race
  • 15/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 14/20 – Winning distance 1 length or less
  • 14/20 – Had won a Group race before
  • 13/20 – Had 4 or more runs that season
  • 10/20 – Had run at Haydock before (4 had won)
  • 10/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 10/20 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (6) last time out
  • 8/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
  • 7/20 – Had won a Group 1 before
  • 7/20 – Winning favourites
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 17/2

17 Of The Last 20 Winners Were Rated 111+

This is a decent stat to start with as it’s operating at a 85% strike-rate over the last 20 years. Looking at the final 17 runners these horses are rated 110 or lower – Great Ambassador (non-runner), Khaadem, Dubawi Legend, Harry Three, Chil Chil, Umm Kulthum (non-runner) and Hala Hala Athmani – meaning we can put a line through seven!

16 Of The Last 20 Sprint Cup Winners Aged 5 Or Younger and Finished In The Top 4 Last Time

Another good Sprint Cup trend to take into the race is that 80% of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or younger and were also placed in the top 4 in their most recent run.

One of the main fancies – Naval Crown – falls down here. Yes, he ticks the age trend at 4 years-old, but was only fifth last time out – albeit in the Group One Maurice de Gheest.

At this stage, and of those left after applying the rating stat, these are the ones left – Minzaal, Kinross (non-runner), Art Power, Brad The Brief and Go Bears Go are the horses that tick both these trends.

15 Of The Last 20 Sprint Cup Winners Came From Stalls 5 Or Higher

This Sprint Cup stat is another to take into account now we know the stall numbers. With 75% of the last 20 winners hailing from stalls 5 or higher, then this will be a slight negative for four of the runners drawn between stalls 1-4 – Art Power (1), Kinross (2), Umm Kulthum (3) (non-runner) and Dubawi Legend (4).

It’s also interesting that 8 of the last 20 winners came from a double-figure draw, while 18 of the last 20 horses from stall 1 have been unplaced.

Of those remaning – we are down to THREE – MINZAAL, BRAD THE BRIEF and GO BEARS GO.

7 Winning Sprint Cup Favourites Since 2006

At this stage the Owen Burrows-trained Minzaal and Godolphin’s Naval Crown are fighting it out for the Sprint Cup favourites berth. Of course, horses don’t know if they are the market leaders in their races, but with 35% of the last 20 favourites winning this race, it’s a contest that punters tend to have a fair record in.

75% Of The Last 20 Winners DIDN’T Win Last Time Out

Another fair trend to have in your corner as punters will naturally be drawn to the horses that won last time out. However, with 15 of the last 20 winners taking this race off the back of a defeat then winning before isn’t key.

The recent winners in the race are Brad The Brief, Kinross (non-runner), Dubawi Legend and Go Bears Go.

Sprint Cup: Which Horses Fit The Trends?

Yes, I mentioned that recent winners don’t have the best of records but with BRAD THE BRIEF @ 12/1 with 888Sport and GO BEARS GO @ 10/1 with 888Sport   both tick all the other main trends, then this pair on still on the shortlist.

Brad The Brief is the second highest-rated in the field (117) and is a fast-improving sprinter, that heads here having won his last two. The most recent of those successes came in the G2 Greenlands Stakes at the Curragh and has now won 7 of his 17 starts on the turf (41%). He’s 2-from-2 since joining the Hugo Palmer yard (from Tom Dascombe) and is also a CD winner at Haydock after winning a Conditions race there easily back in May. He looks fair value at the moment and the each-way call in the race.

Go Bears Go was the recent winner of the Phoenix Sprint Stakes (watch below) at the Curragh last month and was only 1 1/4 lengths behind Minzaal in the G3 Hackwood Stakes before that so doesn’t have too much ground to make up on the Burrows runner.

Minzaal The Main Trends Pick

The classy Owen Burrows-trained 4 year-old MINZAAL @ 10/3 with 888Sport was last seen running the speedy mare – Highfield Princess – to 3/4 of a length at Deauville in the Group One Maurice de Gheest (watch below) and with 4 of the last 20 Sprint Cup winners running at Deauville last time out this is a huge positive.

The form of that effort was also given a nice boost recently with Highfield Princess powering home to win the Nunthorpe Stakes at York’s Ebor Festival, while he also had Naval Crown back in 5th that day in France.

This will be Minzaal’s debut run at Haydock, but there is no reason why the track won’t suit, while prior to his run in France landed the G3 Hackwood Stakes at Newbury races, with another potential Sprint Cup runner, Go Bears Go, 1 1/4 lengths back in second. He’s still only had 10 career runs too, winning three and hitting the first three in 80% of those outings.

Minzaal  looks a solid performer now and is sure to be popular on the day. Those against him though will look to his run in the G1 Platinum Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot in June, where he was 4 1/4 lengths adrift of Naval Crown, who takes him on again. Regular jockey Jim Crowley, who has ridden him in 9 of his 10 career starts, continues in the saddle.


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2022 Haydock Sprint Cup Betting and Full Runners

See below the latest betting ahead of the 2022 Haydock Sprint Cup on Saturday 3rd September.

Haydock Sprint Cup Horse Latest Odds Win Probability Bookmaker
MINZAAL 10/3 23.1% 888Sport logo
NAVAL CROWN 4/1 20% 888Sport logo
EMARAATY ANA 5/1 16.7% 888Sport logo
ROHAAN 15/2 11.8% 888Sport logo
ART POWER 8/1 11.1% 888Sport logo
GO BEARS GO 10/1 9.1% 888Sport logo
BRAD THE BRIEF 12/1 7.7% 888Sport logo
HARRY THREE 16/1 5.9% 888Sport logo
FLAMING RIB 16/1 5.9% 888Sport logo
KHAADEM 22/1 4.2% 888Sport logo
CASTLE STAR 20/1 4.8% 888Sport logo
DUBAI LEGEND 28/1 3.5% 888Sport logo
CHIL CHIL 28/1 3.5% 888Sport logo
HALA HALA ATHMANI 50/1 2% 888Sport logo

All odds correct as of 09:12 BST on Sat 3 Sept and subject to change

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Recent Haydock Sprint Cup Winners

  • 2021 – Emaraaty Ana (11/1)
  • 2020 – Dream Of Dreams (5/2 fav)
  • 2019 – Hello Youmzain (9/2 cfav)
  • 2018 – The Tin Man (7/1)
  • 2017 – Harry Angel (2/1 fav)
  • 2016 – Quiet Reflection (7/2 fav)
  • 2015 – Twilight Son (10/1)
  • 2014 – G Force (11/1)
  • 2013 – Gordon Lord Byron (7/2)
  • 2012 – Society Rock (10/1)

Watch The 2021 Haydock Sprint Cup Again


Haydock Race Times and Names | Saturday 3rd Sept 2022

  • 1:15 – Betfair Daily Tips On Betting.Betfair Ascendant Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 1m ITV
  • 1:45 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV
  • 2:20 – Get Daily Rewards With Betfair Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m6f ITV
  • 2:55 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV
  • 3:30 – Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV
  • 4:05 – Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f RTV
  • 5:14 – Extra Places Any Day With Betfair Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-85) 1m RTV

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